Rassmussen National: 49 Clinton - 38 Obama - Clinton UP 11

[Lucinda]

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/daily_presidential_tracking_polling_history

Clinton up 4 - Obama up 1 - since yesterday's poll data released

[REDFISHBLUEFISH]

1. Hillary 08!

[Lucinda]

2. That works for me.

:rofl:

[Zueda]

3. I wonder if she'll meet the expectation?

I'm so glad that it looks like I will actually get to cast a primary vote that matters on the 12th :)

[Lucinda]

5. I'd be very surprised if we have anything wrapped up on Tuesday.

I have a good friend in Virginia Beach. Your state is gorgeous!

[Proud2BAmurkin]

4. the surge is working

[Lucinda]

8. I'm wondering what sort of difference the town hall might make.

Monday night. :)

[BlackVelvet04]

6. .

:kick:

[William769]

7. ...

[UALRBSofL]

10. YES WE CAN YES WE CAN

VOTE HILLARY

[Skidmore]

9. Yeah, we heard all kinds of Hillary is gonna just steamroll Obama in Iowa

right up until the caucuses. You know how that worked out.

[goldcanyonaz]

11. And Obama was gonna steamroll Hillary in N.H. *cough*

[Lucinda]

14. :)

[UALRBSofL]

13. sour grapes :)

YES WE CAN YES WE CAN

VOTE HILLARY

[William769]

15. Same way it worked out in N.H!

:rofl:

[ErnestoG]

12. He's closing on her...fast.

[ruggerson]

24. yes, all he has to do is gain 11 points in two days

[Sybbis]

16. Rasmussen has been notoriously bad this year BUT...

Go Hillary anyway. I think she'll hold on to her leads, regardless.

[spooky3]

17. does anyone else notice a lot of inconsistency in the recent polls?

Rasmussen, WaPo, USAToday, Pew, etc.

[Lucinda]

19. If you look at the undecideds you'll see part of where the variance is

A lot of it depends on how the poll is structured. Some are detailed, and other are a few quick questions.

[southern_dem]

21. weird

because he also has Obama up by 1 in CA. Not sure if both can be the case.

[Lucinda]

25. The national numbers are ...well national

1 point lead in California doesn't negate the other states where she has sizable leads

[alcibiades_mystery]

18. Winderful...you're in great shape!

Maybe your people can act like humans once you wrap this up! I'm certainly looking forward to it. :hi:

[Lucinda]

20. Thanks for the kick.

:hi:

[alcibiades_mystery]

23. You're welcome!

:hi:

[Indenturedebtor]

22. My question again is

What percentage of the country has landlines? Seriously... very important here. You're mostly polling people who can or want to afford to have both cells and landlines... IE leaving out the youth and poor vote.

[Lucinda]

26. The youth vote is notoriously softer

They don't, as a rule, turn out in big numbers. Polls are weighted to take everything into account. Which is also why they can be so far off ther mark at times. :)

[FreeState]

28. Obama and the Youth vote may not hold on Super Tuesday

So far Obama has been able to get the youth vote out (except maybe in NH) - but up until tuesday all the voting has been done in one state at a time - Tues is what 22 on one day - I am starting to think Obama does not have the experience on a national level to GOTV youth wise - its much easier done when you have only one state to concentrate on. This is just a hunch of mine - I could very well be wrong.

Go Hillary:)

[Lucinda]

29. Not really. If you look at exit polling...the numbers, for the most part, haven't been huge

SC and Iowa youth vote was strongly Obama. The rest....not so much.
He does have a good GOTV machine in general...but you may be right about his youth effort.

[avrdream]

27. Wow!

I hope that holds across the Super Tuesday states.

[Lucinda]

31. It would be very nice!

:D

[Andromeda]

30. Kick!

:kick: