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rateyes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:30 AM
Original message
Will the Super Delegates override the will of the people
in Denver, and give the nomination to a candidate who won't win the majority of the delegates in the primaries/caucuses?
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Patsy Stone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:31 AM
Response to Original message
1. I hope not.
But I have no idea.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:32 AM
Response to Original message
2. probably. I've said all along that Clinton will win because
of institutional advantages. It's not for sure that Obama will win the most pledged delegates. But even if he does, she'll get it.
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rateyes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:37 AM
Response to Reply #2
9. And, that will be bad for the party. Clinton will lose a lot of votes
if that happens. I hate to say it, but we better get used to the idea of very possibly having to talk of President McCain.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:39 AM
Response to Reply #9
12. I agree with you
if that's how she "wins", it puts a serious crimp in her campaign in the general.

Ack. I just agreed with you.
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rateyes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:45 AM
Response to Reply #12
18. Will wonders never cease?
:hi:
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leftynyc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 10:50 AM
Response to Reply #9
37. So the rules only matter when
it comes to seating delegates in FL and MI. Then the rules are sacred.

But the superdelegates (which are also part of the rules) - that's going to destroy democracy.
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JVS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:32 AM
Response to Original message
3. If the people split evenly, then they cannot be said to have a will
or at least not a well defined will.
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AGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:33 AM
Response to Original message
4. will the people in Florida and Michigian count?
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rateyes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:35 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. There are consequences to breaking the rules...
FL and MI disenfranchised their own voters. They voted for the rules, and they intentionally broke the rules thinking that they would not be subject to the rules. They were wrong.
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Windy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:38 AM
Response to Reply #6
11. Exactly.. in MI it was Debbie Dingel and Jennifer Granholm who pushed this issue
both are clinton supporters.

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Windy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:37 AM
Response to Reply #4
10. the other candidates did not campaign in MI and Florida. Obama excels when he campaigns
as evidenced by the returns. Hillary won florida on name recognition and early voting. Had Obama campaigned there, he may not have one but Hillary would not have gotten the lion share of the delegates.

In Michigan, he could have potentially won it if he had campaigned there.

The delegates can't be seated until a nominee is chosen, so sorry to dissapoint Agirl, but it doesn't really matter with regard to picking the eventual nominee. She/He has to win overall to be able to seat them.

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AGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:39 AM
Response to Reply #10
13. Nice to know that you think people in Florida are unable to judge the candidates on the issues
Edited on Wed Feb-06-08 08:40 AM by AGirl
I guess they have no access to newspaper, internet or anything else to learn about the position of the candidates.
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Windy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:43 AM
Response to Reply #13
16. Its an election. Its a contest. You have to compete for votes.
People can read the issues, but they need to see the entire package. No one outside of Illnois really knew obama until this election got rolling. Everyone already knew Hillary.
When they see and get to know obama, the equation changes. The evidence of that fact is overwhelming after last night.


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AGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:54 AM
Response to Reply #16
24. I have never met Obama, and I can *see* the entire package.
Edited on Wed Feb-06-08 08:54 AM by AGirl
I don't need to shake his hands or listen to one of his LIVE speeches.
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alarimer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:35 AM
Response to Original message
5. If they do, they will lose my vote altogether
Because what is the point of having primaries?

I think I can hold my nose and vote for either one but NOT if the candidate is someone other than the winner of the primaries. Unless it's Al Gore.
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rateyes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:50 AM
Response to Reply #5
22. I'm right there with you. nt
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rpannier Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:36 AM
Response to Original message
7. Hard to say
If there's winner by Denver then basically what the people have said is,
"We can't decide."

The super delegates need to be done away with.
It should be based on the voting of the members of the party: 1 person 1 vote kind of thing.

That being said:
If the situation comes down to no definite nominee and the super delegates choose Obama, will his supporters be as upset as they are now about the prospects or will they just chuckle and say, "Those are the rules."

Let's hope it doesn't come down to the super delegates.

It may also comedown to the few delegates that Edwards has tipping the scales.
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:37 AM
Response to Original message
8. At this point it's probable they'll have a say. Looks like the MSM created horse race is here.
It's going to be an interesting convention no doubt. Either candidate needs a good 200+ point lead over the other to be able to keep the superdelegates from changing their minds.
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Windy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:40 AM
Response to Reply #8
15. MSM created? The people spoke! I am proud of my country this morning!!
We have a woman and an african american who brought people in masses never before recorded out to the polls. We had cross over of repubs and independents and white men voting overwhelmingly for an african american in the heartland.

