Hillary's Chances Of Winning Texas Has Just Grown Exponentially- Click

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Reuters/C-SPAN/Houston Chronicle Poll: Too Close To Call! Obama Barely Overtakes Clinton in Ohio and Retains Small Edge in Texas

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1460

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Pollster John Zogby: “In California, we have Obama polling into a 13-point lead. Monday was another big single day of polling for him there. What has happened here is that in addition to building leads among almost every part of his base of support, he has dramatically cut into Clinton’s lead among Hispanic voters.



http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1446


Zo(m)by has called TX for Obama...He's the Mr. Haney and Joe Isuzu of polling.

[jlake]

1. lol, Yep. Looks like a big win for Hillary.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Does That Mean Hillary Will Win TX By Twenty One Points?

Zo(m)by had her down by thirteen and she won by ten...

That means if she's down by two in TX in his poll she's really up by twenty one points...

[redqueen]

2. *sigh*

great subject line there

[ProSense]

3. Here's a chart of all the polls Ohio and Texas

[leftofcool]

4. Zogby=Dimwit

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. I Like Her Chances A Lot Better Now

If he was a physician he would have already had his license pulled for gross negligence...

[Auntie Bush]

29. Zogby is an admitted Obama supporter. Can't believe his polls aren't rigged.

[Hoof Hearted]

50. Zogby is to poll as falling rock is to highway.

Likely to result in a few headaches and a big accident.

[Horse with no Name]

6. Zogby...the deliverer of republican candidates since 2000.

Nice to see who you listen to.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. ?

?

[Hawkeye-X]

9. Sorry to crush your hopes, but the way the delegates are assigned in Texas...

It's Obama's big, big win, and Ohio will be a close squeaker, I agree, but Obama will pull it off.

Hawkeye-X

[JackORoses]

10. You know how much she has to win by to remain viable. You know this ain't happening.

I can understand how the less intelligent Hillarites will keep on until the bitter end,
but you are a numbers man.
Can't you see what's in the cards?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. I Am Loathe To Make Predictions

But if she win TX and OH , even by the smallest of margins I suspect the MSM will call this a great comeback ...Then anything can happen...

I also see that Obama is struggling against Great Grand Pa McCain;leading him in some polls, trailing him in others...With all the positive press he is getting he should be putting Grand Pa McCain away...The fact he isn't should give any Democrat pause...

[JackORoses]

20. how does an 'MSM comeback' affect the Pledged delegate total?

I know you can compute the numbers.
They don't simply go away because Hillary has decided to drag this out.
Please explain to me how anything can happen.
Are you referring to FL and MI? Superdelegate favors? or Pledged Delegate poaching?


You know that McCain is a non-issue. His polls look good now but they will be a whole different story in the Fall when People see the real choices before them.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

21. I Suspect Obama Will Win In The End

But if he loses TX the fact he can't win a populous state beside his own or a populous state without a large African American population is troubling...

I disagree on McCain... Obama should be beating him by double digits in the polls at this time because Obama will never be more popular than he is now, riding on the wave of an adoring and unquestioning main stream media...

As Joe Trippi has said "Obama has gotten the equivalent of $250,000,000.00 of free advertising."

[JackORoses]

22. Obama was beating McCain by double digits before Hillary threw the kitchen sink at him

He will be again once he has put her away for good.

You must admit that McCain has little to no chance in November.
People will not elect Bush a third time.

Since you have accepted that Obama is the likely nominee,
do you support these last ditch attacks by Hillary?

Is it worth damaging the Democratic Nominee just to satisfy her ego?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

25. I'm Not Convinced He's A Lead Pipe Cinch

Unlike many DUers I don't live in a cocoon and only speak to people who think like myself and get my own views shouted back at me and therefore think everybody thinks like me...Here, in Greater Orlando, which is a decidedly purple area I meet a lot of people who don't like Obama...

[JackORoses]

26. So you think 'Air Pirate' McCain is a real contender?

Or are you just saying that because you don't like Obama?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

27. I Am Saying That I Have Met Several People Who Will Vote For McCain BY Default

And one is a stalwart Democrat... The other two are Republicans...

And two of the three that are voting against him are voting against him for nat'l security reasons...

There is a whole world out there beyond the four corners of DU... I think you know that...

Too many folks only listen to folks who think like themselves and get their own views shouted back at them...

[JackORoses]

30. There is a whole world out there, and Obama is winning in it

Maybe you should look beyond Florida for your perspective on this Country.

Democratic Turnout is dwarfing that of Repubs.
Alot of that is due to Barack Obama.
He is drawing millions of New Voters.
People who were part of that 70 million who didn't vote in 2004, will vote this time around.

You must see what is happening. It will be a landslide in November. We just have to make it there without destroying ourselves internally.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

31. A Landslide

The last Democrat to win a pop vote and EC vote landslide was LBJ... I'll believe it when I see it...

[JackORoses]

33. do you deny what I am saying about new voters?

If Obama and McCain each got the same votes that Kerry and Bush got (which will not happen),
Obama would still win with the millions of new voters added.

In reality, McCain will get less votes than Bush did and Obama will still get all the new voters.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

34. I Think A Win Is Realistic

I think a landslide ala LBJ (64) Nixon (72), Reagan (80 and 84) is unlikely...

[JackORoses]

36. Care to tell me why?

McCain will not be able to draw the numbers that Bush did. Bush has seen to that.
It doesn't help one bit that McCain plans a continuation of Bush's Military and Economic policies.
This alone could probably garner Obama a victory.

But when you take into account the masses of New Voters who now support Obama and were not included in the 2004 total, a beautiful picture begins to emerge.

