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Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: "Obama leapfrogged over Clinton in Missouri"

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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:12 PM
Original message
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: "Obama leapfrogged over Clinton in Missouri"
Obama leapfrogged over Clinton in Missouri, gaining four points while she dropped two points to end the tracking period with 47% support to her 42%. Clinton continued to lead among white voters with 48% of their support to Obama’s 40%, while Obama had a four-to-one margin over Clinton with African American voters, with 72% of their support to her 18% support. The survey included 851 likely voters and carried a margin of error of +/-3/4 points.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1445

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Alexander Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:13 PM
Response to Original message
1. A DUer said that Missouri will help determine tomorrow's winner.
I think that's accurate. :-)
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
2. Who the fuck knows what to believe?
These polls are driving me crazy!

Each and every one tells us a different story.

:banghead: :banghead:
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mckeown1128 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:24 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. I know....I know...
I am just curious. Since you are from NJ... how do you think NJ will turn out?
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:26 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. I think the state will go to Hillary
but it will be close, around a 5% difference.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:29 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. I would agree. But I'm going to be canvassing my ass off...
...to try to turn it otherwise. IMO, it really depends on how many of those unaffiliateds come out to vote. That is the big question mark.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:26 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. Don't give them much weight, individually.
Look at the trends.

If you look at them individually, the sampling weighs heavily...what percentage youth, women, etc. If you look at the trend among multiple pulls, that stuff cancels each other out. The one that stands out to me today as being a POS is the California SUSA poll. That's going in a completely different direction than the others.

The trend overall shows amazing momentum for Obama.

Will it be enough? Well, that depends on how many youth, women, etc. actually come out to vote.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:18 PM
Response to Original message
3. I don't see that poll at the link. *edit* Nevermind. I found it.
Edited on Mon Feb-04-08 07:18 PM by Kristi1696
:shrug:
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:19 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Scroll down to "Missouri - Democrats"
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