Obama could win the next 8 primaries/caucuses: NE, LA, WA, ME, VA, MD, DC, WI

[Unsane]

http://www.npr.org/news/specials/election2008/2008-election-map.html#/primaries/

Which one is Clinton really expected to win? Maybe Maine? I think it's a caucus, though. Obama could easily win 7 of the next 8 primaries.

[Colobo]

1. Obama will win them!

[Unsane]

3. Agreed. And I'm not trying to flame or anything.

But the next few primaries are states with low hispanic populations.

[Hoof Hearted]

10. So, you hate hispanics now?

Please explain yourself?

[Unsane]

11. Uh, screw off.

Lower hispanic population = bad for Hillary.

[Hoof Hearted]

27. But that's not RACIST, is it? Cuz, I'm thinkin' it is.

Let me check with my husband and kids.
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Yup.

It's racist.

[RummyTheDummy]

30. Let me check with mine

No, it isn't.

[Nailzberg]

2. You shouldn't ask DU'ers. Some on her insisted Obama wouldn't win any ST states after IL.

[Unsane]

8. yep

[Renew Deal]

4. Maine is most favorable to her from that bunch.

Followed by possibly Wisconsin.

[Unsane]

6. Agreed. But he seems strong in the upper midwest.

WI gets alot of Chicago spillover too.

[book_worm]

12. I think Obama has a good shot in Maine

which is a very liberal state overall and very anti-war.

[Unsane]

15. agreed

[sandnsea]

5. ME & MD

I think. I don't see any of the rest unless something drastic happens in the next month.

[MadBadger]

19. MD is very favorable to Obama

[sandnsea]

33. I hope so

I can't remember why I was thinking it wasn't looking as good, but I'm happy to eat those words!!

[Recursion]

7. She has a good shot in MD, and WA

It's definitely a much better calendar for him in the coming weeks, though.

[geek tragedy]

13. MD is HEAVILY African-American.

Baltimore, Prince George County. He'll win that one.

[Unsane]

14. Agreed. Last poll I saw he was up double digits.

It's like a mid atlantic version of Alabama, demographically.

[cottonseed]

9. He can win them and will.

Money, momentum, a bigger delegate haul. It's on!

[ursi]

16. cool!

[Perky]

17. Yes sir...

[TheWraith]

18. Very, very true. He's got momentum and is out fundraising her almost 3 to 1. NT

[jackson_dem]

20. VA, ME, WA, and WI are opportunties for her

VA is vital since it votes next Tuesday with MD and DC and Obama should win MD and DC. MD isn't in the bag, though. The last poll it at 34-32 with Edwards at 17%. Where Edwards' support goes will be decisive but the evidence thus far is that Edwards support usually breaks heavily for Obama.

[Tweed]

24. Does anyone have numbers on WI?

There is a lot of WI-IL crossover support when it comes to our politicians. In addition, you will see a TON of ground troops from Illinois volunteering their time to support Obama.

ME, WA, VA, I'd defer to other people.

[jackson_dem]

25. Nothing recent

Poll source ↓ Date ↓ Highlights ↓
Strategic Vision December 7-December 9 2007 Hillary Clinton 36%, Barack Obama 29%, John Edwards 12%, Bill Richardson 6%, Joe Biden 5%, Chris Dodd 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, undecided 10%

[Tweed]

29. Considering how high Obama was polling in other states vs Clinton

December 7 - December 9, don't you have to think that Obama is favored to win WI now?

[jackson_dem]

31. Yup but I wouldn't count Hillary out yet there

[milkyway]

21. Hillary's strongholds were all tonight. Obama campaign would have loved to be

within 100 delegates after tonight. They'll do much better than that.

[JeanGrey]

32. Think Hilllary will go quietly once she is defeated or try to

muscle in at the convention?

I am hoping and praying that EDWARDS is the VP.

[ShadowLiberal]

22. There's like no new polls in a lot of those states

There's not a lot of new polls in those states that I can find.

WA: Obama up by 13% (posted Feb 3rd)
VA: Last poll so old it's meaningless (posted Feb 12th, Clinton 49%, Obama 25%)
ME: Last poll so old it's meaningless (posted Oct 30th, Clinton 46%, Obama 10%)
MD: Last poll so old it's meaningless (posted Oct 22nd, Clinton 48%, Obama 29%)
NE: No polls
LA: No polls
DC: No polls

All those polls I found at electoral-vote.com.

I do agree though that things look up for Obama.

LA is a southern state, though Obama could be hurt by New Orleans removing so many African Americans.

Not sure what ratio of the population of DC is black/white/etc, but I think that Obama has been doing well in the cities, so things should look good for him in what's basically just a one city state.

Maryland I think has a sizeable number of blacks (according to another poster in here), and considering the huge boosts in the polls Obama has gotten since people started voting (after the last poll was taken) I think he can definitely close that gap.

Didn't the governor of Virginia endorse Obama? That'll help him close the gap there, and then all of the race conflict from a few weeks ago I would guess will hurt Clinton some there to.

Can independents vote in Maine? They've got one of the largest independent populations in the US, if they can vote in the primaries then it should be easy for Obama to at least narrow the gap some.

I have no idea how Nebraska will vote, but somehow if it's a caucus though then it'll favor Obama.

[grantcart]

23. its just a shame he can't raise any money though

[TheWraith]

26. I assume that was sarcasm.

At least, I hope so... but the Hillary supporters on here have caused me to doubt my detector's accuracy.

[TheDonkey]

28. OBAMA and his supporters need to work HARD to get these states. Nothing taken for granted

Hillary won't roll over...