When Hillary wins OH & TX will Obama supporters still be asking her to exit the race

[jlake]

or will they finally acknowledge that it *is* a close race and that she may very well win it?

[mrreowwr_kittty]

1. I would think so. I do not think this is a "lock" for Obama by a longshot.

The main reason I'm going to TX this weekend to canvas for Obama is because I do not think he has it in the bag.

[EmilyAnne]

19. Good luck in Texas! Where will you be going? I have Obama supporting family in Houston, Austin,

San Antonio, McAllen and Sweetwater (rural West Texas). PM me if you need any advice.

[mrreowwr_kittty]

26. San Antonio.

I'm staying at the Antonian Inn and my pal from AZ says we'll be working downtown.

[ingac70]

2. It's all about pledged delegates...

we'll see who is ahead Tuesday.

[jlake]

3. What if Obama still leads, but she cuts the lead by a substantial margin?

[Joyce78]

4. Then she should remain in the race.

[cali]

5. IF Hillary wins OH and TX

that will be one thing, but all indications are that she will not win TX and OH is up in the air. She's surely not going to win either state by the margin she needs, to get close in pledged delegates. I think, Obama may very well be in a position to sweep Mini-Tuesday, judging by the trajectory of the race and the history of past contests.

[jlake]

15. Well, I hope you're wrong - I think she will win OH by a sizable margin...TX is

looking tough.

[cali]

22. Well, the latest polls certainly don't indicate that

at the most, he's 10 pts behind. He's outspending her hugely on TV ads. He has a strong ground game. It's hard to see her winning by more than 4 or 5 pts. Here's the thing: If she does pull out Ohio by a few pts and wins RI, while losing TX and and VT, she makes no gains on his delegate leave. She's essentially in the same place as she is today- 155 plus a few, back. And then comes MS and WY where she'll lose by big numbers. Her funding will dry up and the pressure on her to to drop out will grow. March 4 is her last chance. Hard to see her pulling it off.

[MadBadger]

23. What have you seen in recent days that makes you think she will win OH by a "sizable" margin?

[BringBigDogBack]

6. getting way ahead of yourself.

[texas_indy]

7. Reminds me of "My Cousin Vinney" where the girlfriend tells the DA that the question

he is asking is a BS question since it wasn't possible. Same case here.

Obama is winning Texas on 3/4, both popular vote and delegates.
The only question is by how much.


Texas is Obama country! VIVA OBAMA!! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fd-MVU4vtU

[jlake]

8. LOL. I strongly doubt that.

[texas_indy]

13. No problem amigo. Bookmark this page since you'll be eating crow on 3/5.

And then get ready to see President Obama get sworn in as President next year to his 1st term! Be sure to bookmark this page for that as well.

Texas is Obama country! VIVA OBAMA!! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fd-MVU4vtU

[jlake]

14. Now that I know to be false.

[texas_indy]

18. Ah, come on now and join the dark side! You know you secretly want too!! LOL

Ya know, I would have supported Hillary but I believe that Obama will be a better president. I believe that Hillary would have made a fine president as well, but believe that if she was the Democratic nominee then the evil ones would win again and we'd, and the world, have to endure 4 more years of hell.

I'm also using "The Secret" as well!! :)

Texas is Obama country! VIVA OBAMA!! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fd-MVU4vtU

[quantass]

9. She'd have to show RESPECTABLE Margins of Victory in OH & TX for

the Obama supporters to not say this....however, from past wins by Hilary this is a very rare commodity and has actually only one by 20+% only once against him...most of her wins have been very tiny in margins....it is Obama that almost effortlessly wins by large margins...It's going to be tough, but for me, as an Obama suporter if hilary can win big in those two states then i would never say she should exit the race...she'd have my respect, and it is there that i'd realise i was still dreaming.

[TAWS]

10. Obama can lose Texas and Ohio and still win more delegates n/t

[BeyondGeography]

11. Predicting inevitable victory again?

When will the HillKidz ever learn?

[jlake]

12. I'm manifesting it into being. Oprah sold me those damn "The Secret" CDs & I am damn

as hell going to use them!

[HopeforChange]

16. Obama Supporters

You can help us here in Texas by making calls through BarackObama.com

[jlake]

17. LOL. Hijack much?

[SKKY]

20. Unless she wins both by a 60/40 delegate split...

...which doesn't look very likely, it's still a loss because she can't make up any ground otherwise.

[jlake]

21. If she wins the delegate count by 5%, when the Florida delegates are seated she will regain the lead

[cali]

24. Nope. You're forgetting WY and MS

Winning the delegate count by 5% won't put her ahead even with FL and MI.

[Johnny__Motown]

27. Odds are FL delegates won't be seated. They have the chance to hold a caucus and refuse.

[SKKY]

28. The best, and I mean absolute best you can hope for from the MI and FL delegates...

...is a 50/50 split. So, no gain there.

[Johnny__Motown]

25. If she wins 65% of the delegates in them both then No, if she wins 52% of delegates then yes

Remember she needs 58% of all remaining delegates to catch him.

She needs 65% of the delegates in the states where she is favored.

Even a 55-45 split in her favor is a loss. It will increase the percentages she needs to win in the remaining contests to catch up.

[bowens43]

29. If she doesn't win by huge marhins she should get out.

IN fact, for the good of the country and the good of the party she should get out now, she should never have been in the race. A hillary nomination means a McCain presidency.

[CyberPieHole]

30. Of course they will. And they will accuse her of being a racist for NOT dropping out...

You see, anyone who runs opposite Obama is a racist. Obama has morphed into Al Sharpton. Drudge says an "unnamed Clinton source" gave them the Obama/Somali photo...Obama's people believe it and accuse Clinton of racism. Forget the fact that the photo had been on the internet for weeks prior to Drudge publishing it and forget that the photo was printed in the The National Examiner. It's utterly disgusting and if Obama wins the primary because of it, I hope the RW treats him the way he treated Hillary.

[NDambi]

32. nice bitter broad brush you got there...try splenda in your morning drink much sweeter

[CyberPieHole]

34. Tellin it like it Tizz!

you don't like it? :shrug:

[NDambi]

31. I said she should hang in until Mar 4th..but she needs to win by large margins to..

put a dent in his lead, and she has to stop the super delegates from jumping ship, or she's really done. Plus she needs to overtake his popular vote count..

I just don't see her winning by leaps and bounds in either place, but I could be wrong..only time will tell.

If she doesn't and his lead widens, then she should step down..because the next biggest primary isn't until April 22..in Pa..that's six weeks off from Mar 4th..long time.

[Perky]

33. If she wind both it is very much a race

[Warren Stupidity]

35. No. If she has large victories in both states she should stay in.

On the other if she loses either state or both states are essentially a draw, she should gracefully exit.

[yourguide]

36. She wont wint texas

and will get crushed in delegates there.

either candidate could squeak by ahead in ohio, most likely Hillary, but either way the margin will be less than 5 percent. so will probably be close to a draw when it comes to delegates.

she's done.