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My State by State Super Tuesday Picks:

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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:42 AM
Original message
My State by State Super Tuesday Picks:
Edited on Tue Feb-05-08 07:06 AM by cali
C O

Alabama: Clinton: 48 Obama: 52
Alaska: Clinton: 42 Obama: 58
Arkansas Clinton: 65 Obama: 35
Arizona: Clinton: 53 Obama: 47
California: Clinton: 52 Obama: 48
Colorado: Clinton: 45 Obama: 55
Connecticut: Clinton: 48 Obama: 52
Delaware: Clinton: 48 Obama: 52
Georgia: Clinton: 42 Obama: 58
Idaho: Clinton: 42 Obama: 58
Illinois: Clinton: 35 Obama: 65
Kansas: Clinton: 53 Obama: 47
Mass: Clinton: 53 Obama: 47
Minn: Clinton: 47 Obama: 53
Missouri: Clinton: 55 Obama: 45
New Jersey: Clinton: 56 Obama: 44
New Mexico: Clinton: 54 Obama: 46
North Dak: Clinton: 46 Obama: 54
New York: Clinton: 59 Obama: 41
Oklahoma: Clinton: 62 Obama: 38
Tennesee Clinton: 55 Obama: 45
Utah: Clinton: 44 Obama: 56


So I've got Clinton taking most of the big states, including CA, but I have Obama taking 11 states. And this is more about guessing than polls, which have been all over the map.
I didn't factor in JE because I was too lazy but obviously he will be getting a certain percentage of the vote- larger in some states and negligable in others.
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ellisonz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:47 AM
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1. CA is a big question mark.
Edited on Tue Feb-05-08 06:48 AM by ellisonz
I think Obama wins MA by 3 points. MO will be within 5.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 07:41 AM
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2. kick
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cloudythescribbler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 12:20 PM
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3. these sound mostly realistic -- though I thought Obama was ahead in KS
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Invidious Donating Member (114 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 12:21 PM
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4. hmm
Not sure why you are giving Kansas to HRC. She has NO campaign there.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 12:33 PM
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5. Here's what I got
Alabama: Obama: 53 Clinton: 47
Alaska: Obama: 54 Clinton: 46
Arizona: Clinton: 53 Obama: 47
Arkansas: Clinton: 60 Obama: 40
California: Obama: 52 Clinton: 48
Colorado: Obama: 54 Clinton: 46
Connecticut: Obama: 51 Clinton: 49
Delaware: Obama: 53 Clinton: 47
Georgia: Obama: 60 Clinton: 40
Idaho: Obama: 55 Clinton: 45
Illinois: Obama: 68 Clinton: 32
Kansas: Obama: 52 Clinton: 48
Mass: Clinton: 51 Obama: 49
Minn: Obama: 55 Clinton: 45
Missouri: Obama: 50.5 Clinton: 49.5
New Jersey: Clinton: 53 Obama: 47
New MExico: Clinton: 53 Obama: 47
New York: Clinton: 58 Obama: 42
North Dakota: Obama: 54 Clinton: 46
Oklahoma: CLinton: 70 Obama: 30
Tennessee: Clinton: 56 Obama: 44
Utah: Obama: 58 Clinton: 42

I think Obama wins 14 states including California.
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 12:40 PM
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6. Seems your pessimism from yesterday has abaited somewhat. :)
Good!
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