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Hillary loses by less in Wisconsin, therefore the negative attacks worked.

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Avalux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:08 PM
Original message
Hillary loses by less in Wisconsin, therefore the negative attacks worked.
Edited on Tue Feb-19-08 11:09 PM by sparosnare
So sez Howard Fineman on MSNBC. Her campaign sees it as a good sign and they're also happy McCain is attacking Obama. So be prepared for more shitty attacks on Obama with the hopes she will gain points in Texas and Ohio. I expect the debate in Austin on Thursday will be....interesting.

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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:09 PM
Response to Original message
1. Obama never should have won Wisc.
That race didn't start to tighten up until the past week rolled around. :shrug:
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eowyn_of_rohan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-20-08 12:15 AM
Response to Reply #1
56. How about that? AMAZING results, brought to you by Sequoia and ES&S
Leaders in corrupt voting equipment, and sponsored by the Wisc State Elections Board.
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BuyingThyme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:09 PM
Response to Original message
2. She's certainly got the momentum now.
Nobody would dare say otherwise.
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:11 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. I'll call that dare and raise you two..
hilaryland is sinking in their own shit.
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BuyingThyme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:12 PM
Response to Reply #6
16. Yeah, but that's better than somebody else's shit.
Think about it. Would you rather sink in you own shit, or the shit of some stinky stranger who eats exotic cheeses and the like?
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mkultra Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-20-08 12:04 AM
Response to Reply #16
53. depends on wether you think your own shit stinks or not
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DJ13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:12 PM
Response to Reply #2
11. "She's certainly got the momentum now."
:rofl:
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tridim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:17 PM
Response to Reply #11
29. She'll always have California
Well maybe.
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thevoiceofreason Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:52 PM
Response to Reply #29
48. And don't forget Poland
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NYCGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:13 PM
Response to Reply #2
19. No, what she has now is Joementum, the opposite of momentum. NT
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Arugula Latte Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:14 PM
Response to Reply #19
26. Maybe it's "whoamentum"
The voters are yanking the reins back on her as hard as they can.
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gmudem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:19 PM
Response to Reply #2
31. Uh...?
She is going to lose by at least 15. I think you are confused about the definition of "momentum."
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CalGator Donating Member (517 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:24 PM
Response to Reply #2
34. Can you feel the Joementum!? -nt
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:10 PM
Response to Original message
3. hilary was suppose to win in Wisconsin..how
long ago? Keep it up hilaryland ..you're your own worst enemy and Wisconsin has given you some more rope.
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:10 PM
Response to Original message
4. Less? Most polls had Obama up by 4-5 points, one poll had Hillary up
and Obama's up by 15. Get real. Those negative ads backfired and the exit polls show it.
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Avalux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:11 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. They have to spin it somehow; it's really pathetic. n/t
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libertee Donating Member (437 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:10 PM
Response to Original message
5. I CAN'TWAIT
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Kokonoe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:11 PM
Response to Original message
8. here is the poll from CNN
------------------------------------voted for
Which Candidate Attacked Unfairly?- Clinton Obama
Only Clinton.......(26%)--------------- 6%.... 91%
Only Obama........(6%)----------------- N/A
Both.................(27%----------------55%... 43%
Neither..............(37%)-------------- 54%... 45%


Did Clinton Attack Unfairly?
Yes (53%).........Clinton 31% Obama 67%
No (43%)..........Clinton 58% Obama 41%


Did Obama Attack Unfairly?
Yes (33%)..........Clinton 60% Obama 38%
No (63%)...........Clinton 34% Obama 64%

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/index.html#WIDEM
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nomorewhopper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:11 PM
Response to Original message
9. i disagree
i haven't seen the polling numbers but i remember it was around 20+ points in hillary's favor a few months ago, maybe 5 points in obamas favor maybe 1 week ago, and he's going to win in a landslide.

i don't think the attacks worked.

at this point I honestly can't say what WILL work. she just has to hope that her supporters rally bigtime in texas and that her lead does not evaporate once obama starts really campaigning there. he had a HUGE rally in houston tonight. he handed every single person in attendance a voter card. they've got a ground organization ready to roll and a boatload of cash at the ready.

hillary is swimming upstream, and i don't htink attacks will work for her.
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Roland99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:11 PM
Response to Original message
10. Dec. 11, 2007. Hillary led in WI polls 36 - 29.
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:53 PM
Response to Reply #10
51. Yes. I remember that poll. I bookmarked it, thinking that she had a
fairly convincing lead.

