USE CAUTION but here are Dem exit polls from mydd.com

[Tropics_Dude83]

FWIW, here they are.

Second Wave Numbers
Alabama: Obama 60, Clinton 37
Arizona: Obama 51, Clinton 45
Arkansas: Clinton 72, Obama 26
Connecticut: Obama 53, Clinton 45
Delaware: Obama 56, Clinton 42
Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26
Illinois: Obama 70, Clinton 30
Massachusetts: Obama 50, Clinton 48
Missouri: Obama 50, Clinton 46
New Jersey: Obama 53, Clinton 47
New York: Clinton 56, Obama 43
Oklahoma: Clinton 61, Obama 31
Tennessee: Clinton 52, Obama 41.1


First Wave Numbers
California: Clinton 50, Obama 47
New Mexico: Obama 52, Clinton 47
Utah: Obama 61, Clinton 40

[BleedingHeartPatriot]

1. Nevermind. I see the source in your OP title.

[Sulawesi]

2. Those look good for Obama, but time will tell.

[WI_DEM]

3. Ok, we'll see what the voters say when the polls close, but if these numbers

are anywhere near accurate it's a very good night for Obama.

Look at NY and IL each homestates--if Obama gets over 40% in NY that is a moral victory for him.

[mopinko]

16. especially since barack did not lift a finger here.

did not spend a dime, did not lift a finger, and used all volunteers from here out of state. you can't get a flippin button.

[KittyWampus]

24. I live on eastern LI. No signs of any new support for Hillary, though I knew some who were

for her from the beginning. Has seemed to be some growth for O.

[Drunken Irishman]

4. Oh man, please be true!

[foo_bar]

47. except the New York part

There was a Hillary portrait hanging a couple feet from the lever machine in my precinct (Empire Ave. Brooklyn), but none of the poll workers could do anything about it ("believe me, we would if we could") since her autographed 8x10 had apparently been hanging in that spot since the 90s (beside another pic of Bill Clinton with a full set of early 90s hair). I didn't make a federal case out of it since Obama will get close to 100% of the vote in my district (once represented by Shirley Chisholm) and a grinning Hillary montage could push it to 101%.

[cali]

5. I don't buy it. but IF there's any truth to it

Clinton is in big trouble. Particularly if Missouri is accurate.

[Kittycat]

6. I'd love to believe it, but

the source makes me twitch. I'm going to come back to this tonight as the results come in though. This is the most condensed version out there.

[jefferson_dem]

7. Holy Cow.

That's a fucking dream!

[Alexander]

If these are remotely accurate, Obama's going to win big tonight.

Huge. As in "he's got the nomination locked up" kind of big.

[Mass]

8. I'll wait until we see real numbers, but I could live with those.

[slick8790]

9. My heart skipped a beat when I saw these. Seems WAY too good to be true.

We'll see, I suppose.

[HughMoran]

10. Looks like Hillary is getting crushed

She seems to be losing states she was expected to win.

[Onlooker]

11. Is mydd a legitimate site? n/t

[milkyway]

32. Yes, very much so. Progressive blog, and they really know their stuff. I'm trying to ignore exits

after 2004. But these numbers are overwhelming for Obama. Hillarys northeast stronghold would be in tatters if these hold. And Obama might gain more delegates in the much smaller Illinois than Hillary would gain in NY.

[loveangelc]

12. OMG. NJ. Wut.

[OPERATIONMINDCRIME]

18. I Voted For Hillary Here. But I Do Know A Lot Of People Excited For Obama!

Lately, I've heard a lot more buzz around Obama in Jersey. Wouldn't surprise me one bit if he totally wins here.

[loveangelc]

25. PLEASE GOD.

ok i cant get my hopes up right now.

[angie_love]

46. I'm with you, i'm just too nervous. I can't bear this right now.

Please Obama go go go!

