cali
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Tue Feb-05-08 06:42 AM
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My State by State Super Tuesday Picks: |
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Edited on Tue Feb-05-08 07:06 AM by cali
C O
Alabama: Clinton: 48 Obama: 52 Alaska: Clinton: 42 Obama: 58 Arkansas Clinton: 65 Obama: 35 Arizona: Clinton: 53 Obama: 47 California: Clinton: 52 Obama: 48 Colorado: Clinton: 45 Obama: 55 Connecticut: Clinton: 48 Obama: 52 Delaware: Clinton: 48 Obama: 52 Georgia: Clinton: 42 Obama: 58 Idaho: Clinton: 42 Obama: 58 Illinois: Clinton: 35 Obama: 65 Kansas: Clinton: 53 Obama: 47 Mass: Clinton: 53 Obama: 47 Minn: Clinton: 47 Obama: 53 Missouri: Clinton: 55 Obama: 45 New Jersey: Clinton: 56 Obama: 44 New Mexico: Clinton: 54 Obama: 46 North Dak: Clinton: 46 Obama: 54 New York: Clinton: 59 Obama: 41 Oklahoma: Clinton: 62 Obama: 38 Tennesee Clinton: 55 Obama: 45 Utah: Clinton: 44 Obama: 56
So I've got Clinton taking most of the big states, including CA, but I have Obama taking 11 states. And this is more about guessing than polls, which have been all over the map. I didn't factor in JE because I was too lazy but obviously he will be getting a certain percentage of the vote- larger in some states and negligable in others.
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ellisonz
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Tue Feb-05-08 06:47 AM
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1. CA is a big question mark. |
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Edited on Tue Feb-05-08 06:48 AM by ellisonz
I think Obama wins MA by 3 points. MO will be within 5.
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cali
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Tue Feb-05-08 07:41 AM
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cloudythescribbler
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Tue Feb-05-08 12:20 PM
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3. these sound mostly realistic -- though I thought Obama was ahead in KS |
Invidious
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Tue Feb-05-08 12:21 PM
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Not sure why you are giving Kansas to HRC. She has NO campaign there.
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MadBadger
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Tue Feb-05-08 12:33 PM
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Alabama: Obama: 53 Clinton: 47 Alaska: Obama: 54 Clinton: 46 Arizona: Clinton: 53 Obama: 47 Arkansas: Clinton: 60 Obama: 40 California: Obama: 52 Clinton: 48 Colorado: Obama: 54 Clinton: 46 Connecticut: Obama: 51 Clinton: 49 Delaware: Obama: 53 Clinton: 47 Georgia: Obama: 60 Clinton: 40 Idaho: Obama: 55 Clinton: 45 Illinois: Obama: 68 Clinton: 32 Kansas: Obama: 52 Clinton: 48 Mass: Clinton: 51 Obama: 49 Minn: Obama: 55 Clinton: 45 Missouri: Obama: 50.5 Clinton: 49.5 New Jersey: Clinton: 53 Obama: 47 New MExico: Clinton: 53 Obama: 47 New York: Clinton: 58 Obama: 42 North Dakota: Obama: 54 Clinton: 46 Oklahoma: CLinton: 70 Obama: 30 Tennessee: Clinton: 56 Obama: 44 Utah: Obama: 58 Clinton: 42
I think Obama wins 14 states including California.
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joshcryer
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Tue Feb-05-08 12:40 PM
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6. Seems your pessimism from yesterday has abaited somewhat. :) |
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