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"Add-on" superdelegates: Another bonus for Obama

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ButterflyBlood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-18-08 06:50 PM
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"Add-on" superdelegates: Another bonus for Obama
Edited on Mon Feb-18-08 07:14 PM by ButterflyBlood
Something most don't realize about superdelegates is that not all are chosen yet. Each state has at least one "add-on" which is to be elected at the state convention, or by the state Democratic committee if there is no convention. In every caucus state, this means the state convention, and that greatly benefits Obama because an obviously pro-Obama convention will elect only pro-Obama delegates even if officially unpledged, and Obama won the vast majority of these. For primary states it's not so clear, some committees will follow the will of their states' votes, others won't, but the numbers favor Obama.

Delegates per states that have voted so far:

Iowa* - 1
New Hampshire - 1
Nevada* - 1
South Carolina - 1
Alaska* - 1
Alabama - 1
Arkansas - 1
Arizona - 1
California - 5
Colorado* - 1
Connecticut - 1
Delaware - 1
Georgia - 2
Idaho* - 1
Illinois - 3
Kansas* - 1
Massachusetts - 2
Minnesota* - 1
Missouri - 2
North Dakota* - 1
New Jersey - 2
New Mexico - 1
New York - 4
Oklahoma - 1
Tennessee - 2
Utah - 1
Louisiana - 1
Washington* - 2
Nebraska* - 1
Maine* - 1
DC - 2
Maryland - 2
Virginia - 2

*Caucus

Assuming all states follow how they voted, that's 30-31 for Obama (Nevada is unclear, Hillary won the popular vote but there might still be a pro-Obama majority at the state convention) and 20-21 for Hillary. Furthermore since Obama's are more likely to be for him because of his victories at the caucuses and domination of the state conventions, there's more likely to be going against the state vote in the primary states. That's another roughly 10 delegate lead for Obama and a portion of superdelegates Hillary needs that she won't get.
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Scurrilous Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-18-08 06:57 PM
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1. Thanks for posting this!
:thumbsup:
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