Infinite Hope
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 11:49 AM
Original message |
My Predictions for tomorrow. |
|
I predicted recent primaries right (Wisconsin down to the exact percent). We'll see if that trend continues. These contests are a little more difficult for me to gauge, so I'll predict a margin of victory range for the two candidates. My predictions:
Texas: Obama wins by 15-20%, closer to 15. If I had to pinpoint it, 16%. Ohio: Obama wins by 6-11%, closer to 6. If I had to pinpoint it, 7%. Vermont: Obama wins by 63-73%. If I had to pinpoint it, 66%. Rhode Island: Either could win. Clinton by 0-6% or Obama by 0-6%. If I had to pinpoint it, Clinton by 4%.
|
MadBadger
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 11:50 AM
Response to Original message |
1. Yea, I'm gonna have to say no. |
SoFlaJet
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 11:51 AM
Response to Original message |
2. I agree with those numbers |
|
I think Obama wins 3 out of the 4-still won't be enough to convince Clinton to drop out-watch....
|
Colobo
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 11:51 AM
Response to Original message |
3. No way. We will lose OH and if we win TX, it'll be by less than 6%. |
Infinite Hope
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 11:52 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
4. We'll see. I think I'm closer. (Keep in mind bad Ohio weather tomorrow) n/t |
|
Edited on Mon Mar-03-08 11:58 AM by Infinite Hope
|
TexasObserver
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 12:27 PM
Response to Reply #3 |
16. You were just as sure about Maine, and just as wrong as you are about Texas. |
|
Why don't you remind everyone of how badly you missed Maine, and how stridently you told everyone you were right for the week before it?
Or was it Wisconsin you missed by 15-20 points?
|
Bullet1987
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 11:53 AM
Response to Original message |
5. That's not going to happen |
|
Clinton appears strong in Ohio...it would be epic if she loss there tomarrow. I think it'll be 2-2...Obama wins Texas by a small margin and Vermont. Clinton wins Ohio and Rhode Island.
Clinton campaign makes an excuse to go on to April 22.
|
Independent-Voter
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 12:04 PM
Response to Reply #5 |
9. Ding - we have a winner! |
Abacus
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 12:06 PM
Response to Reply #5 |
|
though I'm a even a little worried about Texas.
|
Zachstar
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 12:25 PM
Response to Reply #5 |
|
Unless she wins 100 delegates tomorrow the supers will finish this.
There is no going to April 22 unless Clinton wants to just stay in for no reason. And by then her political future will be destroyed.
|
TexasObserver
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 11:56 AM
Response to Original message |
6. Sounds about right. Obama 3-1, with a big margin in Texas. |
Greenwood
(240 posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
|
Just kidding!
I do think you are waaaaay off, though!
|
nonconformist
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Mar-05-08 02:16 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
hogwyld
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 12:03 PM
Response to Original message |
8. I see Hillary winning the popular vote in 3 of 4 |
|
She's definitely going to win Ohio by around 8-10%, RI by about the same margin, and she'll win the popular vote in Texas, but may split the delegates about evenly with Barack. Barack will probably win VT by around 6-8%. The family feud will continue, leading to the destruction of the Democratic party.
|
DemocratSinceBirth
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 12:05 PM
Response to Original message |
|
I'll take your bet...
I'll wager a one hundred dollar contribution to DU if you give me those numbers as a "point spread" like they do on athletic events...
|
skipos
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 12:11 PM
Response to Original message |
12. There is no way in hell Obama will do that well, and he doesn't have to. nt |
DebJ
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 12:13 PM
Response to Original message |
13. As much as I'd like to see that happen, I don't think that is realistic. |
|
Especially the Texas margins. Living in central Pa, tomorrow makes a big difference for us. We're all really watching to see how much ground work we will have to do in April. And hoping that no matter the results, Obama will come to central Pa (and not just Harrisburg and Philly). We need to get the Dem base here in "Alabama" fired up and ready to go, and Obama can do that.
|
Thurston Howell III
(576 posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Mar-03-08 12:23 PM
Response to Original message |
14. You have almost the exact numerical predictions I would have said. +- 1 point. |
|
Edited on Mon Mar-03-08 12:24 PM by Thurston Howell III
Wow. Let's see. I think Hillary by 5% in R.I. Good luck.
|
Infinite Hope
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Mar-04-08 09:31 AM
Response to Original message |
17. self-kick for discussion. n/t |
DemocratSinceBirth
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Mar-04-08 09:32 AM
Response to Reply #17 |
18. How About Wagering A Verifiable $50.00 Contribution To DU? |
|
I'll take Hillary and the points...
|
VolcanoJen
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Mar-05-08 02:17 AM
Response to Original message |
20. My prediction for Wednesday morning |
|
Joe Scarborough will sport an on-air hard-on, slobbering over Clinton's popular vote win in Ohio.
|
DU
AdBot (1000+ posts) |
Sun May 12th 2024, 09:15 AM
Response to Original message |