My predictions for Washington on Saturday

[Truth2Tell]

I've been keeping my finger very much to the wind here for the last few weeks, and here's what I think is gonna happen:

Obama 56 delegates
Clinton 32 delegates
Uncommitted/Edwards 9 delegates

Feel free to bookmark this and call me all the names you like after I'm proved wrong on Saturday.

[TexasObserver]

1. sounds about right

Translated for Canadians:

"Sounds aboot right, eh?"

[Yael]

2. You said there were emails flying about the uncommitteds getting

organized. How is that going?

[Truth2Tell]

4. There is an Uncommitted rally planned

for friday night in Tacoma at the Electrical workers Union Hall. I'm also attending an uncommitted potluck tomorrow night in Seattle. Unfortunately I haven't seen much press outside of the blogs on this.. so I'm keeping my expectations low. We will need to break 15% in individual congressional districts to get any delegates. Maybe we can do that in King and Pierce Counties. Outside of that I'm not holding my breath. My 9 delegate estimate may be optimistic. But there are certainly people working hard at it, so let's hope.

Edit to add: the Obama and Clinton campaigns have begun to infiltrate this movement and have people showing up at these events to recruit supporters. I was on the state steering committee for Edwards, and we all just got an invitation from the Clinton campaign to attend a Bill Clinton event on Friday morning in the VIP section, whatever that means. I'm thinking of attending and asking him how much of the $$ they're loaning the campaign is from Kazakhstan. :evilgrin:

[LisaM]

3. No, I think you are about right. Many factors favor Obama:

1) He does better in caucus states
2) Eastern Washington is very conservative, and will vote as Idaho did
3) He will do well in Seattle - lots of young voters in tech jobs will go for him
4) He will get better media coverage
5) Obama voters are more likely to go to caucuses than, say, older women or women with kids.

I plan to caucus for Hillary on Saturday and I am dreading the experience. Even in my own household, we are split, but I've been yelled at several times by people who want Obama (or worse, treated with withering sarcasm, "What? I could never vote for HER. If Obama doesn't win, I'll vote for {John McCain} {Ron Paul} {no one}".

Ron Paul is leading here as well. Washington voters like eccentricity. That's why the San Juan Islands went for Perot, then a few years later, went for Nader.

[Truth2Tell]

5. I haven't decided if I can ever support Hillary.

I'll cross that bridge if I come to it.

You can always caucus for Uncommitted and avoid the heat. :)

What Congressional Dist. are you in?

[LisaM]

6. I live over by Northgate......

I know I can caucus uncommitted. However, I also like Hillary and would like to help her get delegates. I'm not anticipating the event, but I'm certainly not going to go and just vote (wait for it........) "Present"! LOLOL.