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Lots of republican exit polls

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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:08 PM
Original message
Lots of republican exit polls
http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/

The Great Big Early Exit Poll Report

I just got a big pile of exit poll data.

The early wave in California: McCain 40 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 10 percent.

Fascinating and fun as it is, I remind my readers that this doesn’t tell us that much, as we don’t know what the district-by-district breakdown is. Also, there are three million absentee votes that I’m pretty sure are not included in this. So while these numbers are nice to hear for McCain fans, I take them with even more caution, skepticism and grains of salt than usual.

Missouri: Romney 34 percent, McCain 32 percent, Huckabee 25 percent.

Winner take all. If these numbers hold - and these are early voters, the later waves may change the final a bit — it’s a big, big win for Romney.

Georgia: Huckabee 34 percent, Romney 31 percent, McCain 30 percent.

Now on to the NYC-metro-area states:

New York: McCain 46, Romney 35, Huckabee 10 percent.

New Jersey: McCain 48 percent, Romney 35, Huckabee 9 percent.

Connecticut: McCain 50 percent, Romney 32 percent, Huckabee 7 percent.

More or less what we expected.

Now the big Mitt states:

The early wave in Utah: Romney 91 percent, McCain 5 percent, Huckabee 1 percent.

I think I’m ready to call that one.

Massachusetts: Romney 54, McCain 35.

But in McCain’s home state…

Arizona: McCain 44, Romney 39, Huckabee 8.

That’s a heck of a lot closer than I had expected.

On to the South, where the numbers at this point look good for Huckabee…

Alabama: Huckabee 42 percent, McCain 33 percent, Romney 20 percent.

Tennessee: Huckabee 34, McCain 28, Romney 23.

Arkansas: Huckabee 33, McCain 21, Romney 19.

Oklahoma: McCain 34, Huckabee 32, Romney 27.

A barnburner!

Delaware: Romney 43, McCain 34, Huckabee 18.

Not a big state, but it's winner take all, so I'm sure Team Romney would take it.

Illinois: McCain 47, Romney 31, Huckabee 15.


I can't believe I have to write this, but if you're in a state that votes today and you haven't yet, go out and vote. Don't let some report on a blog discourage you from exercising a right that our forefathers fought and died for.

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applegrove Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:09 PM
Response to Original message
1. Wow. Looks like McCain is not doing as well as I feared.
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New Dawn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. And he already got crushed in WV
:toast:
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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:11 PM
Response to Original message
2. Wow, McCain is only pulling 44% in his home state.
Yeeks. That's a little stunning.
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FreeState Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:12 PM
Response to Original message
3. RE: Arizona: McCain 44, Romney 39, Huckabee 8
Remember AZ has a sizable LDS population -

State Percent of state
Utah 71.76%
Idaho 26.63%
Wyoming 10.10%
Nevada 17.41%
Arizona 5.45%
Montana 3.58%
Hawaii 13.46%
Oregon 3.15%
Washington 3.10%
Alaska 2.86%
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Tweed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:13 PM
Response to Original message
4. This is why winner-takes-all is stupid
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thesubstanceofdreams Donating Member (625 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:14 PM
Response to Original message
5. If this holds true...

...McPain is doing a lot worse than expected, but still will emerge with a sizable lead. Which is kind of good for dems I think (having their candidate chosen by much fewer than 50% of repug voters but winning the nomination thanks to winner-takes-all states).
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damntexdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:28 PM
Response to Original message
7. I like the sound of that: exit, polls, GOP -- yes, show the GOP to the exit.
Bye bye, Republic Party!
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robbedvoter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:30 PM
Response to Original message
8. Wow! They hate him in Arizona - quite telling!
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loveangelc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:31 PM
Response to Original message
9. Go Romney, lol
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nonconformist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 06:32 PM
Response to Original message
10. Utah: Romney, 91% LMAO
I knew Mittens would win in Mormon country by a significant margin, but that margin cracks me up.
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