Raven
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Sun Mar-02-08 01:26 PM
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Can we set the chin bar in advance of Tuesday? |
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What will it take for Obama supporters to concede defeat and for Hillary supporters to concede defeat? Do people here have an idea of what kind of a win they are looking for for their candidate or what kind of a loss for the other candidate? What will have to happen on Tuesday to make you think that your candidate is still alive and should keep going?
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fenriswolf
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Sun Mar-02-08 01:27 PM
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1. I think Obama should concede |
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if hillary passes him in delegate count. I think hillary should concede if she doesnt pass him in delegate count.
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NC_Nurse
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Sun Mar-02-08 01:28 PM
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adoraz
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Sun Mar-02-08 01:29 PM
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3. Obama supporters- 40 plus point loses in Texas and Ohio |
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Really, that is the only way Obama may be defeated.
Even then though, I don't think Hillary would be ahead in pledged delegates...
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dchill
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Sun Mar-02-08 01:29 PM
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4. The setting of the bar... |
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or the location of the goal posts is, as always, the domain of the Clinton campaign. And don't you forget it! We'll all just have to wait until Tuesday night.
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adoraz
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Sun Mar-02-08 01:32 PM
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5. oh, and if you mean defeated for the DAY alone... |
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I think if Hillary wins Ohio and Texas (and RI), she can claim it as a win, but I really think she needs decent margins in both to keep going on.
Obama just needs to win Vermont, keep RI and Ohio close, and squeak out a victory in Texas. Then I think he would win because he wouldn't have lost.
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EmperorHasNoClothes
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Sun Mar-02-08 02:09 PM
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6. Clinton needs to win by 71% to even up the pledged delegates |
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370 delegates in play on Tuesday, and she's currently behind by 153.
That said, I think of Hillary doesn't win both Texas and Ohio by at least 15%, she's mathematically finished. If the delegate count only changes by 10 or 15 in Hillary's favor, the percentages by which she has to win the remaining races make it a statistical impossibility.
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DU
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Tue Apr 23rd 2024, 01:52 AM
Response to Original message |