Tropics_Dude83
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Mon Feb-04-08 05:35 PM
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My Super Tuesday Analysis-Obama ahead in 11/Clinton in 5/Rest Too close to call |
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Edited on Mon Feb-04-08 05:37 PM by Tropics_Dude83
I've looked at the state polls and have been completely objective. I base these predictions on state poll results only, not on the ground game and quirks that local state analysts might know that I don't. However, going by the state polls only, I have the following: 1. Alabama-Obama lean 2. Alaska-Obama lean but Mike Gravel could pull an upset. 3. American Samoa-In states with no polls, I assume a Clinton victory so this is C. 4. Arizona-Too close to call-Arkansas-strong Clinton 5. California-Too close to call 6. Colorado-Obama 7. CT-Obama 8. Deleware-Too close to call 9. Dems Abroad-Again no polls and Clinton has huge global support so I say Clinton here 10. Georgia-Obama strong 11. Idaho-Obama strong 12. Illinois-Obama strong 13. Kansas-Governor endorsement so Obama lean 14. Mass- too close to call 15. Minnesota - No data whatsoever so too close to call 16. Missouri-too close to call to lean Clinton 17. New Jersey-Clinton 18. New Mexico-Possible Obama lean 19. New York - strong Clinton 20. North Dakota-Strong Obama 21. Oklahoma-strong Clinton 22. Tennessee-strong Clinton 23. Utah-strong Obama
A race that goes past 2/5 seems HIGHLY likely.
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harun
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Mon Feb-04-08 05:44 PM
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1. I think Obama will be in the lead from here on out but will likely |
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still go to the Convention just because of the way the Primary rules work. Then they will have to work something out at the convention.
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Qutzupalotl
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Mon Feb-04-08 06:01 PM
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2. I wonder if that would give us a combined ticket |
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Clinton/Obama or Obama/Clinton.
That's probably the only way it would ever happen. I just hope there's not too much blood spilled to allow it, because I could get behind either one.
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harun
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Mon Feb-04-08 10:28 PM
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3. After the results of the Primaries tomorrow we will probably know |
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better the likelihood of an Clinton/Obama ticket.
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Wed May 08th 2024, 10:38 PM
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