angie_love
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Mon Feb-18-08 07:10 PM
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Question: If voter turnout is 2:1 over repugs this year, why aren't the national polls reflecting th |
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that? Why is McCain running neck and neck with Hillary and Obama? I assumed democratic enthusiasium would be somewhat reflected in the national polls. I admit, I am nervous about this whole thing. What with Hillary trying to take Obama down by any means possible, and the right wing galvanizing if Hillary is the nominee, I'm afraid we are hurting our chances in November. And whats impt to me more than anything is having a democrat in the whitehouse come November. Thank you.
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thereismore
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Mon Feb-18-08 07:11 PM
Response to Original message |
1. Because they are asking even repugs who did not lift their asses off the sofa for the primaries. nt |
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Edited on Mon Feb-18-08 07:11 PM by thereismore
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Alexander
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Mon Feb-18-08 07:15 PM
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2. I think cell phones have thrown polling numbers off lately. |
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Younger voters are more likely to have cell phones and more likely to vote Democratic.
You don't get polled if you don't have a land line.
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tritsofme
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Mon Feb-18-08 07:30 PM
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4. However Obama's support has rarely been understated in polls. |
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Usually more overstated than anything.
It seems that the polls are capturing the Obama voters who tend to be young rather well, if not over-representing them.
I think the phenomenon presented by the OP more likely reflect the fact that Democrats are enthused about their candidates and Republicans will probably get off their ass and vote in the GE, but none of their candidates were very exciting to begin with.
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marlakay
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Mon Feb-18-08 07:16 PM
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3. calling likely voters not the ones that stay home nt |
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