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Last week I posted a poll asking how would the MSM declare a "winner"

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featherman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 03:31 AM
Original message
Last week I posted a poll asking how would the MSM declare a "winner"
from tonight's results. The choices were:

#1 Who won the most states?
#2 Who won the most delegates?
#3 Who won California?

Choice #2 won the poll with #1 a close second.

Last time I looked at it, only one voter out of the 70 some had selected #3.

I now wish to crown this perceptive voter as champion media master.

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Clintonista2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 03:33 AM
Response to Original message
1. Here's my take:
#1) Land doesn't vote
#2) Hillary leads when you include superdelegates that are unlikely to change
#3) Hillary won California
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Tweed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 03:35 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. If Obama wins the popular/delegate vote
You don't think there will be massive pressure on the superdelegates to change?
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Clintonista2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 03:37 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Superdelegates that have endorsed a candidate are unlikely to change support. Also
The one single poll that people keep throwing around DU regarding Obama beating Clinton by 5 pledged delegates, is only a prediction. CNN, for instance, has Clinton winning in pledged delegates.
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Dogmudgeon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 03:55 AM
Response to Original message
4. Obama. Here's why --
The press has been talking up Obama not being able to come within about 100 delegates of Hillary, in spite of the over-confident polling results. They gave him, in effect, a 100 delegate buffer zone they knew he didn't need. Since Obama will be close in the delegate count, they will declare him the winner.

The press is pushing Obama pretty hard, anyway. They love a good story, and the meteoric career of Barack Obama is among the best. But soon, they will undertake to test him by giving him tougher questions, and eventually see if he can handle a full-on press dogpile the kind of which they know Hillary can handle. They will probably pull that move when they know they can spend a few weeks pimping McCain. The results will not necessarily determine the outcome of the election, but it won't be insignificant. Yet it could sink him -- at that point, they can try to knock both of them down.

By Thursday morning, the press will be unanimous that Obama decisively "won" Super Tuesday. They will also lower the expectations for the next primaries on Saturday (LA) and Sunday (ME) by predicting enormous Hillary wins in spite of evidence to the contrary. I think they will try to keep Obama slightly ahead of Clinton until the convention, in order to keep the excitement at a peak.

--p!
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