johncoby2
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Wed Feb-06-08 12:24 AM
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What happened to the 17% lead in California for Obama? |
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I saw the polls today, and heard Ed Shultz talk about the 17% lead in California for Barack Obama, but currently he is losing by 22 points.
What gives folks?
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TwilightGardener
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Wed Feb-06-08 12:25 AM
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1. Early/absentee voting heavily favored her, and polls are often wrong. I don't heed them anymore. |
leftynyc
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Wed Feb-06-08 05:44 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
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Don't really understand why they keep getting posted. I guess they take up time and energy waiting for results but they've been so off and so many things not taken into consideration (early voting, etc), that they are particulary non-illuminating.
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tekisui
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Wed Feb-06-08 12:26 AM
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El Pinko
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Wed Feb-06-08 12:40 AM
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11. Definitely. This posts seems way premature, CA is very diverse and has 35 million people. |
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If the early returns are from the central valley, the results will be drastically different than if they are from LA or the Bay Area.
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joshcryer
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Wed Feb-06-08 05:42 AM
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14. We're at 80% reporting and Hillary continues to rise. |
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Edited on Wed Feb-06-08 05:42 AM by joshcryer
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kurth
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Wed Feb-06-08 12:26 AM
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3. Media shilling for the cult |
Faygo Kid
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Wed Feb-06-08 12:26 AM
Response to Original message |
4. Zogby sucks. Don't rely on him, Hillbots. |
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Polls suck generally, and Zogby specifically.
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leftynyc
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Wed Feb-06-08 05:45 AM
Response to Reply #4 |
17. I think the Obama people were pushing Zogby |
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The SUSA poll was being pushed by the Hillary supporters.
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BadgerLaw2010
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Wed Feb-06-08 12:27 AM
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Tiggeroshii
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Wed Feb-06-08 12:27 AM
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6. The polls I saw were going every which way |
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Edited on Wed Feb-06-08 12:27 AM by Tiggeroshii
I saw polls from Zogby saying he had 17 and 9 and polls from other people saying she had 17 and 13 or whatnot. The way I see it it could end up looking like anything.
They averaged all the entrance polls here:
www.realclearpolitics.com
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JorgeTheGood
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Wed Feb-06-08 12:30 AM
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7. I posted a couple of nights ago that Zogby ... |
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worked with the MSM and republican party to skew the polls - contrary to Obama posters that were claiming he is the best in the business ... That is all.
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MarjorieG
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Wed Feb-06-08 12:34 AM
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8. We need counter-spin facts |
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What is the percentage of each race's absentee ballots? What were the polls just post NH, when the Clinton camp looked stronger.
Obama is better on policy, even discussing it, better on content and positioning of it. How to convince others? The Letterman and Hallmark town hall show might have made a difference.
Please don't give me Bill again.
How do we convince voters it's not a done deal, for ones on the fence. Was Boxer waiting to see the win, or not wanting to impact the primary?
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johncoby2
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Wed Feb-06-08 12:34 AM
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9. Ed Shultz and all the liberal stations were saying this was a BIG deal! |
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Are they wrong also?
This means the polls are realy really bad.
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TahitiNut
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Wed Feb-06-08 12:36 AM
Response to Original message |
10. Is it really so difficult to post ths stuff in GD:P??? |
Clintonista2
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Wed Feb-06-08 05:41 AM
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dmosh42
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Wed Feb-06-08 05:40 AM
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12. polls are now used to stampede the electorate! |
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You see them posted here all the time with phony results. The pros realized years ago, that people want to be on the 'winner side'. That's why they don't report election results until Calif. closes.
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joshcryer
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Wed Feb-06-08 05:44 AM
Response to Reply #12 |
15. Well, exit polling is significantly more accurate than robocalling. |
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You can't be telling people how things are really, truly moving because that would just upset the whole political process.
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SKKY
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Wed Feb-06-08 05:45 AM
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18. I'd never seen a poll with Obama up by 17%... |
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...but it does appear that the early votes, most cast before South Carolina, have fallen heavily for HRC.
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Joe the Revelator
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Wed Feb-06-08 07:17 AM
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19. What happend to the fact that Hillary led in 19 of 21 states 10 days ago? |
adabfree
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Wed Feb-06-08 07:18 AM
Response to Reply #19 |
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Sure did...but no one wants to discuss that...at least no one in the Hillster's camp. If they do..the spin and say, "We always knew this was going to be a tight race!"
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William769
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Wed Feb-06-08 07:21 AM
Response to Reply #19 |
21. What happened to Obamas delegate count? |
TexasObserver
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Wed Feb-06-08 07:26 AM
Response to Reply #19 |
22. She coughed up leads in over half the Super Tuesday states |
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And managed to hold onto a few like California by having heavy leads she ran up in the early voting, before so many realized the Obama campaign is for real.
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adabfree
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Wed Feb-06-08 07:36 AM
Response to Reply #22 |
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Ignore William, he's scared and in a lot of pain...
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cali
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Wed Feb-06-08 07:41 AM
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24. SUSA had Hillary up 14%. Polls were all over the map. |
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and I never saw a poll saying he was up 17%.
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TheFarseer
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Wed Feb-06-08 07:44 AM
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25. Polls have not been reliable this primary season |
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I also saw John Zogby saying Clinton was going to win by significant margins in Missouri, Kansas and Colorado and that was on Monday.
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leftynyc
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Wed Feb-06-08 08:22 AM
Response to Reply #25 |
26. Can we all agree that Zogby |
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polls are completely unreliable at this point?
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Fri Apr 19th 2024, 12:57 AM
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