My Prediction for Tomorrow's Potomac Primaries

[MadBadger]

Not including Superdelegates, 168 delegates are at stake, including 15 in DC, 70 in Maryland, and 83 in Virginia. These are my predictions

Virginia % Del
1. Obama 64 54
2. Clinton 33 29

Maryland
1. Obama 65 46
2. Clinton 32 24

DC
1. Obama 75 11
2. Clinton 24 4

Obama wins the Potomac Primaries with 111 delegates to Hillary's 57, with a net gain of 54. In Maryland, Hillary will lose by at least 20 points in Montgomery County, while she will have her best efforts in the areas of the Baltimore Beltway, excluding the City itself. She will do well enough in Pikesville, Reisterstown, and Owings Mills, but Towson University will set her back. Obama will get around 70 percent of the vote in Baltimore however, and it will lead him to a strong victory. The only reason I'm analyzing only Maryland, is because its the only one that I actually know something about.

[XemaSab]

1. I think the proportional delegates thing on one level makes sense and on one level is silly

If GEORGE BUSH ran today in say, Hawaii, and got 20% of the votes, why should he got anything other than a plane ticket home? :shrug:

And I'm saying this knowing that Clinton won by 20+ points in Oklahoma and Arkansas, so if the rules were less proportional Obama would go home with nothing, regardless of the fact that he won Oklahoma City. :evilgrin:

But I think it's stupid that candidates can write off states and still win delegates.

To use another metaphor, in school, anything less than 60% is an F. Shouldn't there be a percent total for delegates that also equals an F? :shrug:

[malletgirl02]

2. Virginia

I think Virginia might be a tighter race.

My prediction:

Obama 55%
Clinton 45%

[MadBadger]

3. I see him routing her in Richmond and Northern VA. and coasting to victory.