New MSNBC/McClatchy/MasonDixon - California - Clinton 45 Obama 36

[ruggerson]

Clinton leads in 4 out of 5 states polled:

California

Clinton 45 Obama 36

New Jersey:

Clinton 46 Obama 39

MIssouri:

Clinton 47 Obama 41

Arizona:

Clinton 43 Obama 41

Georgia:

Obama 47 Clinton 41


http://thepage.time.com/2008/02/03/super-tueday-polling/

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/02/03/634165.aspx

[Thrill]

1. Good to see.........Now people won't expect Obama to win

Better Coverage on Wednesday

[Bullet1987]

3. This appears to be an outlier

And I'm skeptical of ALL polls done in confidence WITH media organizations. But all of the other post-Debate CA polls show the race either closing and now TWO show Obama in the lead. I find it very hard to believe Clinton got a 9-point post-Debate boost in a single day. She did good, but not THAT good...but in a DAY? Ras, Zogby, and Field Polls haven't picked this up in their equations.

[ruggerson]

4. It's hardly an outlier

[Bullet1987]

8. I think it is...

there's no other poll showing a 9-point jump for Clinton...that's simply unrealistic. You would think Obama committed a gaffe on "Dean Scream" levels and that didn't happen. Most called it even.

[stevietheman]

11. Zogby and Rasmussen have Obama leading, so yes, this one is an outlier. n/t

n/t

[DainBramaged]

2. WOW, this goes against Yesterday's MSNBC polls showing Obama leading

Polls, got to love 'em.

:sarcasm:

[Tellurian]

5. Zogby and Wapo are over the top..

[ruggerson]

17. apparently

[Drunken Irishman]

19. Why, because this poll shows it a different way?

I hate to break it to you, but the most respected poll in California, the Field Poll, has Obama within 2.

[HughMoran]

16. I know, one CA poll shows Romney up by 3, SFC poll shows McCain up by 8

What the heck is up with these polls?

[ruggerson]

18. much harder to get accurate state samples

than national ones

although those are all over the place too

[bigdarryl]

6. ZOGBY has the more accurate polling in the last 4 state primaries in fact

he had the rethug Florida race DEAD ON at the end when the numbers came on so he's not going to be off all of a sudden in the upcoming states plus Rasmussen has the CA. race dead even also.and this morning on C-SPAN the gentlemen who was being interviewed from CA. said there CA. field polling is always accurate they have it 32 for Obama and 34 for Clinton.

[stevietheman]

9. Rasmussen also has Obama ahead by one point. n/t

n/t

[Zynx]

10. In Michigan Mason-Dixon had Romney +8 and Zogby had McCain +1.

Polling firms are not uniformly more accurate than eachother.

[neutron]

7. After today, Clinton will have NY in the palm of her hand

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/03/us/politics/03exelon.html?ex=1359694800&en=f2cec53f8b5de3bc&ei=5088&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss

[ruggerson]

13. I saw that - incredible

You should make that an OP

[DainBramaged]

14. I have a bagel in the palm of my hand!

[Robbins]

15. NBC

They had Obama with only 8 points ahead of Hillary In South Carolina.Zogby has been more right this primary season.Look I think Obama supporters like me should not get compcete.We need to get out to vote tuesday.I will do It In Missouri.I am looking forward to It.Unlike 2004 my candiate has a chance to win.

[nevergiveup]

12. South Carolina

Mason Dixon...Jan 23....South Carolina.....Obama 38%.....Clinton 30%. The polls have been wacky for the Democrats this primary season.

[AX10]

20. Interesting.

She still has the lead.
Good to know.