Could Obama win Kansas? New SUSA poll has him only six points behind McCain

[book_worm]

in this redder than red states.

McCain 50
Obama 44

McCain 59
Clinton 35

Obama is within striking distance.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=66dffff3-2735-46be-9a6c-b92fafccf832

[rox63]

1. Whoa! That's pretty amazing

It would be great to turn a few red states blue this time. :thumbsup:

[NJSecularist]

2. Kathleen Sibelius could put him over the top

Obama's 50 state strategy is coming to fruition, while Hillary's 11 state strategy is getting exposed.

[jackson_dem]

3. Maybe but SUSA also has him losing big Dem strongholds like New York, Massachussetts

Guess what that means...

[NJSecularist]

6. Are you joking?

New York
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=b86ce8ea-720b-4ac1-9c03-b7e41e2988fd
Obama: 57
McCain: 36

Do you get your jollies from being dishonest?

[thevoiceofreason]

7. Jackson just doesn't keep up with the times -- using week old data

[book_worm]

8. Really?

SUSA has Obama winning NY better than native daughter HRC.

Obama by 57-36 while Clinton takes NY by 52-41

Furthermore in Wisconsin Obama beats McCain 52-42, while HRC loses 49-42. In Iowa Obama beats McCain by 51-41 while McCain beats Hillary by the same margin.

http://www.surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx

[jackson_dem]

9. Great. What a turnaround for him there! He also wins Virginia according to SUSA

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=bbe615f5-c846-4849-a0c2-999687fd54c4&q=45622

[book_worm]

10. ...and Michigan Rasmussen has Obama beating HRC, while HRC is tied with McCain

In Minnesota McCain leads Clinton by five, while Obama leads by fifteen.

www.rasmussenreports.com

[book_worm]

11. ****Breaking on RAS***** Clinton 47% Obama 44% in TEXAS

www.rasmussenreports.com

[MadBadger]

12. Clinton (-4) Obama (+7) I believe that is the trend from the last poll

[COFoothills]

14. Yeah, maybe.

Except it doesn't

[samdogmom]

4. Well after today's revelations and more to follow--McCain will probably sink more!

Or, we learn once and for all "Family Values" is only for Democrats.

If McCain wins, then I guess the Republicans don't want "Family Values" for themselves--just for the rest of us!

[cooolandrew]

5. Barack's mother was from kansas. Video link...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WGGIHqIoP2k

[COFoothills]

13. BINGO!!!

It is states like this that are the reason I am for Obama.

States like this are very dependent on the 'base' right wing republicans to show up en masse to elect candidates. The very voters talked about in the book "What's the matter with Kansas". So Kansas is, in fact, the case study.

Those people cannot get excited FOR John McCain and turnout will be effected.

They can, however, get very excited AGAINST Hillary Clinton. They hate her. She will motivate the republican base in places like this far more than John McCain could ever dream of.

Obama does not do the same for them and an Obama/McCain race leads to much republican apathy and poor turnout and we win big.

Not saying we could actually win states like this or states in the south. But we would make the republicans have to work real hard and spend a lot of money to defend home turf they normally could ignore and count on. All of that being less time and money to spend in the swing states where we win in this scenario.

It's a clear and decisive democrat path to victory in November with Obama and that is the number one reason I support him as the nominee.

[book_worm]

16. Good points.

[Renew Deal]

15. Someone on DU predicted that he could.

I think he can be competitive with some good GOTV.

[PresidentObama]

17. Meaingless. Too far off, read my thread about just this:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4698917

[BeyondGeography]

18. Obama will force the Republicans to play defense where they have always run up the score

and he does have a chance to pick off a few new states, i.e. KS. MO, CO and VA are three more. When you factor in the enthusisam of his base and his organizational and financial advantages, you can see why most thinking Republicans would rather not face him.