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Based On What Limited Exit Polls Say, Obama Is Ahead In Overall Delegates 882-839

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THUNDER HANDS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 07:42 PM
Original message
Based On What Limited Exit Polls Say, Obama Is Ahead In Overall Delegates 882-839
Edited on Tue Feb-05-08 07:43 PM by Magic Rat
If the exit poll numbers for these states hold up. Based on the numbers that Drudge is reporting, if they're relatively accurate.

Alambama - 60 delegates overall -- Obama gets 36, Clinton gets 24.
Arizona - 67 delegates overall -- Obama gets 34, Clinton gets 33.
Arkansas - 47 delegates overall -- Obama gets 14, Clinton gets 33.
California - 441 delegates overall -- Obama gets 207, Clinton gets 220.
Connecticut - 60 delegates overall -- Obama gets 32, Clinton gets 28.
Delaware - 23 delegates overall -- Obama gets 12, Clinton gets 11.
Georgia - 103 delegates overall -- Obama gets 66, Clinton gets 37.
Illinois - 185 delegates overall -- Obama gets 129, Clinton gets 56.
Massachusettes - 121 delegates overall -- Obama gets 61, Clinton gets 60.
Missouri - 88 delegates overall -- Obama gets 45, Clinton gets 43.
New Jersey - 127 delegates overall -- Obama gets 67, Clinton gets 60.
New York - 281 delegates overall -- Obama gets 120, Clinton gets 161.
Oklahoma - 47 delegates overall -- Obama gets 18, Clinton gets 29.
Tennessee - 85 delegates overall -- Obama gets 41, Clinton gets 44.

Total = Obama gets 882 delegates.
Total = Clinton gets 839 delegates.
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jlake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 07:44 PM
Response to Original message
1. That's closer in delegate count than I would think (assuming his #s are accurate)
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jezebel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 07:45 PM
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2. What about the caucus states? nt
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Mass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 07:45 PM
Response to Original message
3. Way too early - Early exit polls and delegates are not given % to the statewide vote.\nt
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sfam Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 07:46 PM
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4. Bigger than the delegate total would be the perception if this holds...
Obama, if he wins Missouri, New Jersey, and Massachusetts, while getting bonus delegates in a few places, would be declared the "winner", even if Hillary takes California.

But we need to see how closely these actually hold up, and what happens in the rest of the states.
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npincus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 07:46 PM
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5. Exit polls had Kerry ahead in 2004
better to wait.
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mrreowwr_kittty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 07:55 PM
Response to Reply #5
10. Thank you. It ain't over til it's over. nt
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 07:47 PM
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6. I don't think that can be accurately estimated at this point.
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 07:48 PM
Response to Original message
7. Obama'll be up more becuase of Colorado, Kansas, Dakota, Idaho....
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jab105 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 07:53 PM
Response to Original message
8. Delegates are issued on a county-by-county basis...even with the information
that we have about %ages for the state-wide race, we still can't figure out each county and the %ages that each got...

Trying not to get excited...
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Indenturedebtor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-05-08 07:54 PM
Response to Original message
9. Ruh Roh
Lets see how it pans out....

Gobama :bounce:
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THUNDER HANDS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:53 AM
Response to Original message
11. wow...I was kinda close hours ago.
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