Polls are over the place, except that...

[thesubstanceofdreams]

... they all show a big momentum for Obama.

Some polls indicate Obama has caught up, or in some cases even surpassed, Clinton nationally and in some of the big Super Tuesday states. Other polls still have Clinton leading.

But in nearly all the polls, Obama has risen while Clinton has stagnated.

Only exception could be Rasmussen, which shows Clinton lead expanding nationally in the last couple of days. However, Rasmussen state polls do show a huge momentum for Obama.

The bottom line is that the ST election will be very close and the election will still not be decided, but Obama momentum could carry him into the following primary states.

[FrenchieCat]

1. That's it......

they are all over the place, and as a non-poll watcher, I'm not looking for info beyond what you have stated.

Thank you.

[lapfog_1]

2. FrenchieCat...

your .sig photo is, well, disturbing.

I throw up a little in the back of my throat every time I see it in a post from you.

Can you possibly change it?

:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

[FrenchieCat]

3. Only after the cheap thrillers stop using Gomama as though Hillary

thought of it.

It is a play on Obama's name to begin with, so it is extremely disrespectful.
It is also a Yo Mama play on words, which is using Black venecular.
It is folks stealing someone elses campaign slogan.....which is unoriginal and unimaginative.
Pat Boone was known for stealing song of Black artists, rearranging the song to suit him, and making all of the money. Hence my sig line.

When they stop, I'll take it down.

[Dogmudgeon]

4. Check out RealClearPolitics

(Partisan hat off, Wonk hat on.)

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html">RCP Democratic Presidential Nomination.

Obama has gotten his support in two big leaps. Both of them have been media-associated. Even worse, they are reflected in only some of the individual polls, but show up strongly in the group analysis.

It is probably worrying Obama's wonks because statistical leaps are notoriously unstable. They usually indicate high volatility. It is not enough to have a surge or momentum; something must sustain the numbers, and a volatile environment works against that.

Hillary, of course, is probably putting up the storm shutters, but if she can weather Super Tuesday, she can be expected to do better afterward. The flood of endorsements for Obama will end, and if Obama is ahead at all, the kid-glove treatment will end. However it goes, I expect there to be a significant change after Tuesday -- even if the results show a toss-up.

I keep saying that the primary is being gamed to keep it close, and that it is unwise for Obama's supporters to get overconfident. I am sure that Obama himself is happy with his good fortune, but prepared for as long a siege as Hillary is.

--p!