**WISCONSIN PREDICTIONS**

[The Ghost]

What does everyone think? I believe Hillary is going to squeak out a win tomorrow. It seems like to me that Wisconsin is going to be in the vein as NH voters, as in they dont like the 'inevitable Obama momentum' etc etc, and they will pull a NH and vote Hillary. I personally dont want this to happen, but for some reason I really dont believe the majority of these polls. I hope Im wrong, and maybe some people have some real Wisconsin perspective, but this is my gut feeling.

How does everyone else feel? Something just seems to be in the air right now, I cant quite pinpoint it.

[Drunken Irishman]

1. Obama by 11.

[tekisui]

2. I predict that Obama will win handily.

And he will easily take Hawaii.

After tomorrow, he will have a 150+ Delegate lead. Not counting the SuperD's.

[scheming daemons]

3. I think the latest crap pulled by the Hillary campaign will backfire in a major way....

...this ain't NH.

[grantcart]

4. Obama 57 C 43

[Perky]

13. Obama 56 to Clinton 43. (Clinton claims moral victory fo getting above 40% again)

[grantcart]

40. Obama internal polls show O 53 C 46 last week

Obama campaign manager David Plouffe worked hard to depress expectations for Wisconsin on a conference call today, but it appears that the campaign's internal polling shows that he has a decent lead in the state, 53%-46%.

Of course, that was last week, before Hillary abruptly scheduled new stops in the states and upped her ad buys.
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/

[sniffa]

5. Hillary by 20

Anything less will be the death of her campaign.

[GarbagemanLB]

8. Ridiculous

I have her beating Obama by 25.

[sniffa]

10. I was being polite to Obama

She's most likely going to win by 30 and cruise to the nomination through Texas and Ohio.

[thevoiceofreason]

6. A few more yutes in Wisconsin

[usregimechange]

7. Obama by about 10

[Capt. America]

9. Obama by 3%

[MadBadger]

11. Obama 54-42

[NJSecularist]

12. Hillary 51, Obama 49

[Drunken Irishman]

18. Way to lower the expectations, NJ! :D

[NJSecularist]

23. I'm not lowering expectations...

If you remember during the Virginia and Maryland primaries I predicted something like 60-33 in both states while alot of people were being gunshy and thought that Obama would actually lose the state. I have confidence in Obama.

But I have a feeling that Hillary's last ditch effort today, in addition to the plagarism smear by Hillary, could put her over the top tommorow. IMO, those who think that Obama is going to beat Hillary by 10+ points tommorow are going to be surprised.

Obama has never won a primary like Wisconsin before. This is a state that Hillary should do well in based on the demographics.

[Drunken Irishman]

38. While I agree the demographics favor her, Obama will win.

The fact Clinton isn't polling better should alarm most anyone who thinks she'll win. As for what's happened today, if this were to have happened a few days ago, I agree. But generally a story like this 24 hours before an election, unless it's a major development, has little impact on the voters.

[democrattotheend]

21. I think that's right

I am really worried, folks. Obama has gotten a bunch of bad press today and yesterday and I am worried about the impact. Are these phony plagiarism charges sticking in WI?

I am really nervous...someone tell me I am panicking for no reason.

[NJSecularist]

27. I thought Hillary had a chance to win the state before these allegations

And combined with the inclement weather yesterday and Hillary's full day of campaigning in Wisconsin today while Obama was nowhere to be seen, I think the state has a chance of going to Hillary.

[Drunken Irishman]

60. WRONG. :D

[pmbryant]

14. Obama by 5%

Just a wild guess, really. I suspect it could be anywhere from Obama by 15% to Clinton by 5%.

--Peter

[DadOf2LittleAngels]

15. Bama by 5-8

Other Predictions:

Hill bots will declare it a major vicotry by the Clinton campaign as Wisconsin is one of those states that does not count..

[cd3dem]

16. depends if republicans come out for Obama...

[Torgo Johnson]

17. Obama by 7

[Yael]

19. Did she cry at her rally tonight?

[elixir]

26. No, but she copied Barack's speech from earlier today. That should work.

[Yael]

29. Okay, then I give it to her 66-32

[elixir]

30. Was his speech THAT bad?!

[Yael]

31. I put it in backwards

LOL!!!

