I think Hillary can win Washington State

[ProudToBeLiberal]

First of all, Hillary has institutional support among Asians, like in Korean Town in Tacoma, and the international district in Seattle. Plus, Former Governor Gary Locke endorsed her, which will help among the Chinese-American population.

Second, Washington State likes to elect women for office. It has two woman senators and a woman governor.

Third Ron Sim, the county executive of King County has endorsed Hillary Clinton. Obama should have the edge in seattle, but Ron Sims will make it close.

Hillary will take Pierce County, especially in the ship building areas, such as Bremerton and Tacoma.

So far, the two Senators and the LT. Gov has endorsed Hillary.

Honestly, I think the margin of victory will come from the Asian population. It'll be close, but mark my words, Hillary will win.

[MadBadger]

1. I think Obama will clean up in Seattle and win by about 12 points.

[Buzz Clik]

2. Does it matter? The delegates are assigned proportionally, so a close race splits the delegates.

[ProudToBeLiberal]

5. If it's a tie, Hillary Wins

As long as Obama doesn't get the momentum, Hillary can win Ohio, Penn, and Texas.

[Buzz Clik]

10. We shall see about all of that.

[Unsane]

3. Its a caucus

[AGirl]

6. thats not good, not sure if asian will turn out for caucus.

[ProudToBeLiberal]

9. Asian community leaders will turn them out.

Especially the asian ministers, business, and community leaders will.

However, the only problem I see is that a lot of the Asian pop in WA are undocumented.

[AGirl]

4. woo, hopefully, it wouldn't be sleepless in DU...

[tyne]

8. Will the

Hillary supporters be committed enough to devote 3 to 4 hours for her on caucus night?

[ProudToBeLiberal]

12. well, demographically

I think she will get the former Kerry supporers (union members), while Obama picks up Dean supporters (starbucks, college, and professional crowd.

[Tierra_y_Libertad]

7. I'm voting for Gravel in the Beauty Contest, faux primary.

And, will probably do the same in the GE.

[Tweed]

11. Well Feb. 3 poll has Obama 53%, Clinton 40% and on Oct 28 it was Clinton 44% Obama 29%

Obama does well in caucuses.
He does well when he campaigns fully in a state.

I'd say it's an uphill battle for Hillary.

[ProudToBeLiberal]

14. Well

just like they under estimated Asian support in California, I think they are underestimating their support in WA. But, if Hillary can't keep it close in Seattle, it's pretty much Obama's victory. I'm just assuming that Ron Sims machine can keep in close.

[MadBadger]

20. SurveyUSA nailed Cali, and they are the poll that did WA. They had Asians at 12%

Which I think was pretty close. CNN exit polls show that 11% of the voters were non white, blacks, and latinos.

[ProudToBeLiberal]

22. within the same poll

31 pecent of Obama supporters plan to attend the Caucus and 26 percent for Senaotr Clinton.

http://www.king5.com/topstories/stories/NW_020508POB_washington_caucuses_TP.9426ef36.html

I think it's close.

[MadBadger]

24. Maybe, btw, you see those GE numbers for Hillary vs. McCain/Obama vs/ McCain

Obama blows him away while with her its tied.

[WillyT]

13. OTOH...

<snip>

In Washington State, the biggest prize available this weekend, a total of 68 delegates will be decided in caucuses. Four years ago, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean did better in Washington than he did in any place outside his home state and the District of Columbia. Washington is one of the most highly educated states in the country, and the dominance of white Seattle liberals in the electorate could favor Obama heavily.

Washington State political watchers on both sides of the contest agree Obama has the leg up. Clinton backers privately admit that their candidate will likely lose on Saturday, while Obama supporters play up their organizational advantages and speak confidently of wins throughout the liberal western half of the state, from which most delegates will be allocated.

<snip>

Link: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/printpage/?url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/02/road_ahead_tough_for_clinton.html

:shrug:

[ProudToBeLiberal]

18. This is all true

but, I'm saying is that if Ron Sims can't keep it close in King County, Hillary has a chance to win.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

27. The "Hillary supported the WAR" will not go down well in WA

there's also Idaho-like country in WA.

[Straight Shooter]

15. I see Barack taking Washington, with a big boost from Seattle.

Does anyone know if he's giving a celebrity-studded rally there? Seattle would be the place to do it. It's a great city. I was thrilled when they went for Howard Dean.

[ProudToBeLiberal]

19. I saw Dean when he came to Seattle and Tacoma!

I was/am a deaniac. Now I'm supporting Senator Clinton.

[Straight Shooter]

21. Go ahead, make me jealous. Twist the dagger in my heart.

:P

[ProudToBeLiberal]

23. and I got his signature on one of the Howard Dean't Blue sign.

muahahahahahahahaha

[Straight Shooter]

26. Don't be cruel to a heart that's true (for Howard, that is)

:cry:

[ProudToBeLiberal]

28. awww :hugz:

:hug:

[marlakay]

16. i live in WA and been hearing about obama

since last summer, his campaign was only one who sent us posters for the fair. I hear his name all over the state and would be surprised if she won.

I am caucusing for obama in a small town in the mountains.

[kstewart33]

17. WA is a caucus state, and

Obama has won 7 out of 8 caucus states, each with considerable margin, like the one I went to last night in Denver.

Obama won by a 2-to-1 margin. The reason I think - Obama people are more energized to take the trouble to go to caucus.

[GreenTea]

25. She'll win the whole "left coast" California, definitely Oregon and most likely Washington.

[elixir]

29. Thanks. Where can I find polling for our upcoming battles - WA, D.C., VA, etc.?

[ProudToBeLiberal]

30. realclearpolitics

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/

Has some good datas.

What I usually do is just go to google and search for "Washington state caucus poll" and etc to find out about local polls. Usually most places don't really avergae local polls.

[The empressof all]

31. In suburban Snohomish County

My family of three, who were all Edwards supporters, will now be standing on Sat for Obama. The caucus is how the delegates are decided not the primary. It's important that we all get out on Sat to stand for our candidate.

[AGirl]

32. kick