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The polls are all over the map. Why? Because it's hard to pin down the voters.

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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:30 PM
Original message
The polls are all over the map. Why? Because it's hard to pin down the voters.
In general elections for president, most Americans vote. It's easier to identify who the voters will be if you are a pollster.

Primary elections usually sport lower turnout. You also may have a lot of first time voters, who are often overlooked by pollsters. Pollsters attempt to nail down likely voters in their samples, and this is harder to do in a primary election when you have a lower turnout (compared to a GE) and you have to employ more variables to measure the likelihood of a respondent actually voting. That introduce a lot of randomness into the polling process and can lead to divergent results.

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mtnester Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:48 PM
Response to Original message
1. When you have double digit undecideds in EVERY area
most of us don't know until we enter the booth.

My state's primary is in March...I have no idea yet how I will vote on this one.

The only way I would make a decision right this second is if my life depended on it. If a pollster called me right now, I would put myself squarely in Undecided.
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dbackjon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:57 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. i vote in 12 hours
I am undecided.
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mtnester Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-04-08 07:59 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. yep
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