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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:35 AM
Original message
Predictions for tonight
Obama will win Virginia, 55% to 40%
Obama will win Maryland, 60% to 35%
Obama will win DC, 75% to 25%
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lse7581011 Donating Member (948 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:36 AM
Response to Original message
1. From Your Lips
to God's ears!
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:37 AM
Response to Original message
2. Good predictions but I think Obama will get over 60% in Virginia (n/t)
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harun Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 08:54 PM
Response to Reply #2
20. Just wanted to stop back to say I told you so:
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Olney Blue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:38 AM
Response to Original message
3. OK- will check back in later and see how good you are at predictions!
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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:39 AM
Response to Original message
4. Obama will narrowly lose VA
You heard it here first!

:-)
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:40 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Let's hope not.
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:44 AM
Response to Reply #4
7. She should win. She's the clear frontrunner, the establishment-candidate.
I just hope Obama can keep it close.

:)
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:47 AM
Response to Reply #4
10. OOoh a bold statement
Marking for tomorrow.

Care to offer insights??
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alcibiades_mystery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:02 AM
Response to Reply #10
17. No
:-)
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Adelante Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:03 AM
Response to Reply #4
18. Narrowly lose
Or narrowly win. I keep going back and forth on which it will be.
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:42 AM
Response to Original message
6. One estimate has Obama adding 32 net delegates tonight.
Obama Adds 32 Net Delegates After Tonight?
12 Feb 2008 09:43 am

The Constituent Dynamics poll of the Potomac Primary is out today. Thomas Riehle of RT Strategies used automated interviews with more than 14,000 residents of the Chesapeake's region to project the delegate allocation we'll see after tonight's primaries.

In Maryland, Obama wins every congressional district, most of them by double digit margins, and winds up with a delegate edge of 6 to 18, with 12 being the more likely figure.

In Virginia, Obama will have an edge of between 7 and 20 delegates in this projection (with 13 being the most likely figure), and in DC, an edge of between 3 and 11 delegates.

Riehle projects that Obama will see his net delegate totals increase by about 32 tonight.

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/02/dear_marc_i_thought_you.php#comments
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H2O Man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:44 AM
Response to Original message
8. Interesting.
Good day to be a democrat.
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:46 AM
Response to Original message
9. No Cigar
Obama will win Virginia, 58% to 37%
Obama will win Maryland, 62% to 35%
Obama will win DC, 70% to 25%

I was hoping that he could pushe to 60% in all three and take on the air of invincibility, but I think we will have to wait for Wisconsin for that.

I am very interested in seeing the geographical breakdown for Obama in VA. hillay is strongest in the Shenandoah but they are getting snow. That could push Obama to 60% if it is to snowy to get out to vote.
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IDemo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:49 AM
Response to Original message
11. Good predictions, but let's not forget
they don't matter! :crazy: :eyes:

_______Matters___|___Doesn't Matter___
-------Hillary states
-----------------------------Obama states
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Eurobabe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:51 AM
Response to Original message
12. Hey Katz!
You need to delete your siggie line link, it heads to MY photobucket account. :hi: (I broke the link already)
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Windy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:52 AM
Response to Original message
13. I don't predict. We all have to WORK if we want Obama to win and keep winning.
There can be upsets. Don't ever count Hillary and Co out.
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BenDavid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:53 AM
Response to Original message
14. followed soon there after with changing water into wine, and
Edited on Tue Feb-12-08 10:54 AM by BenDavid
walking on water, healing the sick ......

I say HRC will get the nomination but IF obama does then he has done what he needed to do. Obama will now be looked upon by the black community as the new MLK. There will be no more Jessie and Al. No more looking backwards to the old days of the civil rights movement. No more need for Andrew Young, John Lewis.....Obama will be the go to guy now...Even if he gets the nomination and he loses, and lose he will it WILL NOT have a bearing on Obama since he will have the new status as the new leader of the black community.No more Bill as the "first black president" since Obama played the race card and race baited in such a way the whore media fell for it and then instead of attacking the person responsible the whore media attacked, and atacked both Clintons.

Remember, the democrats had this election won until obama decided to save us.....
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Bluerthanblue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 10:55 AM
Response to Reply #14
15. wow-
what a sad part of who you are you just exposed.


I wish you peace~
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jimbot Donating Member (138 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:02 AM
Response to Reply #14
16. Once again, I can't tell if this is sarcasm.
Seriously, are you being sarcastic or are you really trolling to start some kind of "vast black wing conspiracy" type thread?

--JT
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-12-08 11:05 AM
Response to Reply #14
19. That is an awfully racist sentiment. He is the co-presumptive of the Entire Democratic Party
If that really irritates you.. I suggest you cross the aisle or mover to Utah....

Oh wait he won there too.


Obama is getting more white votes than Black votesHe is getting about 40% of the white vote on average.

Hillary is only getting 55% of the white vote from Super Tuesday forward.

After Suuper Tuesday he is outpacing Hillary on whte votes.


He is close to becoming the presumptive leader of the entire democratic party.
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