If Hillary was to win WI by 2% (her margin of victory in NH)...

[skipos]

how would that change the remaining states, the perception of momentum, the media story, etc?

I think it is not an impossibility.

[NJSecularist]

1. It would certainly hurt Obama

It might hurt Obama's chances of winning Ohio.

But regardless of what happens in Wisconsin, I still believe he'll win Texas.

[ozone_man]

2. The come back kid.

Just when you thought it was over, a come from behind victory could change the perception that Obama is inevitable. Wisconsin is very important for that reason, since it sets the stage for the big contests on March 4th.

[HereSince1628]

3. Sure it's possible, but is it likely?

At the moment I'm sitting in a very red 1st ring suburb.

All the dems I know here which is about 8 middle-aged to baby-boom white people (yes very small number) are unhappy she's not putting in the time Obama is.

I don't know if that will mean that any of that handful leaning toward HRC will change their vote, but the disappointment that WI is considered not as important as later primaries is unanimous.

[Alhena]

6. Going to Wisconsin late was a big mistake by Hillary ...

however she does in Wisconsin, it's a safe bet she would have done better if she had shown up early instead of heading to El Paso.

[skipos]

8. How "likely" was it that she would win NH?

The WI polls are looking better for her than the NH polls were.

[CTD]

4. Except Obama is ahead and Hillary isn't campaigning there

How does anyone expect her to win? Even by 0.5%?

He's 4 pts up on average right now. Generally he goes UP not down as the vote nears.

He's campaigning hard in WI. And he's got a killer ground game.

I think it's very unlikely Hillary will even come within 10 pts of winning WI.

[nebenaube]

5. from what I see

She'll be lucky to break 12%...

[TwilightGardener]

7. It's certainly possible she can pull out a win there--however, as the

primary season is more than halfway through, statewise, I think Dems are going to want to see the race settled and have a nominee, psychologically speaking, especially since the R's have their nominee settled. I think Obama's wins are creating enough momentum where people aren't going to have the New Hampshire "Not-So-Fast" reaction they did after Obama won Iowa--it's getting late in the game now, and thoughts are turning to the general election.

[Renew Deal]

9. Kerry beat Edwards by 6 in 2004

After Kerry really started rolling. It was the only close race for Kerry After NH (he lost SC, OK, VT). The win in Wisconsin propelled him to Super Tuesday.