Obama leads in new Massachusetts Poll

[RedEarth]

THE RACE: The presidential race for Democrats and Republicans in Massachusetts (Suffolk University/WHDH)

THE NUMBERS - DEMOCRATS

Barack Obama, 46 percent

Hillary Rodham Clinton, 44 percent

http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2008/02/04/poll_in_massachusetts_obama_romney_lead/

[thereismore]

1. Ted Kennedy has a lot of sway there. nt

[Tellurian]

7. If the poll was believable..it's not!

[sunonmars]

9. I mean 9% said Oprah swayed them, lol, i mean for fucks sake

[JackORoses]

18. it's much more believable than you have ever been

[Alamom]

2. Few peeps....big moe nm.

[Radical Activist]

3. That's a big shift.

Either the poll is an out-lier or the state made a big jump over to Obama.

Of course, all the primary states have moved toward Obama over time as people get to know him better. The trends make it pretty obvious who can win in November.

[Thrill]

4. The is BIG NEWS

[sunonmars]

5. Oh yeah Suffolk university top of pollsters, the last line killed it for me

9% of people say Oprah swayed it for them, you call that a serious poll.

[NJSecularist]

11. Are you joking?

Of course it's a serious question and a serious poll.

[Kahuna]

29. Local polls are generally the most reliable. Is this a local pollster? nt

[jasmine621]

6. I think it is a miracle that Hillary is this close with the MA Dem establishment

fighting against her. Most Dems who hate Hillary and Bill have fought harder against them than they did against the Republicans in 2000 and 2004.

[Tellurian]

12. Yes, you noticed that too..

Kerry always works better when he's the man behind the curtain where no one can see what his hands are doing.

[beachmom]

16. Wrong. The Mass. Dem Machine is solidly behind Hillary.

They signed up early. John Kerry, Teddy, and Patrick are alternative voices to the state Dem party machine.

[The_Casual_Observer]

8. There was a legit poll an hour or so ago that showed Oboner

way behind.

[sunonmars]

10. by 17% no less

[AX10]

23. Hillary will win MA.

Obamanation is just spewing their propaganda .

They have highjacked this board.

[Mass]

13. Once again, polls are all over the map. We'll see who is right tomorrow.

[Sulawesi]

17. Did you really type Oboner? Do you have any idea how ridiculous that makes you look?

[JackORoses]

20. I'm glad we have you here to let us know what polls are 'legit'

what did we ever do without you?

[The_Casual_Observer]

22. Post bullshit polls?

[Mass]

25. BTW, Suffolk was the only one who saw a close race in NH. I am not sure they are right today, but

consider that before dismissing them.

[beachmom]

14. And Hillary leads in other MA polls. Let's not get ahead of ourselves.

She still will probably win MA tomorrow. The point of 2/5 is for Obama to be close to her in delegates.

[Ian David]

15. It also looks like Der Mittenfuhrer will actually carry Massachusetts for the Repukes.

If so, then that's one more reason not to even carry on a conversation with a Massachusetts Repuke.

[nutsnberries]

30. i have gotten sooooo many phone calls from the mittster's campaign...

here in MA.

i only wish i could respond to them. damn robo-calls!

[Abacus]

19. so pretty

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/democratic_presidential_nomination-191.html#charts

I'm not expecting to win tomorrow, but I don't think it will be over tomorrow either.

[Jed Dilligan]

21. Could this have to do with the failure of Romneycare?

[sunonmars]

24. by the way, a recent poll has also ........

said MAss voters rejected illegal driver licences by 75% to 25%, so it may have an impact there.

[midnight armadillo]

26. He's got my vote in MA

Now that Edwards is out of the race, that is.

[Didereaux]

27. Try not to cherry pick, especially if yours is opposite 5 respected polls...

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Clinton Obama Spread
RCP Average 01/20 - 02/03 - 46.5 34.3 Clinton +12.2
SurveyUSA 02/02 - 02/03 651 LV 56 39 Clinton +17.0
Suffolk/WHDH 02/01 - 02/03 400 LV 44 46 Obama +2.0
Rasmussen 01/28 - 01/28 1023 LV 43 37 Clinton +6.0
Western NE College 01/20 - 01/26 151 LV 43 15 Clinton +28.0

from RealClearPolitics
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ma/massachusetts_democratic_primary-539.html
notice your Suffolk College is waaaay out of whack with all the others. Of course Suffolk generally is.

[suston96]

28. At the wire, Clinton 56%, Obama 39%.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0c86ca66-ae0e-456b-838a-91981ef0af02

Obama Closes on Clinton, But Doesn't Catch Her, Eve of Massachusetts Democratic Primary: 24 hours till votes are counted in Massachusetts, Barack Obama has late momentum against Hillary Clinton, and has gained ground while Clinton has remained flat, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-primary tracking poll, conducted for WBZ-TV Boston. At the wire, Clinton 56%, Obama 39%. The size of Clinton's victory will determine how many of Massachusetts' 121 delegates she takes to the Democratic National Convention. Obama leads by 20 among men. Clinton leads by 42 among women. A 62-point Gender Gap. Among voters under age 50, the contest is tied. Among voters age 50+, Clinton leads by 29. The number of young voters will determine how well Obama does relative to Clinton. If new, younger, first-time voters show-up in disproportionately large numbers, Obama may out-perform his 39% showing here.

[radfringe]

31. mut be alot of smokers there.... n/t

[ZinZen]

32. Polls are all over the place. N/T