I remember wondering if it would hold through the WI primary.

Tonight we know.
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
12. I would love for her to keep going negative
Its hard to bash someone who is trying to keep peoples hopes up. It makes you sound like a Negative Nancy
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Hill_YesWeWill Donating Member (652 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
13. so a loss is a win now?
I'm sorry, it doesn't matter how negative she goes, she can't gain enough from going negative as Obama will gain just by stumping across the two states, and he's got plenty of time!!
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Arugula Latte Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:16 PM
Response to Reply #13
28. Lose is Win. War is Peace. Up is down.
We have always been at war with Oceania. Doubleplusgood.
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C_U_L8R Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
14. Loses by less?
She got absolutely creamed.
If they spun it any more they'd get butter.


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KAZ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
15. So we can keep consuming. They sell air time.
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ShortnFiery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
17. I wouldn't bank on that, IMO, "fairy tale."
;)
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
18. Losing by 15% is LESS?.. when she was UP 20% a month ago??
Methinks Howard flunked percentages in 5th grade..
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Eurobabe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:13 PM
Response to Original message
20. Since when is 15% loss "losing by less?"
Fineman is an idiot.
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Avalux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:13 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. Less than the Patomac Primaries! Whatever the hell that means.
Edited on Tue Feb-19-08 11:14 PM by sparosnare
:rofl:
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Roland99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:18 PM
Response to Reply #20
30. They're using Rove's math.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:13 PM
Response to Original message
21. LOL!
He's up 15 now and by the time all the votes are counted, I'll bet he wins by 17. That's way more than the polls indicated. And yeah, they'll go after him in the TX debate. He better be ready for anything.
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Zhade Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-20-08 12:06 AM
Response to Reply #21
54. (He's up by 19% now.)
He's not my guy, but I'm loving his destruction of Hilary "I'll pick my own presidential powers" Clinton, that's for sure!

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Kaylee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:13 PM
Response to Original message
23. I am so scared she is (and is more than willing) to destroy
the democratic party along with her failing campaign.
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Avalux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:14 PM
Response to Reply #23
25. I'm worried about it too.
I hope she has the decency to bow out for the sake of the party instead of continuing on for her own personal needs.
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quantass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:14 PM
Response to Original message
24. BLOWOUT!!
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JVS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:23 PM
Response to Reply #24
32. When my dad got a colostomy, blowout was the word used by nurses when discussing the possibility...
of the bag rupturing (actually popping) if he were to roll over onto it in his sleep. Somehow your mentioning this phrase in conjunction with HRC's smear campaign, vividly brought back the imagery of those days. It truly is one big stinky blowout.
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eleny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:15 PM
Response to Original message
27. That's a lot of lipstick on the pig
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ShadowLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:24 PM
Response to Original message
33. Yeah, it's a loss for Obama considering Wisconsin's less favorable demographics to Obama
You lost tonight Obama, yeah Wisconsin has a lot less black people then Maryland and Virgina and DC did, and a lot less well educated better off white people then those states did. You should have done even better then last time in Wisconsin, even though Wisconsin's demographics heavily favored Hillary Clinton over you.

A win would only be topping his 75% of the vote victory margin in Washington D.C..
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HeraldSquare212 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:26 PM
Response to Original message
35. Cool - go on losing by just less than 20, Hillary!
The superdelegates have or will warn her about going too negative on Obama - at this point, she's damned if she does and damned if she doesn't. Taking Obama down hard is her only hope, but if she does so the rest of the party will publicly abandon her campaign. It's over.
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Crunchy Frog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:30 PM
Response to Original message
36. Margin is now 17 percentage points with 79% counted.
This is looking pretty big for Obama, and in a state that he should have been weaker in, since it's a primary state and mostly white.
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:37 PM
Response to Reply #36
42. Agree. There must have been some kind of internal polling showing
fluctuation up to the weekend before the primary, but from that point forward it appears Obama took very significant percentages of votes from Clinton in areas thought to be her constituent supporters.

A 4-point Obama win would have been a red flag for the Clinton effort but they could have argued a proud, hard-won moral second place.

