|
I will be the first to admit that Obama, despite hie strengths, faces a dangerous road ahead if he should win the Democratic nomination. Among other things, he's Black, he has some links to Islam, and he lacks longevity in Washington. This is an obvious truth that should be discernible to anyone with an IQ of over 60.
However, this does NOT mean that Hillary and her 50%+ negativity rating will somehow be a much stronger contender in the GE. The Republicans' dream right now would be to turn Obama into a Hillary, that is, a polarizing figure. Essentially, a lot of Hillary supporters are arguing that Obama runs the risk of being Hillarized, and their brilliant alternative plan is... Hillary! Hey, why make the Republicans work for something they can get for free? Unfortunately, Hillary maxes out her support with Democrats, whereas Obama has the potential to grab Indies and Repubs. To use an analogy, Clinton is like J.J. Redick, a great college player who has no upside in the big leagues; Obama is like Kevin Durant, a great college player with the tools to develop beyond the 2nd tier level.
The fact is that Obama will keep 99% of Hillary's supporters except for the hypocritical few who throw a wah-wah tantrum and conveniently decide to sprout a moral backbone after looking past Hillary's IWR vote. Plus, Obama's drawn in new Democrats by the droves, and it's not all that certain if their energy and enthusiasm will be carried over to Clinton. On the other hand, Clinton's base (i.e. older voters) is more dependable no matter who the candidate is.
So make the "Obama will lose in the GE" arguments all you want, because it doesn't make the case for Clinton at all. At worst, Obama will become as polarizing and unpalatable as Clinton to the American electorate.
|