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If Hillary loses Texas, IT'S OVER

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ButterflyBlood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:28 PM
Original message
If Hillary loses Texas, IT'S OVER
This is supposedly her "big comeback". If she fails to deliver, what then? And it's not outside the realm of possibility considering possible big crossover from die-hard Hillary-hating Republicans with the GOP race already done.

But if she loses Texas (or Ohio for that matter), the Obama-bashing from the Hillbots here needs to end, because IT'S OVER.
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LakeSamish706 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:29 PM
Response to Original message
1. Even bigger than that, if Hillary doesn't win Texas big, its over. n/t
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FormerDittoHead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:36 PM
Response to Reply #1
9. True. She needs a TEXAS sized win down there, and I don't see that happening...
I have very good friends in Texas, and I've been there quite a few times. My experiences aren't scientific but I can tell you this:

I'm sure she has her followers down there, but Texans LOVE to HATE Hillary.

Texans aren't so much for "come backs" as they are for "winners". (Funny how that's different in the Northeast)

In NJ, I voted for her, I'm not anti-Hillary, but momentum is a reality, and Obama's got it rolling like a freight train...
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sloppyjoe25s Donating Member (664 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:23 PM
Response to Reply #9
34. FORMER Rush Fan?
Rush is the absolute greatest!! Rush is the meaning of life! The source of all that is good in the Universe!!

I like your post - but how can anyone be a FORMER Rush fan?!?

sorry... for being off topic - but i'm reeling at your screen name... ;)
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liberalnurse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:22 PM
Response to Reply #1
33. She will Clean Up in Ohio.........
Just sit back in your seat, fasten your seat belt because it all changes in Ohio....soon.
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sloppyjoe25s Donating Member (664 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:41 PM
Response to Reply #33
38. You agree she needs AT LEAST 25 points margin in Ohio?
to remain viable in pledged delegates?
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ginnyinWI Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 09:10 PM
Response to Reply #1
45. that's what James Carville said, almost--
He said:

"Make no mistake," Bill Clinton's former chief strategist told the Orlando Sentinel. "If she loses either Texas or Ohio, this thing is done."

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/02/13/carville-do-or-die-for-clinton-in-texas-and-ohio/
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:30 PM
Response to Original message
2. Actually, if she doesn't win it big, it's over
big as in 65%+, otherwise she has to win PA, OH with over 70%.

not happening.
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Yael Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
3. Mathmatically, she has to with BOTH Texas and Ohio by at least 60%
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rateyes Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
4. She not only has to win it,
she has to do a 2-1 margin there, or it's over.
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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:32 PM
Response to Original message
5. If Clinton loses Texas, I will feel a furrowing up my leg
And it will probaby be an otter with Chris Matthews's face!


EEEEK!!!
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SoFlaJet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:35 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. BWAHAHAAAAAAAAA
I wonder WTF he meant by that? Was he getting a "Boener" or something?
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Whisp Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:32 PM
Response to Original message
6. All My Axes Live in Texas.
we will see.
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:33 PM
Response to Original message
7. It's just over.
I just don't see how she can pull 60-65% off. She hasn't done it thus far and now must do it in the face of Obama's momentum? Sorry, but no.

I'm not trying to be a downer or gloat, but I just don't see it happening.

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ronnykmarshall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:25 PM
Response to Reply #7
35. Whitney says ...
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Barack_America Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 09:04 PM
Response to Reply #35
42. What a classy and intelligent rebuttal. Thanks.
:sarcasm:
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ronnykmarshall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 09:06 PM
Response to Reply #42
43. Oh lighten up,
Good god.

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loveangelc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
10. i think that's pretty much what everyone's thinking is...lol
but it needs to be a blowout
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Birthmark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:38 PM
Response to Original message
11. If Texas gets hit by an asteroid, IT'S OVER
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TheDonkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:42 PM
Response to Original message
12. Breaking: Images from Clinton's TX campaign HQ
Located in Alamo TX

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ronnykmarshall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 09:11 PM
Response to Reply #12
46. Another great example of UNITY and HOPE!
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:47 PM
Response to Original message
13. Enough already
please stop the "if Hillary doesn't do this or that" stuff.
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:51 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Why?
She has a very short and clear lists of things she has to do in order to not become completely irrelevant. Why can't people talk about that?
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:54 PM
Response to Reply #14
16. Don't worry
OzarkDem would be calling for Obama to pull out of the race if he was in the position that Clinton is in right now. I think everybody is giving her a huge benefit of doubt that she doesn't deserve.
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Yael Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:52 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. It isn't personal -- its math
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:54 PM
Original message
Mark Penn started it. He said she had to win TX and OH.
And be within 25 delegates of Obama on March 5th.
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totodeinhere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:00 PM
Original message
I thought that this forum was for discussing the primaries.
So where do you get off telling people what they can't discuss? What Hillary has to do to win the nomination is very relevant to this forum IMHO.
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Bicoastal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:01 PM
Response to Reply #13
23. James Carville is actually the one who said it. It's currently on cnn.com.
"Make no mistake," Bill Clinton's former chief strategist told the Orlando Sentinel. "If she loses either Texas or Ohio, this thing is done."
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liberalnurse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:35 PM
Response to Reply #13
36. Relax sister............
let fools spin their wheels.............They better fasten their seat belts because the roller coaster ride is just about ready to depart from the station; rushing thrills approaching.

