sunonmars
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:25 AM
Original message |
Are Republican States trying to pick our nominee? |
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This is a very serious Question, look at the states won and tell me Hillary's not better in the GE :
Clinton :
New Hampshire (we win in a GE) Michigan (we win in a GE) Nevada (we will win in a GE) Florida (we win in a Clinton GE) California (we win in a GE) New York (we win in a GE) New Jersey (we win in a GE) Massachusetts (we win in a GE) Arkansas (will go Clinton in a GE) Tennessee (will go Clinton in a GE) Oklahoma (we don't win in a GE) American Samoa Arizona (unwinnable if McCain is nominee)
Obama :
Iowa South Carolina (we don't win in a GE) Illinois (we win in a GE) Alabama (we don't win in a GE) Alaska (we don't win in a GE) Colorado (borderline) Connecticut (we win in a GE) Delaware (we win in a GE) Georgia (we don't win in a GE) Idaho (we don't win in a GE) Kansas (we don't win in a GE) Minnesota (we win in a GE, just) Missouri (tough against McCain) North Dakota (we don't win in a GE) Utah (we don't win in a GE, not a chance in hell)
Which ones do you think we are going to win in a General Election? Obama is not carrying states that trend democratic. Hillary is!
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ursi
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:27 AM
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1. Democrats in red states deserve our support not ridicule |
krkaufman
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:40 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
6. see: "50 State Strategy"; "Howard Dean"; "inclusiveness" |
bklyncowgirl
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:34 AM
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2. I believe that this shows that Democrats in red states & swing states prefer Obama |
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Coult it be that they know the attitudes of their neighbors better than you do. Any Democrat needs to win swing states in order to win the general election. That's just reality. Do you really think that New York, California and Massachusetts will not vote for Obama in the general election?
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sunonmars
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:37 AM
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3. I'm thinking of Ohio and Florida personally. |
krkaufman
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:41 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
8. Ohio hasn't voted, and Florida's primary was not contested. |
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Insufficient data to compute trends or tendencies.
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sunonmars
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:39 AM
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5. Tell me how many of those states you see going to us in the GE |
Vektor
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:47 AM
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13. You might be surprised. |
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Democrats are turing out in record numbers in ALL states, red, blue, and purple alike. Some of the red states that have been red by a smallish margin in the past might very well go blue this year.
The tides are turning this year - people are waking up from their slumber, in ALL states, and are hungry for change, and an end to the Republican warmongering. Whether they will ultimately give Clinton or Obama the nod remains to be seen, but even in the red states, Dems are garnering huge numbers of votes.
And many folks who have voted Republican in the past are voting Dem this year - I know several of them.
Barring massive election fraud (again) we are looking really good this time around.
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Radical Activist
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:44 AM
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11. People in swing and red states know Hillary can't win there. |
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I want a candidate who can win more than the hard core Democratic states that Kerry won. We can't win as a coastal party.
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krkaufman
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:38 AM
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4. Hillary's not better in the GE. Your conclusion is reversed. |
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The fact that Hillary edged-out Obama in the blue states does not mean he wouldn't carry those states in the GE, given that Dems have the advantage in them and he is likely to get most of Hillary's voters in the GE.
However, Obama's defeating Hillary in the "red" states shows that he would be the stronger candidate in the swing ("purple") and "red" states -- much like his pulling-in more Independents and Republicans in the open primaries indicates the same.
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fasttense
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:41 AM
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7. That's a pretty good break down. |
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Edited on Wed Feb-06-08 06:45 AM by fasttense
You follow my thoughts pretty well.
But surprises are what makes this interesting.
I love how Obama brought in some major Southern states, where the corporate media was saying he could never win. I love the fact that Hillary brought in California where the corporate news was saying Obama had it locked up.
And look at little TN, we voted for Hillary. That surprised me.
We have two very, not just good, but great, candidates. I love them both and wished I didn't have to make a choice.
Here is a joke I heard the other day:
This sums up the Democratic race - I have a dream and I have a plan. I think we could use both.
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TomClash
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:43 AM
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9. In case you haven't notice this is THE UNITED STATES nr |
Kokonoe
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:44 AM
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10. Red state south has blue states |
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In our red state, we have a democratic Governor and legislature. How can it be a red state.:shrug:
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burythehatchet
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Wed Feb-06-08 06:46 AM
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12. I hereby grant you license to become a prominent cablenooze analyst n/t |
rox63
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Wed Feb-06-08 07:49 AM
Response to Original message |
14. Maybe it has something to do with the fact that Obama actually campaigned in most red states |
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While Clinton only considers them flyovers. When people get to hear and meet Obama in person, they like him a lot. Clinton doesn't even show up and try to reach out to red state voters.
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Mon May 13th 2024, 05:03 AM
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