Will Obama win LA, NE, ME and WA this Saturday?

[cali]

Seems like those are strong states for him. I would say that ME could go for Clinton, but it's a caucus state, and I think that helps Obama. LA seems a strong state for Obama and so does NE. I'm less sure of WA.

[TexasObserver]

1. Yes, I think Obama wins at least 3 of those 4

She'll likely try to pick off Maine by working her over 45 white female constituency, which remains her core support.

[cali]

2. I'm not convinced she can win in Maine

In any case if she does win, it'll be close.

[TexasObserver]

6. I agree, she could lose Maine.

But in a state with Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins as the US senators, I wouldn't count out a female senator who talks and votes like those two Republicans.

[ccpup]

3. Washington State (as in WA) votes on the 19th, I think

did you mean DC perhaps?

[joshcryer]

4. If Hillary doesn't campaign in those states he'll win them handily. She needs to fire Mark Penn.

I can't believe they're even suggesting that they're taking it to Texas and Ohio, she needs to take the momentum she won tonight by winning CA and push it forward. By allowing Obama to take his win and continue winning states, it will destroy the idea that she got momentum at all.

Neglecting those states is the biggest mistake she'll ever make, if she does it.

[cali]

5. Nah, she won't neglect anything

Hell, I just heard that we Vermonters can expect to see both candidates here within the next month, and we're hardly a delegate rich state.

[Nimrod2005]

7. Yes of course

[mohc]

8. Well based on last night

Three caucuses: ME, NE, and WA
and one primary: LA

That seems to bode well for Obama. Right now the only one of those that is probably a lock at this point is the NE caucus, looking at how things went in KS. ME and WA would probably be close as primaries, but I think the caucus format will benefit Obama. As for LA, there has been absolutely no polling, so who knows really. Keep in mind its proximity to AR, and the demographic shifts New Orleans saw post-Katrina. In the end LA will probably be close to a wash either way.