I have an entirely different theory about the crossover Republican vote.

[pdxmom]

I think the crossover is coming, not because they are looking who will be easiest to beat in the GE, but on who they would rather have running the country when they lose the GE.

It's a known fact that the right detests all things Clinton. It's a rabid, hysterical, irrational hatred. Not one week has gone by since Bill was elected that some right-winger hasn't slammed one Clinton or the either. Even when Hillary wasn't in the news, the right was mocking, slamming and insulting her. None of it was deserved or necessary or even true, but the right seems incapable of helping themselves when it comes to the Clintons.

Since the midterms, I've heard several commentators talking about how the Republicans themselves think it will be next to impossible to win the Presidential election. So my theory about the crossover voting is that they are trying to stop Hillary at the only point they have - in the primaries. I believe they are expecting to lose the presidency and they want to have a say in who will be in office, if they can't have a Republican. Or rather, they want a say in who won't be president.

[libertee]

1. I disagree..when push comes to shove..the American Male

will vote experience.

[cali]

5. Well one thing we know for sure

Obama stands a much, much better chance of getting that vote than Hillary. And you don't have a crystal ball. The DU "oracles" are almost invariably WRONG.

[Doctor_J]

6. You mean like they voted for Gore over Smirk? and Kerry over Smirk?

:wtf:

[BlueManDude]

2. McCain is the favorite to win whether its HRC or BO.

[pdxmom]

7. Not from what I've seen. Obama over McCain, except in one NPR poll, and

pretty even between McCain and Clinton.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/national.html

[blogslut]

3. shhh

Be vewy vewy quiet, we're hunting wabbit! ;)

[H2O Man]

4. I read today

that one out of six manufactoring jobs in the US has been lost in the last 8 years. I think that many people associate that with NAFTA and with Bush. I think that this is as much a reason why people want a change in the White House in 2008, as a "rabid, hysterical, irrational hatred." On MSNBC, they are pointing out thay Obama got more votes than McCain and Hucklebee combined. I think that indicates rational thought.

[pdxmom]

9. I agree. That's my point. The Republicans know very well that they

are going to have a huge struggle to win the White House. But if they can't have it, they sure as hell don't want a Clinton in there. The only way to assure that Hillary won't be in the WH is if she's taken out in the primaries. Hence, the crossover votes favoring Obama.

[HeraldSquare212]

8. I think it's cut both ways

Some Reps hate Clinton so they voted for Obama, some Reps think Clinton is more conservative than Obama so they voted for Clinton.

[loveangelc]

10. I agree. If you go to republican blogs or listen to talk radio, its not that they think Obama's

more beatable, but they have a very irrational hatred of Hillary Clinton.

[crispini]

11. That rings true to me for some of them.

I think there are different reasons for all, but I know some R primary voters who are going to the polls and voting for Obama, and they're not Rushbots, and they're not clued into the R machine -- they're doing it 'cause they want to -- and your theory makes sense.

[rufus dog]

12. let's see Dems are coming out two to one compared to repubs

And the repubs switching sides are coming out to put in Obama to beat him?


Someone .... anyone explain the logic. Why would we have such a huge turn out advantage and NOT have a crossover vote.

Occam's Razor! Because republicans are FUCKING PISSED OFF TOO! Stop the B.S. memes, the answer is too fucking obvious.

[pdxmom]

13. No, they're coming out to put in Obama to make sure that Clinton

isn't the challenger in the GE.

[FrenchieCat]

14. Even many Republicans are tired of war. They realize that it is not

being fought in their best interest. They are tired of Torture, and of the possible loss of privacy. They heard Bush said it would be a cakewalk, and him saying Mission Accomplished. They know that McCain is saying 100 years. They are tired that their dollars is buying as much, and that they nearly go broke when pumping their gas.

They may be stupid and mean spirited, but they are not totally retarded.

[NEOhiodemocrat]

15. Here in Ohio

My sister and brother-in-law are switching over from R to D March 4th, and their reason is Bush. I talk to my sister every day and she now ends the conversation having 'our minute', "everything horrible for bush, everything horrible for bush". When bush went after Social Security he made a lot of enemies in our age group. Now they both agree they would vote for either Obama or Clinton rather than any Republican again. I love it!

[WillYourVoteBCounted]

16. excuse me, but Hillary voted FOR the war, and deserves criticism

lots of people don't like Hillary. Let her be a senator, but it would be dangerous
to let her go any further.

She is part of why our country is bogged down like it is.

Bush Clinton Bush Clinton for 28 years? Thats enough!

[smalll]

17. You are so right. The Repubs hate Hillary, and they fear Hillary.

They know that the chances are against them this time. They'd rather take a chance losing to Obama, who, if he wins on a wave of hype, (and given his "across the aisle" rhetoric) may as much govern in their favor as against it. A real Democrat or a pig in a poke? They'll take the pig.

And even if Obama doesn't lean their way once he rides into the White House, indebted to no one but Axelrod and Oprhah, they'll count on his inexperience. They'd Carterize him, then ride in four years later in 2012.

They hate Our Girl, and they fear her. Shouldn't that tell us something?