NEW New York Poll: Clinton - 53, Obama - 39

[NJSecularist]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ny/new_york_democratic_primary-265.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/020408NYNJPRESBP.html

Hillary winning the white vote 58-34 in her home state and losing the black vote 27-68.

Hillary is winning the male vote 51-42 and the female vote 55-37.

[book_worm]

1. that is a improvement since their previous poll of 1/22 for Obama

who was behind 51-25 at that point, so Obama gained 14-points in about 12-days and HRC gained 2-points.

[Clarkansas]

2. She will win NY, but not by as much as I would have expected a few weeks ago

if these polls are accurate. If.

[madrchsod]

7. same with barrack in illinois

weather maybe a big problem in northern illinois. last tribune poll had 20% undecided

[elixir]

3. And super tuesday is tomorrow....

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

4. One more point and they'll split the delegates 50/50.

:wow:

[NJSecularist]

5. He'll need to get better than expected turnout in NYC and the boroughs to get to 40%

[mohc]

6. The 50/50 split

happens at a district level. No doubt if the state level has Obama just over 40 there will be many districts where he is under 40, in fact I would guess most districts under 40, with a few clusters of districts well over 40 to bring his average up. Regardless, that there will be a handful of districts where they do split will definitely dampen any victory Clinton gets.