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Feb 5. was Hillary's best shot: the majority of the primaries/caucuses from here on out favor Obama

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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:29 AM
Original message
Feb 5. was Hillary's best shot: the majority of the primaries/caucuses from here on out favor Obama
Edited on Wed Feb-06-08 01:12 AM by Unsane
They're places with lower hispanic populations that are not in the northeast. Maryland, VA, DC, NE, WA, OR, OH, PA etc. TX has a higher hispanic population, but Obama's got a lot of time and money to spend there. It's also a more indy kind of state with an anti-Clinton trend.

Tonight was Hillary's best shot.
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tabasco Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:31 AM
Response to Original message
1. That's right.
Obama is doing what he needs to do tonight.
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 01:08 AM
Response to Reply #1
20. Shuster: the Obama camp is elated. They just wanted a draw.
The ST states favored her demographically.
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ginnyinWI Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:31 AM
Response to Original message
2. And Obama did pretty well tonight too
He won 12 states as of now...I know, it's the delegates. But he hasn't gotten lower than 33% in any states except OK and AK. That means delegates.
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:32 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. He will have won 13 states and may even lead delegates.
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MH1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 09:36 AM
Response to Reply #3
28. CNN has Obama in the lead with pledged delegates
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/#D

Clinton leads superdelegates 193 to 106; but isn't it true that Obama's been closing that gap, too?
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Rosa Luxemburg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:32 AM
Response to Original message
4. Obama is still gathering momentum
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 01:00 AM
Response to Reply #4
14. yup
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AX10 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:33 AM
Response to Original message
5. Caucus's are crap.
They are attending mostly by party elites. When it comes to REAL elections, Hillary is the winner.
I also saw Obama's combativeness in his speech tonight. Not very "hopeful".
Don't give me the Obama won more states nonsense. He won small states. Hillary dominated the large ones.

Sadly, DU, Dailykos, TPM, Huffingtonpost, Randi Rhodes, Rachel Maddow, Ed Schultz, Stephanie Miller, and Keith Olberman are crying right now trying to put a positive spin on what is a good result for Hillary Rodham Clinton.

:kick:
:party:
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:34 AM
Response to Reply #5
7. Obama won more delegates... the only count that matters...
...the ONLY count that matters.


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stevietheman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 01:02 AM
Response to Reply #5
15. Too bad Super Tuesday wasn't a week or two ago...
as then Hillary would have the nomination sewn up.

WHOOPS!
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 01:03 AM
Response to Reply #15
16. so true
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:33 AM
Response to Original message
6. here is the schedule
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:37 AM
Response to Reply #6
9. thanks
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:37 AM
Response to Original message
8. Maryland, VA, DC, NE, WA, OR, OH, PA ? - perhaps - the 90% black vote in Del won the state and DC/MD
will therefor go his way.

WA and VA are perhaps also likely


PA, Ohio, Texas maybe not so much

NE, OR are mystery states - I recall no polls!
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Arugula Latte Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:40 AM
Response to Reply #8
10. Yeah, we don't count here in Oregon ...
A May primary? WTF?
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:48 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. lol damn
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stillrockin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:52 AM
Response to Reply #8
12. This VA Dem votes Obama!
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 12:57 AM
Response to Reply #12
13. Gobama
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earthlover Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 01:08 AM
Response to Reply #12
19. This VA Democrat also votes Obama....because of hillary posters here
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Stop Cornyn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 01:05 AM
Response to Original message
17. Actually, Hillary does well in among Democrats in Texas (but theTexas Repubs HATE her with the white
hot passion of a thousand candles.
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 01:06 AM
Response to Reply #17
18. Is it an open primary?
All I mean is that TX isn't analogous to CA.
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Stop Cornyn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 01:10 AM
Response to Reply #18
22. Yes, it's open. And there aren't many interesting statewide Repub primary contests so we may see
some crossovers.
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Unsane Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 01:14 AM
Response to Reply #22
24. Interesting, wow.
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Rosa Luxemburg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 09:05 AM
Response to Reply #22
25. I think it will be very cloe in Texas
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JCMach1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 01:09 AM
Response to Original message
21. Two words... Texas and Ohio
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Texas_Kat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 01:10 AM
Response to Original message
23. Texas and Ohio favor CLinton
Pennsylvania as well, though I haven't looked up their primary date.
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 09:08 AM
Response to Original message
26. Texas is looking good for Obama
Hillary would win if the election were last year, but this isn't last year.
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cloudythescribbler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 09:33 AM
Response to Original message
27. These points are right -- for further analysis check out thread:
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