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mtnsnake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:54 PM
Response to Original message
17. Why would she lose Texas? The lady hasn't even turned it up a notch yet. Look out when she does.
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ButterflyBlood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:00 PM
Response to Reply #17
21. Wait till Giuliani really hits at Florida! n/t
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onehandle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:54 PM
Response to Original message
18. Really? Are you sure? Thank you captain obvious. nt
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:58 PM
Response to Original message
19. Sorry, it depends on the margins of delegates, not winning a
state. This thing is going on till the last dog dies.
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ButterflyBlood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:00 PM
Response to Reply #19
22. How's she going to get more delegates without Texas?
It's virtually mathematically impossible.
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:17 PM
Original message
You think Obama is going to take every delegate in Texas? Can
I have some of what your smokin?
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ButterflyBlood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:21 PM
Response to Original message
32. He won't of course. But he doesn't need to.
He already has a lead, and Hillary needs around 56% of the upcoming delegates to even tie it. Even if Texas is a tie delegate wise, this number goes up, and it becomes almost impossible. Hillary meanwhile needs every delegate she can get. Even winning Texas by a few delegates probably isn't enough.
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:01 PM
Response to Reply #19
24. If she continues to lose, she's going to drop out
Her campaign has already drawn a line in the sand, the establishment is going to want the fighting to end, and she is going to want to save her political career.
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Little Star Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:19 PM
Response to Reply #24
31. She is not going to drop out till the last vote is counted. Watch out
she's coming back.......Stronger than ever! You will see, but not until it's to late for your boy.
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Radical Activist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 07:59 PM
Response to Original message
20. What happened to Ohio?
Last week I kept hearing about how she was going to win Ohio too. But since the Tuesday primaries I don't hear bout it anymore. I guess we know what the Clinton strategy is.

If Texas is the only state she wins that day then she's done.
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hell-bent Donating Member (593 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:17 PM
Response to Reply #20
29. Well, she is leading in Ohio by 17 points.
And then there is Pennsylvania. It ain't over till it's over,eh. Meanwhile, perhaps the MSM will start to look at the new Messiah more closely. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/latestpolls/index.html
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mopinko Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:01 PM
Response to Original message
25. if it wasn't already over, she would be
in wisconsin.
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Politicub Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:04 PM
Response to Original message
26. Maybe so. Then you can dance on her political grave
Won't that be fun? You could symbolically mount her head on a pike, and even create a jaunty YouTube video set to Mozart's Funeral March.

It would be such a hoot.
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ronnykmarshall Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:06 PM
Response to Original message
27. You whine about Obama bashing and yet post that picture.
Edited on Wed Feb-13-08 08:24 PM by ronnykmarshall
How lovely.

I'll be on the look out for any olive branch you might extend. More like stink weed.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g89hNVQ96YE
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:08 PM
Response to Original message
28. She doesn't have to win by a large margin to keep going
She just needs to win. Then she can take this to the convention.

If she loses Texas, all bets are off, however.
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hell-bent Donating Member (593 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 09:03 PM
Response to Reply #28
41. I hope she brings her delegates to the convention
and causes a deadlock. Then, the two of them have to decide on an alternative nominee. That would give me great pleasure to see the Obama supporters on this site scream like hell!
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David Zephyr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:19 PM
Response to Original message
30. It's already just about over. Even Texas can't save her if she loses Ohio.
The train is already off the track and is only now seeking a crash landing.
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Bongo Prophet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
37. "...the Obama-bashing from the Hillbots here needs to end..." Can you even hear yourself?
End. the. name. calling. PLEASE.
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Chicago1 Donating Member (560 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:44 PM
Response to Original message
39. If Hillary LOSES: Thank you Lord for hearing our prayer
Then Senator Obama can get down to work and start pounding on McNOTHING!!!


START THE IMPEACHMENT
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ORDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 08:45 PM
Response to Original message
40. One could argue that it's already over.
Obama leads in delegates and popular vote, EVEN if you were to count FL and MI.

Clinton's hill is too steep to climb, unless she wins BOTH TX and OH by at least 60%.

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/02/13/661146.aspx

Cumulative vote totals for primaries and caucuses to date:
States Awarding Delegates
Total Vote %
Obama 9,373,334 50%
Clinton 8,674,779 46%
Others 726,095 4%

With Florida
Total Vote %
Obama 9,942,375 49%
Clinton 9,531,987 46%
Others 984,236 4%

With Florida and Michigan
Total Vote %
Obama 9,942,375 47%
Clinton 9,860,138 47%
Others 1,249,922 6%
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TalkAgain Donating Member (89 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-13-08 09:06 PM
Response to Original message
44. If she doesn't win by more than 15% it is over
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