[John Q. Citizen]

20. Obama by 13%

[bluestateguy]

22. Snow

Which candidate's supporters will tredge through the snow to vote for him or her, and who will stay home?

[BeatleBoot]

Doesn't it depend on which districts they win as far as Delegates?

Madison goes for "tiny bubbles".

Outstate goes for Clinton.





Bubbles go "POP"

[Alexander]

24. Obama 53%, Clinton 47%.

It will be narrow but the demographics and numbers favor Obama.

[David Zephyr]

37. I think Alexander has it just about right. It will be a close election. 53/47 sounds right to me.

And that is still a good victory in my eyes.

[Alexander]

39. Thanks. I'll go even further and say Texas will be 51%-49%, whoever wins.

I think Texas will be extremely close. We probably won't know the results until late that night.

And that's not good news for Team Clinton, even if they do win.

[elixir]

25. Hillary handily.

[thoughtcrime1984]

28. 54-45 Obama

[ladym55]

32. A few things to think about

Hillary came in to campaign in Wisconsin late. Obama was on the ground earlier and more completely. According to Randi Rhodes this afternoon, Hillary Clinton had not planned on campaigning in Wisconsin. I don't know how obvious this was to the citizens of Wisconsin.

Wisconsin allows people to walk up, register, and vote. I know my son is moving his registration to Wisconsin tomorrow and voting for Obama.

I'm not predicting anything because this entire primary season has been crazy.

[RBInMaine]

33. Independents will probably swing to Obama.

If there is high turnout among young voters, Independents, blacks, and men, Obama wins it. I think it will be quite close. Just so hard to say given all the variables with this one. Hopefully the Hillary "plagiarism" nonsense won't have an effect.

[elfin]

34. I agree with you

- but I hope Obama wins.

She is strongest in blue collar areas, a significant chunk of our electorate.

[ORDem]

35. Obama by 7%. You heard it here first! :)

:kick:

[Sulawesi]

36. nope, post 19 ;-)

[sniffa]

41. It looks like my prediction of HRC by 20 is going to come true

based on the exit polls. Congratulations Senator Clinton. :patriot:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=4653700&mesg_id=4653800

[insanity]

49. Hah, by 20?

I don't believe it.

[sniffa]

50. Well, maybe 19

but not much more. All the exit polls are pointing toward my prediction, and it doesn't look good for Obama. I pray he at least can come within 15 to save his candidacy. If he comes in under 15 it's a huge win for him.

[THUNDER HANDS]

42. Obama 52-47

[MadBadger]

45. Making a prediction after some exit poll data came out

Yea, Yea, Yea.

[HiFructosePronSyrup]

43. Clinton 44, Wisconsin Doesn't Count 56.

[GarbagemanLB]

44. Gravel by 15, Ron Paul by 4.

[Guava Jelly]

46. Ron Paul takes it

You've heard it here first!

[Tatiana]

47. Obama by 12. n/t

[high density]

48. Obama by positive infinity.

[Arugula Latte]

51. My predictions about Wisconsin:

Beer will be made and people will drink it.

Cheese will be made and people will eat it.

Sausages will be cooked and people will eat them.

It will be cold in the winter.

People will hope the Packers win.

[CalebHayes]

52. O - 59% C - 39%

[Faygo Kid]

53. I predicted a big Obama win in New Hampshire. I'm out of the predicting business.

His loss in New Hampshire is probably my fault. I jinxed him by picking him. So I think I will sit out this prediction thing, and kick back and see what happens.

[intaglio]

54. Why is nobody taking the big bet?

hey, I'll go
Obama 60 Clinton 37 others 3

So I may well be wrong but I'll laugh a lot if I'm nearer.

ps I am crap at the predictions business

[I Vote In Pittsburgh]

55. Obama by 15

Gore lost bad when he campaigned in Wisconsin because ... drumroll ... people felt he was too negative.

[The Ghost]

56. Ill finally chime in with my number prediction

as much as I hope Im wrong, i think it will be :

Clinton 52%
Obama 48%

[grantcart]

57. kick

[The Ghost]

58. Every now & then ...

it feels good to be wrong!

OBAMA!

[MadBadger]

59. I'm lookin good with my Obama 54 Clinton 42 prediction.