Clinton Appears to Blunt Late Obama Charge in California

[Tellurian]

Eve of CA Democratic Primary, Clinton Appears to Blunt Late Obama Charge:

24 hours till votes are counted in the California Democratic Primary, Hillary Clinton appears to fend-off a late charge from Barack Obama,

53% Clinton, 41% Obama, according to SurveyUSA’s 12th pre-primary tracking poll.

Other pollsters show the contest closer. In SurveyUSA’s last 3 tracking polls, Obama had led among men. At the wire, the two are tied. For 9 months, Clinton has led among women, at one point by 50 points.

At the wire, she leads by 23. Obama leads for the first time in the San Francisco Bay Area. But Clinton dominates in greater Los Angeles, and maintains smaller leads in the Inland Empire and Central Valley. Among voters under age 50, Clinton leads by 6. Among voters 50+, Clinton leads by 21. Clinton leads by 5 among white voters, but overpowers Obama among Latinos. Obama leads 4:1 among black voters, but there are materially fewer blacks in California than Latinos. Clinton leads among Democrats. Obama leads among Independents.

Filtering: 2,000 state of CA adults were interviewed 02/02/08 and 02/03/08. Interviews completed before and after, but not during, the Super Bowl on 02/03/08. Of the adults, 1,744 were registered to vote. Of them, 853 had already voted or were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote at the precinct on 02/05/08. Among those who have already voted, Clinton leads by 12. Research conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego and KFSN-TV Fresno. California is a complex, multi-cultural, geographically diverse state. SurveyUSA will continue to gather data tonight Monday, 02/04/08, and will endeavor to update these results if there is further, unanticipated late movement.

http://www.surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx

[ErnestoG]

1. What sort of credibility does that polling system have?

[David Zephyr]

2. Can't be much. They just discovered that the "Bay Area" had tipped to Obama.

That happened two weeks ago.

[Tellurian]

4. No, they've given it some credence in case it was an outliner..

[Tellurian]

3. It's been relied on for it's accuracy longer than you!

[JackORoses]

5. you're basing this all on 1 poll, when several others show him in the lead?

desperate times call for desperate measures, right?

[Tellurian]

6. Remember NH ? Still sux for you doesn't it?

[Clarkansas]

8. Remember when Hillary was leading all the polls everywhere?

Fortunately, things change.

[Tellurian]

10. Hillary is STILL leading..Here is her Hispanic Support..

Hillary Wins Straw Poll Conducted by the Most Popular Spanish Language Radio Show in the Country:

In a sign of Hillary’s momentum going into February 5th, Senator Clinton was declared the winner of a straw poll conducted today by the most popular Spanish language radio show in the country, "Piolín por la Mañana."

Throughout the morning talk show, host Eddie "Piolín" Sotelo asked his listeners in Los Angeles, Houston, Dallas, Chicago, Miami, San Francisco, Phoenix and New York to call in and vote for who they thought should be the next president.

Of the 819 people who called in, 59% said they’d vote for Senator Clinton, 36% for Senator Obama, 2% for John McCain, and only 3% of voters were undecided.

To listen to Eddie "Piolín" Sotelo announce the winner of the straw poll, please click here.

www.hillaryclinton.com/news/release/view/?id=5733

[scheming daemons]

16. You mean the state where they EACH got 9 delegates?

...your forgetting the race that REALLY matters... Delegates.

In that race, Obama has won 3 states, and tied 3. Hillary has won NONE. That's right.... there are NO states that Hillary has won more delegates than Obama.

That will change tonight of course.... but the bottom line is this.... It doesn't matter who "wins" which states. All that matters is the delegate count at the end of the night.

If neither of them is more than 100 delegates ahead at the end of the night, the dynamics of the race haven't changed.

[Tellurian]

7. Hillary will Win CA handily!

[Yossariant]

9. Better and better news, Tellurian!

:woohoo:

[Tellurian]

12. Yup.. Don't let the Obama anklebiters fool ya! He's going down..

K&R

[Justice Is Comin]

11. The Latinos will hand the phony his hat.

Aye Carmumba or Viva Zapata...or something

[Tellurian]

13. Yes, Viva Hillary!

NBC predicted if Obama doesn't get the female vote, he will NOT WIN!

We knew that! :hi:

[Tellurian]

15. Some call Obama, the Bamboozler...

[Tellurian]

14. Thanks for the K&Rs

This really needs to be on the GP... for the doubters counting Hillary out way too soon!

Substance over slight of hand.. wins every time!

[Apollo11]

17. Let's assume that Hillary is leading in every state.

So then it means that each state Obama wins is a major upset against-all-odds comeback victory! B-)

[Renew Deal]

18. It's Hillary's election to lose.

If Obama loses, it's no big deal, because he's supposed to.

[angie_love]

19. Hillary is expected to win today by a blowout so if Obama comes close it'll be an upset