In November, Obama will have the Traditional Democrats at his side just like Gore and Kerry,
but along with them will be a new wave of Americans stepping out of the Political shadows.
These people have never been counted before. No poll or model can accurately represent them.
That is why this Primary Contest has been such a surprise. These Obama supporters weren't supposed to exist according to previous models.

I imagine it much like the last battle in the Lord of the Rings.
Just when all seems lost, a Phantom Army swoops in to destroy the Enemy and save the day.

We can have that Phantom Army fighting at our side, but Obama is the only person who can lead them.

Doesn't that imagery put a smile on your face?

[roguevalley]

39. believe it. he's huge here in alaska. the turnout in the

caucuses dwarfed anything the state has ever seen for us and got new voters out. Obama did that. he took the state's nomination.

[anamandujano]

53. If you're going to hand your opponent ammunition, don't lament the outcome.

His blunders, and no one else's.

[Hoof Hearted]

54. What kind of STUPID PILLS are they handing out on the Obama bandwagon bus?

The Republicans won't throw an even BIGGER kitchen sink? If Hillary is not in the race, the honeymoon will just continue as scheduled?

[roguevalley]

37. when Obama wins texas and I believe the way its

apportioned he will, then the flood gates for super delegates will open and he will be buried. I think they are just waiting for the last inevitability to occur and if Hillary thinks she can make up with superdelegates what she can't win in popular vote, I think she is clutching at straws. The numbers in texas are against her in the delegate allotments.

RV, finding John Edwards better and better every day

[CyberPieHole]

12. Let's hope Hillary does well tomorrow. If ANYONE can do it, Hillary Clinton can.

:kick: and rec for Hillary Clinton

[rodeodance]

24. you bet ---

[UALRBSofL]

13. DCB great to see a positive post

We don't get many of those these days. Obama supporters have been so nasty lately and it's been difficult. Anyway, good to see you posting. I was wondering where you have been. :)

[high density]

14. Zogby sucks

But you've got some lousy non-logical reasoning going on there.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

15. How Is My Logic Faulty?

falsus in uno, falsus in omnibus

[Drunken Irishman]

42. Because you're suggesting since Zogby was wrong in California, he must be wrong here.

Except EVERY poll has been wrong at least once this primary season, which means all should be wrong in Texas, then, right?

SurveyUSA had Clinton winning Missouri by 11, she lost.
American Research Group had Clinton beating Obama in Iowa by 13, she lost by 8.

Every poll has been wrong at one point...so logic doesn't suggest that at all.

[Drunken Irishman]

43. Dupe.

[BootinUp]

16. Woo hoo! lol. nt

[Teaser]

17. Has Dick Morris called Texas?

That's when I'd begin to worry.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

18. He's Essentially Called The Race For Obama

~

[Teaser]

28. Yeah, but he'll change his mind 5 or 6 times, depending

on month old data he just read.

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

19. Hi DSB

If the time comes whan I check out of the wonder that is DU 2008, it will be without fanfare.

So, in advance (if appropriate), it has been a privilege to know you.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x4858714

[rodeodance]

23. :-)

[David Zephyr]

32. You are really setting yourself up for a big disappointment.

Starting on Wednesday, Super Delegates will begin peeling off to support Obama putting an end to this self-centered and destructive nonsense that has now gone on far too long.

Brace yourself for reality. It's coming.

[SeaLyons]

35. Yes, you really should

brace yourself and get ready for a big win for Hillary!!

Hillary for President!!

[roguevalley]

40. tomorrow will tell. in the end, the people will have their

say and I hope people have the good grace to let them without insult.

[LadyVT]

38. Zogby has gotten it wrong repeatedly. Try pollster.com instead

[avrdream]

41. Shit, based on Zogby, we may as well say Hillary is the winner.

Who runs that company anyway? Yeesh.

[Maribelle]

44. Boogity, Boogity, Boogity

Go HIllary!

[kikiek]

45. Yeah the Obama pollster. I have lost all faith and respect for him

[DesertRat]

46. It looks like we're in for a long and interesting day tomorrow!

:hi:

[Mike03]

47. I admit I'm confused....

I respect both of these candidates, but twelve hours ago I listened to talk show host Ray Taliafero read the results of alleged polls that said Obama was leading Clinton in both Ohio and Texas by approx. 2 to 3 points.

He also said that because of the voting logistics, Clinton not only had to win, but had to beat Obama by a margin of twenty five to thirty points.

At this point, I'm bewildered and content to confess I've no idea who is telling the truth.

May the best person win tomorrow. This is really exciting.

[tritsofme]

48. I've been calling Zogby out on his crap polls for years.

I'm glad people are finally starting to join me.

[libbygurl]

49. GO HILLARY!

:kick:

[CyberPieHole]

51. Kickety kick...n/t

[cooolandrew]

52. Barack was 5 points behind in Ohio a week ago.GOBAMA!

[amborin]

55. people are seeing Obama in new light (those who had drunk the kool aid)

yes, Canada issued a statement saying Obama was not hoodwinking Ohio after all

BUT...that's after Canada was criticized for interfering in US elections by releasing the revelations about Obama's aides reassuring the Canada:

March 3, 2008, 9:04 pm
Blame in Canada
By Ian Austen

OTTAWA — It’s not at all unusual for Stephen Harper, the prime minister of Canada, and the members of his cabinet to grilled by the opposition parties in Parliament. It isn’t common, however for the partisan bickering here to be focused on the Democratic primary in the United States.
On Monday, the fighting over a report that a senior campaign official to Barack Obama had provided back-channel reassurances to the Canadian government on the North American Free Trade Agreement, erupted in Parliament as Mr. Harper fended off allegations that he was interfering in the U.S. elections and trying to undermine Mr. Obama’s campaign.