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New ARG Wisc. poll tonight. Obama 52, Clinton 42

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jezebel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:31 AM
Original message
New ARG Wisc. poll tonight. Obama 52, Clinton 42
Edited on Tue Feb-19-08 12:32 AM by jezebel
taken yesterday and today 17th and 18th
http://americanresearchgroup.com/
Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton among men 59% to 37% (46% of likely Democratic primary voters). Among women, it is Clinton 47% and Obama 46%. In the February 15-16 survey, Obama was leading Clinton among men 48% to 42% and Clinton was leading Obama among women 55% to 39%.

Obama leads Clinton among white voters 49% to 45% (88% of likely Democratic primary voters), Obama leads Clinton among African American voters 86% to 9% (8% of likely Democratic primary voters), and Obama leads Clinton among Latino voters 61% to 33%.

27% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary and 15% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary. White voters age 45 to 64 have switched from Clinton to Obama, although women in this age group are less apt to say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton when compared to the men in the age group.


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TheDonkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:31 AM
Response to Original message
1. I think ARG has been unreliable so far this season. I wouldn't put much water in this
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:32 AM
Response to Original message
2. Isn't this the same polling operation that had Sen. Clinton up by 10
a few days ago, or was that a different one?

You know, for those of us who ALREADY suck at math, this winter has been a brain-scrambler.
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Dems Will Win Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:33 AM
Original message
You're correct, that makes this poll very significant as it is the same polling company
Edited on Tue Feb-19-08 12:34 AM by Dems Will Win
That's a 15 point swing or so, wow.
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jezebel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:33 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. yep 2 days ago Clinton 49, Obama 43. I guess her negative ads bombed. Nt
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Herman Munster Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:32 AM
Response to Original message
3. And now everyone will love ARG at DU
lol
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:33 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. Na', there are enough valid polls that suggest Obama will win.
ARG is still shit.
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:33 AM
Response to Reply #3
9. I prefer your texas SUSA poll, Herman.....
Thanks for that good Obama news.... made my night.
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:32 AM
Response to Original message
4. Crazy, ARG showed Clinton leading just yesterday.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:33 AM
Response to Original message
5. It's interesting how just a few days ago they had Hillary up by 6 points
And now they have Obama up by 10 points.

Sometimes I think they just throw numbers up against a wall.

If he wins the white vote tommorow in Wisconsin, that is a great sign going into Ohio.
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Alhena Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:33 AM
Response to Original message
6. Why are these guys even in business?
Look, I'm an Obama guy, but this pollster is an utter joke. They should be embarassed to release polls showing such a shift in a 24 hour period.
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:34 AM
Response to Reply #6
10. Now watch them be right.
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Alhena Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:35 AM
Response to Reply #10
13. Sounds like they are just covering their rear ends
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Major Hogwash Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:34 AM
Response to Original message
11. Turn out the lights, the party's over.
~poor Dandy Don Meredith reference from Monday Night Football
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tandem5 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:35 AM
Response to Original message
12. wow a 16 point difference between their two 2-day polling cycles - hmmm nt
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tishaLA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:35 AM
Response to Original message
14. FWIW, Obama internals were accidentally sent to the press
last week, I believe, and they believe(d) he will win by 7.
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:35 AM
Response to Original message
15. ARG needed a mulligan
A 16-point swing in, what, one day? They are the worst.
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:36 AM
Response to Reply #15
17. They truly suck.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:36 AM
Response to Original message
16. These Fools should never be allowed in this business again.
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smalll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:37 AM
Response to Original message
18. If Hillary can hold Barack to within a 10-point win in Wisconsin,
it will be an expectational victory for her.
On to Texas and Ohio!
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:38 AM
Response to Reply #18
20. Wrong. If she can hold him within 20, it's a victory. If Obama wins by only 10, he should drop out!
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cooolandrew Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:44 AM
Response to Reply #20
26. On the day he has tended to excel the poll stats. =)
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DUyellow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:41 AM
Response to Reply #18
23. ARG 2/6-7/08 600 LV HLC 50 BHO 41 UND 8
That would be a 20 point shift... I would not call that a victory for her.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:46 AM
Response to Reply #18
27. Sorry, not true
With 90% of the electorate being white, and a large portion of those voters being low to middle class, this is a state that favors Hillary. It's not Obama's fault that she pretty much told the state she didn't give a shit until the last minute.
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DUyellow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:38 AM
Response to Original message
19. LOL
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:40 AM
Response to Original message
21. How does ARG stay in business?
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:44 AM
Response to Reply #21
25. Who knows.
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Major Hogwash Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:48 AM
Response to Reply #21
28. The same way Halliburton stays in business.
No bid contracts from the Bushies.

LoL
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 01:10 AM
Response to Reply #28
33. lol!
:spray:
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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:40 AM
Response to Original message
22. Too bad
It's ARG. :evilgrin:
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cooolandrew Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:42 AM
Response to Original message
24. Obama !!!! Wooo, he keeps knocking it out the park!
Edited on Tue Feb-19-08 12:43 AM by cooolandrew
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Tropics_Dude83 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:49 AM
Response to Reply #24
29. If this is right-she is done
She can't take another double digit defeat.
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cd3dem Donating Member (927 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:54 AM
Response to Original message
30. I'm reading Clinton 49%: Obama 43% ARG
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 12:56 AM
Response to Reply #30
31. Look all the way to the right of the top chart
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loveangelc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 01:09 AM
Response to Original message
32. ARG is all over the place. They are not reliable as they are robocalls.
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JackORoses Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 01:14 AM
Response to Original message
34. ahahaahah!
Gooooooobama!
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