NEW California Poll: Clinton 45 Obama 36 PDF link with DEM & INDEP data

[goldcanyonaz]

CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATS

Clinton, 45 percent; Obama, 36 percent; undecided, 16 percent.

Here they split the white vote. He leads better than 4-1 among blacks, and she leads 4-1 among Hispanics. There are more Hispanics than blacks, so she has the edge.

"He'll get some Chablis-sipping liberals up north, and blacks down south,' Coker said. "Her trump card is the Hispanic vote."

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/227/story/26342.html

Poll data pdf

http://media.mcclatchydc.com/static/pdf/poll/020308cadem.pdf

ETA changed title to show it's not just Dems who were polled.

[RL3AO]

1. I have no friggen clue whats going on in Cali.

[Timmy5835]

2. No kidding

Neither do we Californians.

[thatsrightimirish]

3. the one thing that these polls have in common

is that they all have a large number of undecideds. Who knows whats going to happen.
http://youtube.com/watch?v=oNRs0RM3EEE

[cali]

4. interesting, but not indicative as it only polls dems and it's an

open primary.

[jillan]

5. Someone on MTP said today that any poll coming out of CA that

does not add up to 90% 2 days before Super Tues is a bunch of caca.

[Occam Bandage]

6. That's only among Dems, though, and CA is open.

[HughMoran]

11. It shows Independents in the PDF

I read the attached PDF and they breakdown according to Dem or Indy

[tandem5]

16. No, CA is for the most part closed...

on edit: yes, I guess independents may vote in the democratic but not the republican - and republicans and democrats cannot cross-vote.

[Alexander]

7. If Obama wins Dems, Indies and Republicans, it'll be a clean sweep on Tuesday.

This poll is very good news for Obama since the race is still fluid on the Democratic side, and Clinton does well with registered Democrats.

[Bullet1987]

8. This poll only shows Dems and doesn't factor in Indies

and CA is an OPEN Primary. Most other polls show a statstical dead heat with either Clinton or Obama in the slight lead.

[Zynx]

13. Umm...No it shows indepedents.

http://media.mcclatchydc.com/static/pdf/poll/020308cadem.pdf

Hillary leads by 16 among Dems and loses by 31 among indepedents.

[Thrill]

9. I think Hillary spending so much time there is all the sign you need

Considering Monday she had a 15 point lead there

[REDFISHBLUEFISH]

12. Could be just trying to clinch it right there. A big win buries him.

[Thrill]

15. More like the internals, are showing trouble

[Indenturedebtor]

10. In addition to the nature of the CA primary

Polls don't poll people with cellphones. Youth vote? Uh huh. Gobama :bounce:

His candidacy would survive a loss in CA... would your CEO's?

[JorgeTheGood]

14. Anti-Hillary cross-over votes ...

Same as Iowa -- sadly they won't be there for Obama in the general ...
Those same folks will all re-register as republicans and BO will be left out on the limb
looking like a complete failure and everyone will be wondering how IA, SC, CA and the rest
all went to McCain ???? You can't make this stuff up ... it's so transparent it's laughable.

[cali]

17. Just how do you know this? You don't.

You are speculating based on absolutely nothing. A certain number of people who voted for him in the primaries won't vote for him in the general should he be the nominee, but it's utterly ridiculous to claim it's true of ALL of them. In fact, it's unlikely to be more a small minority of them. Most people simply do not bother to go vote for the opposing side in a primary in order to get the nominee they supposedly want to run against. If you have any evidence to the contrary, please post it.

[JorgeTheGood]

18. All I can offer is ...

watch and see what happens - providing BO gets the nomination ...

No way under the sun IA, fer example, being 97% white and already a republican state, will go blue for a black person that by then, will be perceived as a muslum and solidly connected (perception at least) to Rezko, and vetted by FOX, CNN and MSNBC -- especiallty his record on gun control ... the NRA by themselves will sink him. It's laughable.

[Andromeda]

19. Kick!

:kick: