Rasmussen: Clinton Extends Lead in Texas (54-38)

[jsamuel]

Hillary Clinton 54%

Barack Obama 38%

Not Sure 9%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/texas/texas_democratic_presidential_primary

Conducted February 14th
Survey of 577 Likely Democratic Primary Voters - That means they include independents and republicans since it is an open primary.

[MadBadger]

1. Has Rasmussen ever polled Texas Before?

If not, how did she extend her lead?

[skipos]

7. Is the poster lying? I'd like to know. nt

[jsamuel]

10. I am comparing it to other polls that have been released recently.

This is the first one to show her +16 in a while.

[MadBadger]

13. So then I would be right to say Obama has taking the lead, because ARG has him up, right?

Even though they suck.

[jsamuel]

16. All the polls suck. I only posted this one because I thought the other one gave an incomplete view.

This one by itself is also incomplete. They are all just guessing anyway.

[tandem5]

29. self delete

[book_worm]

2. poll was taken during time HRC has been campaigning hard in TX

I'll wait and see what it looks like after Obama has spent some time there.

[anamandujano]

34. Early voting starts this Tuesday so he'd better get his @ss in gear.

[AGirl]

3. k and r

[Egnever]

4. This sounds more reasonable.

[grantcart]

5. One of the problems with this poll and all others is that they are asking

likely Democratic voters and Texas is an open primary. Republicans and Independents can show up at the polling place and ask for a democrat ballot.

[jsamuel]

8. they include independents and republicans

[grantcart]

17. that wasn't in the link. Its not a question of including but what percent?

What is the modeling they used? It takes a really large poll to accurately factor that in and in most state by state polls the selection is too small.

More intersting was that Rasmussen markets show an even 50/50 split on the betting money on who was going to win.

[jasmine621]

25. And that is precisely what is wrong with the system. nt

[nolabels]

33. The "likely" might be a clue also

The 18 to 24 set which has been coming out in bigger numbers and might not even get polled won't be seen till ballots are cast

[hogwyld]

6. So, when is Barack's concession speech? n/t

[SoFlaJet]

19. It's all over for Obama

I mean these polls stop the Obama campaign's 8 state winning streak in it's tracks...he may as well concede, because these are the kind of "results" the Clintons' must have been referring to with their new attack strategy...pack it in Barack, and a note to Texans; don't even BOTHER showing up because these polls tell us all we need to know because we ALL know that poll numbers equate into victories this year...right?

[goldcanyonaz]

9. When is the Texas debate? Can't wait.

[aquarius dawning]

15. Oh yeah! get some.

[Rock_Garden]

11. Extending, even as we speak.

[aquarius dawning]

12. To all my old friends in Texas I say thank you and beware of the Sirens song

lash yourself to the mast and plug your ears lest you hear it.

[Cameron27]

14. Excellent!

K&R

[not_too_L8]

22. I wonder what you think if these numbers

February 15, 2008 - Texas Primary Preferences

From..American Research Group, Inc.

Democrats TX

Clinton 42%
Obama 48%
Someone else 3%
Undecided 7%

Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama among self-described Democrats 47% to 42%. Obama leads Clinton among self-described independents and Republicans 24% to 71%. Obama leads among men 55% to 29% (47% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Clinton leads among women 54% to 42%. Clinton leads Obama among white voters 51% to 40% (53% of likely Democratic primary voters), Obama leads Clinton among African American voters 76% to 17% (22% of likely Democratic primary voters), and Clinton leads Obama among Latino voters 44% to 42%.

22% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary and 20% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary. 30% of men say they would never vote for Clinton in the primary.

For details, click on the R or D for each state


I think you lead is shrinking!!!

[Thrill]

18. Thats a small sample. Does it include independents

[berni_mccoy]

20. Rasmussen is a respectable pollster... I would have a hard time not believing this result

As much as I don't like the answer.

[LulaMay]

32. Quinnipac Poll is the same, and has her far ahead in Ohio and Pennsylvania too.. nt

[Thepricebreaker]

21. Wrong - there are zero mention of independent voters in the whole artical or breakdown.

[not_too_L8]

24. HRC...Say good by to Texas

The numbers are coming in and BO is ahead of HRC when you include all the voters!!!

Clinton 42%
Obama 48%
Someone else 3%
Undecided 7%

Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama among self-described Democrats 47% to 42%. Obama leads Clinton among self-described independents and Republicans 24% to 71%. Obama leads among men 55% to 29% (47% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Clinton leads among women 54% to 42%. Clinton leads Obama among white voters 51% to 40% (53% of likely Democratic primary voters), Obama leads Clinton among African American voters 76% to 17% (22% of likely Democratic primary voters), and Clinton leads Obama among Latino voters 44% to 42%.

22% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary and 20% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary. 30% of men say they would never vote for Clinton in the primary.

[tandem5]

30. ARG(h) haha nt

[Adelante]

23. 32% could change their minds

That's a large number.

However, just 68% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters in Texas say they have made up their mind and are certain about their vote. Ten percent (10%) remain undecided, 5% say there’s a good chance they could change their mind, and 16% say they might change their mind.

[ruggerson]

26. great news

thanks for posting

[NJSecularist]

27. yup...

Rasmussen, middle of the road.

From now on, I'm only going to take SurveyUSA seriously.

[loveangelc]

28. rasmussen is terrible at polling big states though...

rasmussen:
Election 2008: California Republican Presidential Primary
California: McCain 38% Romney 38%

Election 2008: California Democratic Presidential Primary
California: Obama 45% Clinton 44%

[CaptJasHook]

31. Dang, I was hoping Texas succeeded by now...

From a former Alaskan. You know the real BIG state.