[MadBadger]

26. My vote cancelled out you.

[usregimechange]

28. No, his was canceled by you! :-)

[OPERATIONMINDCRIME]

31. You Mean I Cancelled Yours. :p

Seriously though, I only picked Hillary because I still think she has the best chance of waging the most competent and strategical defense and counterattack against the RW spin machine when the rw vs dem campaigning begins.

But I actually love Obama. I'm proud of them both and can't wait to see either beat the shit out of the competition come the general election!

[slick8790]

27. Me neither.

I voted for him here, and my parents split Obama/Clinton. Good thing I dragged my dad to that Obama rally yesterday!

[usregimechange]

13. Yes! Will wait for actual numbers but that is good news 4 Obama folks!

[nadinbrzezinski]

14. If these polls are right... oh boy

I can hear it from many here tonight

Better stay out of this area of DU... the you know what will start flinging.

[Lucinda]

15. Can you post the source link?

Thanks!

[Mass]

17. Here, but I would take them with a grain of salt.

http://mydd.com/story/2008/2/5/18429/83923

[Lucinda]

33. Thanks! Appreciate the link.

:hi: I like to have data sourced. I'm weird that way. Thanks again!

[Adelante]

19. Jonathan Singer doesn't source these numbers

Saying they "crossed his desk" -- it would be really something if they were true and held all night, though.

http://mydd.com/story/2008/2/5/18429/83923

[Drunken Irishman]

22. It looks like the same numbers being posted by National Review.

[Adelante]

34. Man -- too bad it's so early, huh?

[BootinUp]

45. Yeah

if those numbers are true, I'm getting wasted. lol.

[KennedyGuy]

20. ummm...update...oops..

http://www.openleft.com/

-- These numbers often change dramatically from wave to wave. For example, the first exit poll #'s we got in Iowa showed Hillary in the lead. Over the course of the next few fiften/thirty minute intervals, they shrunk and eventually showed a healthy Obama lead. If these are the first waves (or even the second), they don't mean all that much -- especially hours from polls actually being closed in some of these locations.

-- Tim Tagaris is wrong. You should bet half of your life savings on these numbers, and the other half on Zogby's polling

[NoBorders]

21. Wouldn't get too worked up about these yet

Just a note of caution.

[MadBadger]

23. TPM is reporting those numbers too.

[jackson_dem]

29. If true Hillary is in big trouble if she can't salvage California

Obama winning New Jersey and Connecticut in Hillary's backyard? :wtf:

[sfam]

36. Obama has to win CA by 7 points today to win, so no, Hillary wins CA

Hillary has a 12 point advantage in the early balloting - 1/3 of the vote was already cast. So Obama needs at least a 6.5 point lead to brake even.

The REAL impressive numbers there are the totals for Illinois and NY. Obama gets bonus delegates, Hillary does not.

[jackson_dem]

38. We have to see how accurate the exit polls are

If Hillary can salvage California she can go on. If she loses CA and gets swept everywhere else Obama is the presumptive nominee.

[NoBorders]

40. Maybe not

The California Field Poll showed early voters breaking just about even - 30-30 or so.

[JackORoses]

43. actually if it's a third then he has to make up only 4 points

[K Gardner]

30. These just don't look quite right to me. These #s had to be compiled hours prior to poll closings in

all states and MANY hours prior to CA and the West, lots of after work people will not have voted yet. Afraid to count much on them, but very interesting !

[JackRiddler]

35. New Jersey would indicate a loss for Clinton, if it holds up...

If she can't take next door - and if it's that close in NY...

[adabfree]

37. New Jerseyan here...

I vote for Obama and so did the other 8 members of my immediate family!

[Arugula Latte]

39. They seem too good to be true. I'm trying to just keep my skepticism.

I've had my hopes dashed so many times.

(Odd about California, though. It seems odd that Obama wouldn't do better there if these other states are going for him. Hmmm.)

[NoBorders]

41. ding ding ding

We all got 'burned' by the exit polls in 2004 - don't forget.

[loveangelc]

42. its still early...

[bklyncowgirl]

44. After Ohio 2004 I refuse to get excited about exit polls.

Of course Ken Blackwell isn't running any of these elections.