With the strong double-digit win, Obama doused that fire convincingly.
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:31 PM
Response to Original message
37. Howard Fineman is often wrong. He's a slightly better version of Tweety.
He's wrong about this.
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:32 PM
Response to Original message
38. Howard Fineman is one of those initially bright and promising people
Edited on Wed Feb-20-08 12:27 AM by Old Crusoe
whose lives just deteriorated once they entered the media milieu.

Obama has a resounding victory tonight in Wisconsin and cut deep into Senator Clinton's demographics, taking huge slices of support from her core constiutencies.

Sen. Obama's win was demographically agile almost across the board. And it was a very chilly day in Wisconsin. So the Democratic turnout, no matter your favorite candidate, impressed the hell out of a lot of people.

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NMMatt Donating Member (523 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:34 PM
Response to Original message
39. SC and now WI show that the negative attacks help Obama and turn off voters
My bigger concern is if it hurts our chances in November. I'm of two minds. One is that it may help Obama in that his team gets practiced in responding to what is to come. The other is that we're giving the Rethugs ammunition and further polarizing the Democratic Party.

I for one would prefer to see a united front against the Republicans, not a united Hillary-McCain attack against Obama.
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writes3000 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:36 PM
Response to Original message
40. CORRECTION/CLARITY, folks
Fineman was reporting on the warring factions within the Clinton camp. He was explaining that one side was claiming that the negative campaigning worked because Obama's margin of victory was less than the Potomac primaries.

To be fair, Fineman himself wasn't claiming that the negative attacks has worked. He was just reporting on what one side of the Clinton campaign was arguing.
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I Vote In Pittsburgh Donating Member (387 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:36 PM
Response to Original message
41. Down 17% is success?
Delusions of grandeur? :shrug:
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LadyVT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:37 PM
Response to Original message
43. I think the weather really impacted the older people from voting.
I mean, it is POURING rain here right now (I may need to build an Ark), and although I would get out at my age and vote, I can sure see how many middle aged and older people just wouldn't be able or willing to do it.
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thesubstanceofdreams Donating Member (625 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:37 PM
Response to Original message
44. She lost by 17%
17% is "less"? :wtf:
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Skwmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:43 PM
Response to Original message
45. What kind of logic is that? The demographics of WI were much
more favorable than the Potomac Primaries. People are fed up with this negative crap.
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:46 PM
Response to Original message
46. With 82% of the WI vote counted, Obama's lead is increasing:
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eowyn_of_rohan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-20-08 12:22 AM
Response to Reply #46
57. hmmm...ZERO votes for Edwards. I know that isn't true. What else might be a lie? nt
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XemaSab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-20-08 12:33 AM
Response to Reply #57
59. The NYTimes has 1% of the vote for Edwards
n/t
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-20-08 12:36 AM
Response to Reply #57
61. As it happens eowyn_of_rohan, I don't run the
Wisconsin primary election apparatus.

You might want to write to the Secretary of State.
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Occam Bandage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:46 PM
Response to Original message
47. By less? She did worse than the polling indicated.
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-20-08 12:26 AM
Response to Reply #47
58. Yeah but you wait it will have a great effect in Hawaii you just wait
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:53 PM
Response to Original message
49. The polls were tight all week. Obama beat the polls.
Success!!! :rofl:
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Bread and Circus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Feb-19-08 11:53 PM
Response to Original message
50. Her campaign managers are a bunch of idiots. Plain and simple.
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AgadorSparticus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-20-08 12:10 AM
Response to Reply #50
55. no shit. This was hers for the taking and somehow she screwed it up.
I'm still quite shocked that she just sat around while Obama p/u speed on the east coast. She came into this race with the establishment clearly behind her. It's just flabbergasting to me.
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GoldieAZ49 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-20-08 12:01 AM
Response to Original message
52. yeah ugly attacks, AFTER the debate
which will probably be the highest rating ever.

polls showed O leading in WI by 5-6%, so far he is winning by 17% with 87% in

Hawaii will be called tomorrow

What a great night, but Hillary is going to be throwing mud and it will get ugly, and backfire on her!
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LordJFT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Feb-20-08 12:34 AM
Response to Original message
60. less than what? He won by more than all the polls
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