This nation has evolved. It is so encouraging!
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WolverineDG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:58 AM
Response to Reply #8
28. MSM created? Think not
They were predicting it would be all over for both parties by New Hampshire. You could tell they were stunned by the results in both Iowa & NH & still haven't quite figured out that people are voting for the one they think is best, not the ones the media told them to vote for.

dg
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joshcryer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 09:00 AM
Response to Reply #28
30. Almost every state Hillary has won she was considered losing.
The MSM has created a horse race between Hillary and Obama because it means more profit in the long run.
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WolverineDG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 09:25 AM
Response to Reply #30
32. Sorry but I recall just a few months ago
the media was having orgasms over a Clinton-Guiliani race.

dg
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onenote Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 10:46 AM
Response to Reply #30
35. Huh?
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:40 AM
Response to Original message
14. Superdelegates who want to cash in will likely go for Hillary
She's much more likely to make the kind of deals that promise positions to super delegates looking for a cushy post election job in the new administration. I can't see Obama being that smarmy, so he's unlikely to get the superdelegates who are looking to be bought.

Super delegates who must run for reelection will likely support the candidate who will most help them in their state. That will favor Obama.

Overall, I think the party loyalists will prevail over the hacks who are looking for their next job.
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ShortnFiery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:43 AM
Response to Original message
17. They better not. If The Clintonian DLC selects ANOTHER candidate (they have since 1992), the Party
will splinter in many directions. HRC may be the democratic nominee, but ALL AMERICANS will be saying "President McCain" come January of 2009. :grr:
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rateyes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:49 AM
Response to Reply #17
20. That's what I'm thinking. We Democrats have a habit of
snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. If we had voted for the person with the most experience and the best prepared to lead the country right now--Obama, Clinton, & Edwards would not have been the first-tier candidates.

Biden, Dodd, Richardson would ALL clean McCain's clock in the GE. I'm afraid we're getting ready to blow it, again.
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frogcycle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:46 AM
Response to Original message
19. if no candidate wins a majority
then they HAVE to "give it to one who did not win a majority"

if your plaint is that it might be other than the leader (a plurality), well, that IS why there ARE Super Delegates.
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rateyes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:52 AM
Response to Reply #19
23. I'd be interested to see who is winning the popular vote nationwide
Edited on Wed Feb-06-08 08:55 AM by rateyes
right now. And, I wasn't talking about a majority of all the delegates. I'm was talking about a majority of just those delegates who are selected by the primaries/caucuses. It's very possible a candidate could have a majority of those votes and still not have a majority of the total.

I want to know that the superdelegates are listening to the people.
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frogcycle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 10:43 AM
Response to Reply #23
33. if they DO listen to the people
then they are irrelevant

not saying they should not be, but it is kinda weird to demand that they follow the popular vote when they were created for the express purpose of providing a means not to do that
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Tarc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:50 AM
Response to Original message
21. This Superdelegate slagging is childish and pointless
Why are Superdelegates so vilified? You all knew how the process works before getting into the race, so it does little good to bitch and bellyache when a part of the process doesn't go the way you want it to go.
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BenDavid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:54 AM
Response to Original message
25. this will be a mute point as hrc will have the most delegates
irregardless of super delegates....I think you obama folks need to go take some prozac and chill for the rest of the day. No one is going to steal your delegates...so chill..kick back, relax, your guy had a good night but hrc had a better one.....but then again we hrc supporters did not come in here for almost 2 weeks telling us how great the kerry endorsement was and then how greater the kennedy endorsement was and then telling us how great the zogby poll was in california showing obama way ahead and how great it was that oprah came back out for a rally and maria shriver was going to put obama over the top.....this is why you all need to chill....
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rateyes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:56 AM
Response to Reply #25
26. I voted for Edwards.
Edited on Wed Feb-06-08 09:01 AM by rateyes
I'm not in the "Obama folk" crowd. And, BTW, nice spin. Looks like Obama won more delegates (and, positively more states) than Clinton did last night. And, the word is "regardless" not "irregardless." Perhaps you meant "irrespective."
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frogcycle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 10:44 AM
Response to Reply #26
34. you forget to call him out for "mute point"
:rofl:
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Vinca Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 08:58 AM
Response to Original message
27. If they do, there will be 2 fewer Democrats in New Hampshire. nt
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rateyes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 09:00 AM
Response to Reply #27
29. I'll bet more than 2. nt
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Dr.Phool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 09:22 AM
Response to Reply #27
31. There's already 2 fewer in Florida.
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Tom Rinaldo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-06-08 10:47 AM
Response to Original message
36. Do a little adding and you will discover that Hillary Clinton
...has won substantially more actual individual votes so far this primary season than has Barack Obama. Does that count for anything in your concern over the will of the people? Clinton has also done better than Obama in secret ballot primary contests where a large percentage of actual voters show up, as compared to "wheel and deal", "bend and twist" caucuses where smaller numbers participate.

And the vast majority of Super Delegates are Democrats who Democratic voters elected.
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