Debunking the myth that the strength of Obama's campaign isn't coming from Democrats

[ProSense]

Obama tops new national polls

By Bill Schneider
CNN chief political analyst

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Three national polls of Democrats show Sen. Barack Obama is the front-runner for the nomination. But what's behind this latest momentum?

There's growing evidence that Obama is seen as more electable than Sen. Hillary Clinton.

If you average the "poll of polls" -- AP-IPSOS, USA Today/Gallup and CBS/New York Times -- Obama leads Clinton 50 percent to 40 percent, with 10 percent unsure.

Here's something Democrats agree on even more: In two different polls, around 70 percent of Democrats polled believe Obama will get their party's nomination.

When Democrats were asked about the general election, the New York Times-CBS News poll showed Obama had the best chance of beating Sen. John McCain -- 59 percent to Clinton's 28 percent.

And it's not just Democrats.

<...>

Independents are crucial swing voters. They give McCain a solid lead over Clinton, according to the New York Times-CBS News poll. But independents abandon McCain for Obama.

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Poll after poll indicates that Obama's support among Democrats is strong and a significant majority perceive that he can win against McCain








Why is that? Democrats don't see a huge difference between Hillary and Obama on the issues, and it appears they have more confidence in him:


















Also, despite the constant chatter about Obama, religion and his church, it's Hillary who appeals to Democrats who are highly religious:







Obama earned the support of a sizeable majority of Democrats, even those identified as "very liberal," in the most recent primaries:

Maryland
Vote by Party ID.......Clinton.....Obama
Democrat (84%)..........40%.....59%
Republican (3%)..........N/A.......N/A
Independent (13%)......27%......62%

Vote by Ideology..............Clinton....Obama.....Uncommitted
Very Liberal (19%)..............43%.......55%...........1%
Somewhat Liberal (33%)......41%.......57%...........1%
Moderate (37%).................34%.......64%...........2%
Somewhat Conserv. (8%)....32%.......46%............4%
Very Conservative (2%).......N/A.......N/A...........N/A


Virginia
Vote by Party ID.....Clinton.....Obama
Democrat (70%)........38%.....62%
Democrat (70%)........38%.....62%
Independent (22%)...30%.....69%


Vote by Ideology...............Clinton.....Obama
Very Liberal (17%)..............35%........64%
Somewhat Liberal (33%)......40%........60%
Moderate (38%).................34%........66%
Somewhat Conserv. (9%).....24%.......73%
Very Conservative (2%).......N/A.........N/A


Wisconsin
Vote by Party ID.....Clinton.....Obama
Democrat (62%).......46%........53%
Republican (9%).......28%........72%
Independent (28%)...33%........64%

Vote by Ideology..................Clinton.....Obama
Very Liberal (16%).................40%.........56%
Somewhat Liberal (30%).........42%.........56%
Moderate (40%)....................41%.........58%
Somewhat Conserv. (11%)......38%.........62%
Very Conservative (3%)..........N/A.........N/A


When it comes to the GE, the most telling sign about Obama's strength as a candidate is that he takes more Independents away from McCain:




Yes. He. Can.





edited typos

[JanusAscending]

1. Magnificant research as usual Pro !!!

I'm bookmarking this one for posterity!! Love ya! DC:kick: and rec!!

[ProSense]

4. Hi DC, thanks!

:hi:

[Froward69]

2. This is not sexist

It is bald faced fact...

Possibly hillbots will realize this and stop giving the GOP talking points... along with abandoning the rhetoric Hillbots spew insofar as trying to change the rules to benefit Hillary, and divide our Party.

[ProSense]

3. National avg. Obama 49%, Clinton 42%

[ClassWarrior]

6. .

[ProSense]

5. Ohio and Texas

The latest Quinnipiac University Poll shows Mrs. Clinton with a lead beyond the poll’s margin of sampling error. But Mrs. Clinton’s advantage of 11 percentage points is down from a 21-point edge she had in a Quinnipiac poll of Ohio taken earlier in February.



link

[Scurrilous]

7. K & R

:thumbsup:

[Ichingcarpenter]

8. Great News but once again the fricking Environment

and Global warming are not covered by national polls.

[KLee]

9. Wow...

very interesting and informative. Thank you for all your hard work doing the research.

YES WE CAN!!

[ProSense]

10. It's amazing!

Thanks!

[ProSense]

11. Another superdelegate for Obama

Obama Campaign: Wisconsin superdelegate endorses Barack Obama

3/1/2008

Contact: Obama Press Office, 312-819-2423

Wisconsin State Party Chairman, Formerly Edwards Supporter, Joe Wineke Backs Obama

Chicago, IL – Today, Wisconsin Democratic State Party Chairman Joe Wineke endorsed Barack Obama today.

Below is Chairman Wineke’s statement:

“Today, I announce my personal endorsement of Senator Barack Obama for President of the United States. When this campaign started, I was deeply impressed by the talent level of our Democratic candidates. I still am. I was an early supporter of John Edwards and continue to have great respect for Senator Hillary Clinton.

“On Tuesday, February 19, 2008, the people of Wisconsin spoke through our primary process. Over 1.1 million of the 1.5 million votes cast went to our Democratic candidates. Barack Obama won with over 58% of the vote, winning 62 of our 72 counties. As the Chair of the Wisconsin Democratic Party and a delegate to the national convention, I believe that Senator Obama’s convincing win in the Badger state should be rewarded. Therefore, I pledge my support to his campaign.

“No matter who wins the Democratic nomination, our Party will be united. After nearly eight long years of the Bush administration, change is in the air. Senator Barack Obama is the best candidate to make that change happen.”

[ProSense]

12. Ohio: 47% to 43%

RCP Average: Clinton - 47.6, Obama - 43.6

[Cha]

13. O'bama

Begorrah!

[ProSense]

14. Speaking of hardcore religious Dems, from Houston:

We're church-hopping with Sen. Hillary Clinton's family this morning.

[Johnny__Motown]

15. Great post, K&R

[AtomicKitten]

16. There it is.

K&R

[ProSense]

17. Gallup: Obama 50%, Clinton 42%

[ProSense]

18. As of today:

[ProSense]

19. GOP voters crossing over in large numbers

GOP voters crossing over in large numbers

<...>

The defectors had motives both pure and sinister.

One woman voted for Clinton in hopes of delivering John McCain a weaker debate opponent. Another picked Obama because her vote could help deny Clinton and her husband a return trip to the White House.

A 69-year-old Catholic nun, Sister Ann Marie, was converted to the Clinton camp because of the former first lady's experience. John Baggett, another ex-Republican for Clinton, said he simply wanted to switch, and Clinton represented a known commodity.

"I'm happy with Republicans, in general," Baggett, 50, said. "I don't believe they've done a good job the last eight years."

In Strongsville, middle-aged couple Lucy and Pete See -- longtime Republicans -- both voted for Hillary Clinton. "I like that she has more experience in foreign affairs," Pete See said. "The Republican candidate was older than me.

Lucy See said she voted for Clinton as well. "I want to be part of makiing history," she said.

In North Ridgeville, pollworkers said that by noon nearly 50 Rebublicans had switched to vote Democrat, the highest crossover since the 2000 election.

more

[Emit]

20. kick n/t