Tonight by the numbers: Obama's lead more than doubled

[jefferson_dem]

Tonight by the numbers: Obama's lead more than doubled
by Sam Graham-FelsenSaturday, February 09, 2008 at 11:02 PM

Campaign Manager David Plouffe...

Tonight’s results were a meaningful event in Barack Obama’s march to the Democratic nomination.

Based on estimates of returns, Obama more than doubled his current pledged delegate lead. Entering tonight, the lead was 27 pledged delegates, it is now estimated to be a lead of 72. In the four contests today, we estimate we won 103 delegates to Clinton’s 58 delegates for a net gain of 45 delegates.

This net gain of 45 delegates represent more than the 42 delegate net gain Senator Clinton earned in the states of Massachusetts, New Jersey, Tennessee and Arizona – combined.

The pledged delegate total through February 9 now stands at 1,012 for Obama and 940 for Clinton.

Delegate Estimates

Louisiana Delegate Projection: Obama 32 – Clinton 24

Nebraska Delegate Projection: Obama 16 – Clinton 8

Washington Delegate Projection: Obama 52 – Clinton 26

Virgin Islands Delegate Projection: Obama 3 – Clinton 0

http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/post/samgrahamfelsen/CmB3

[ananda]

1. Also, did ya'll notice..

.. how many more Dems are voting than Reeps?

The difference is huge.

[NJSecularist]

2. Damn, that's some serious pwnage

Will Hillary use the Guilani strategy and put all of her eggs in one basket (or two, Texas and Ohio)?

[joshcryer]

3. Damn, I called it almost exactly, 100 delegates.

[Colobo]

4. Obama has PWNED Hillary tonight.

[mathewsleep]

8. what does pwned mean?

what does you're a retard mean?
pwned!

i still don't know what it means.

-quoted from college humor.

[Usrename]

11. lol

it's just one of those typos that caught on, like: HUGH!!1!!!!111

only it was way back during the earliest message board days (bulletin boards?) and it means owned

I think the original spelling is pwn3d




http://lolrats.blogspot.com/

[Name removed]

5. Deleted sub-thread

Sub-thread removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[OzarkDem]

6. Clinton still ahead in delegates

Sorry, dude, you can't avoid the truth forever.

[jefferson_dem]

9. Superdelegates don't count. Obama has won 60+ more delegates than Hillary.

That. Is the truth.

[Levgreee]

13. Would you rather have more pledged delegates, or have more total delegates because of supers?

The answer is equivocally, in this situation, that either candidate would prefer what Obama has. He is winning the delegate battle.

[RaleighNCDUer]

14. Superdelegates are not committed. They don't count until the convention. nt

[fuzzy otter pop]

17. why are Hillary people so admit about hiding behind

EDWARDS ICONS?

TOO COWARDLY TO NAME YOUR OWN WEAK ASS CANDIDATE

[exchange_77]

7. Louisiana: 9 in 10 blacks votes for obama, 7 in 10 whites voted for Clinton

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/09/us/politics/09cnd-campaign.html?pagewanted=2&hp

------------

digging into the numbers..there are some disturbing trends..
------------



"
In Louisiana meanwhile, exit polls showed about one in five voters said gender was an important factor in their vote in the historic Democratic contest to nominate either the first black or first woman for president, The Associated Press reported. About as many said the same thing about race. Of those whites who said race was an issue in their vote, almost 9 in 10 of them voted for Mrs. Clinton, while blacks who said it was important voted 9 in 10 for Mr. Obama. The racial gap in Louisiana was more extreme than in many other states this year: 9 in 10 blacks voted for Mr. Obama, while 7 in 10 whites voted for Mrs. Clinton.

Unlike previous Democratic contests, there was apparently no significant gender gap, with men and women voting in similar ways, even across races. Mrs. Clinton won the votes of most white men, a group she has lost to Obama in some states but has tended to win in the South. Those women who said gender was important to their vote went 6 in 10 for Mrs. Clinton, while women who said gender wasn’t important went 6 in 10 for Mr. Obama.

Voters over 50 years old were much more likely than those under 50 to say they were looking for a candidate with experience, and those looking for experience voted overwhelmingly for Mrs. Clinton. While older whites favored change and experience about evenly, more than half of younger whites favored a candidate who would bring about needed change. But even though Mr. Obama tends to be associated with change in this campaign, most younger whites voted for Mrs. Clinton instead of Obama. Blacks of all ages favored change, and they voted overwhelmingly for Mr. Obama. Most younger voters were black, while most older voters were white.

"

[anigbrowl]

12. What's disturbing about it?

Louisiana is part of the south, you expect a slightly greater degree of polarization among voters. Black voters have never had a black presidential candidate to vote for before, so it's not surprising he's winning big majorities. White voters in LA may figure Obama has the state pretty much wrapped up but want to keep Clinton in the running to see how things turn out, so they'll give her their vote.

'Disturbing' is people saying things like 'disturbing' as if to imply that predictable results were proof of some awful future lurking around the corner. You might as well draw the conclusion that Louisiana won't vote for McCain in the GE because huckabee won it today.

[RaleighNCDUer]

15. I'm afraid that says more about Louisiana than it does about

either Hillary or Obama.

[Hippo_Tron]

16. The New Orleans mayoral race was mostly on racial lines

And it was sad but not surprising. I voted for Landrieu over Nagin because I felt that Nagin was completely incompetent. I'm supporting Obama this time around and I suppose he's getting the black vote just as Nagin did.

I don't really know what to make of the racial divide and frankly I think that anybody who says that they do is full of shit. Obama is certainly not winning states like Nebraska and North Dakota because of black votes. But in states where there's a large black population it seems that the race goes along racial lines and Obama can never get more than 35% of the white vote.

If you want my guess, I think it's because Hillary had such an advantage going into this that if not for the racial factor she'd be getting the black vote in those numbers as well. But that's just a guess.

[CTD]

19. And the white vote was almost evenly split between Obama and Clinton in CA

What's your point? Or is this another post trying to support the "black candidate" meme the Clinton campaign is pushing?

[ShadowLiberal]

10. That's great, and the next few states favor him to

That's great, what's that when you those delegates to the total number of delegates (counting super's) that they both have?

According to the previous totals listed at another site I get these overall totals.
Clinton: 1122
Obama: 1086
Net advantage to Hillary: 36
Super delegates from Super Tuesday not assigned yet in that site's total: 47

[Major Hogwash]

18. Great post! "Yes, we can" is quickly catching on in our area.

Washington was a blowout for Obama.

My brother in Seattle said he never saw so many people go to vote there before.
He said the GOP might as well stay home in the fall, they're going to get their asses kicked at the polls in November.