Okay, time to make your predix for tomorrow.

[geek tragedy]

Here's mine:

Vermont (+3 Obama):

Obama 59, Clinton 41. Delegates 9-6 Obama

Rhode Island:

Clinton 55, Obama 45. Delegates 12-9 Clinton.

Ohio:

Clinton 54, Obama 46 Delegates 78-63 Clinton

Texas: Primary Clinton 52, Obama 48. Caucus Obama 56, Clinton 44. Delegates Obama 99, Clinton 94.

So, in terms of delegates, it'll be:

VT: +3 Obama
RI: +3 Clinton
OH: +15 Clinton
TX: +5 Obama

Clinton picks up a net of 10 delegates. Which is a 'win' for Obama. But, Clinton will find plenty of justification for keeping the race going.

[liberal N proud]

1. Here is mine

DU will implode

The crazies will be at each others throats, throwing barbs back and forth and full out attacks on one side or the other.

I would vow to stay away but my curiosity might just drag me in here to watch the bloodbath.

:popcorn: :rofl:

[ronnykmarshall]

8. You just read my mind.

[geek tragedy]

10. So, just a normal day at DU then. n/t

[liberal N proud]

11. Didn't used to be that way

But lately yes.

[Orsino]

28. DU will implode, but FR will be worse off.

The freepers will be following the Dem primary race with much more enthusiasm than they will ever muster for their mummified candidates.

[monktonman]

2. I predict....

I will be voting for BARACK OBAMA tommorrow in Ohio.

[TomInTib]

3. A few clouds...

High 64
Low 43

I will be spending the day in Wine Country.

[hisownpetard]

27. In Wine Country - literally, or figuratively?

[TomInTib]

29. Both, for I am a multi-tasking fool.

I guess you would just have to know me.

Believe it or not, I can play guitar and sing badly, too. All at the same time.

[HCE SuiGeneris]

33. All 3 !!!!

You and Mercer for pResident!

[TomInTib]

36. Who is Mercer?

I keep seeing that name around here, but I have no earthly idea who that is.

Hell, as long as I get top billing I am fine with it.

[HCE SuiGeneris]

38. He's a bit of a quack running for pResident

and getting great press in the Lounge!
Reference to "all three" in point 2. http://www.mercerforpresident2008.com/c14f7f9dd9bbed555232a5cb8defd6f7.html

[Blue_Roses]

4. It's just too hard to tell...

but I predict I will be glad when Tuesday is over:crazy:

[MethuenProgressive]

5. I predict Clinton will do well enough to stay in, and that Skinner will sell DU on eBay.

In "as is" condition. :popcorn:

[Lucinda]

6. LMAO

:rofl:

[stop the bleeding]

30. LMAO

jeeze he probably won't get much, judging by the way GDP has been driven into the ground.

[Coexist]

7. .....

Ohio - Clinton +4
Texas - Obama + 3
RI- Clinton +8
Vt - Obama +17

but... that still means its over:

Plouffe: It's still over


In a statement emailed to reporters, and reiterated on a conference call just now, Obama's campaign Manager, David Plouffe, says:

It is clear that narrow popular vote wins in Texas and Ohio will do very little to improve their nearly impossible path to the nomination. If they do not win Texas and Ohio by healthy double digit margins – and they led by healthy double digit margins as recently as two weeks ago - they will be facing almost impossible odds to reverse the delegate math.

"They were sitting on enormous leads as recently as two weeks ago," he said on the call, dismissing the notion of a Clinton "comeback."

"They keep moving the goal posts, but at some point you run out of field," he said.

His full memo after the jump.

[ronnykmarshall]

9. Obama wins ...

Flowers will the thrown around in rejoicing.

Hillary wins it will be only because of voter fraud.

:sarcasm: <- Not needed! It's the truth.

[backscatter712]

12. Mine:

VT: +12 Obama
RI: +5 Clinton
OH: +1 Clinton
TX: +5 Obama

Clinton suspends her campaign Mar. 5th.

[Cha]

34. I like your's better than

geek's..:)

[thevoiceofreason]

13. Here's mine:

Vermont: Obama +26% - Delegates 10-5 Obama

Rhode Island: Clinton +14% - Delegates 13-8 Clinton

Ohio: Clinton +6% - Delegates 71-70 Obama

Texas: Primary Vote: Obama +3% - Delegates 70-56 Obama
Caucuses: Obama +6% - Delegates cannot be determined yet

Net net: Obama +15, with 67 Texas caucus delegates to be determined.

[rox63]

14. My prediction

I have no idea about delegate split. But I think Obama will have a sizeable lead in TX delegates, because of the caucus.

TX Obama +8%
VT Obama +25%
OH Clinton +2%
RI Clinton +9%

[Dogmudgeon]

15. The GOP wins

OH: Clinton by 10, 20 if the Canada story has legs.
TX: Clinton by 2-5 in the popular vote, Obama gets more delegates.
RI: Clinton by 5-8
VT: Obama in some sort of landslide, 20-50%.

--p!

[CoffeeCat]

16. My predictions: Obama sweeps em all!

My predictions are based on everything trending Obama. He's up nationally. She's
blown 20+ point leads in all of these states. Current results showing Obama leads or
Hillary hanging on by a 2-5 point lead. She loses support daily. He's trending upward.

Furthermore, we've seen this pattern in many other states. Wisconsin had Hillary up
a few points a few days before their primary. I lived through this in my state of Iowa.
Furthermore, in many of the last 10 contests that Obama won--Hillary was ahead by a few
points and Obama took those states. Sometimes by blow-out margins.

Also, if you want to go with Clinton---you're all ready there--and you've been there for months.
She's not gaining support from new voters or undecideds who break at the last minute. She's simply
holding onto what she initially had when she began the primary. People have known her for
years. She's got all of the support she's doing to get and that's been true since Iowa. The undecideds
and the on-the-fencers will most likely break for Obama. Obama garners about 4-5 percent from these last-
minute-decision-makers, in every race. Voters break for Obama, in the end.

Lastly, many new voters--people who have never voted before--are coming out in droves. We've seen this in
every state. Democratic primary participation is up 100 percent in nearly every state. Many
of these voters are young and they are not on any radar screen. They are often not polled, because they
aren't even on the voter rolls--or any list. They are new to the political process. Many of them aren't
registered to vote until the day they vote for days before their primary vote is cast. Much of this influx
of new and excited voters, is due to Obama. Another reason why races break for Obama in the end.

Given my analysis, I predict the following:

TX: Obama +15
RI: Obama +7
OH: Obama +11
VT: Obama +25

[Skoods]

17. haha

Keep dreaming

[CoffeeCat]

18. I predicted the Wisconsin and Hawaii blowouts...

...based on this information.

Laugh all you want, but what I said is possible.

I told my husband that Obama would win Wisconsin by 15 and Hawaii by 30.

He laughed at me too.

I'll meet ya back here after the polls close--and we'll see who's laughing then!

:hi:

[thevoiceofreason]

19. I gotta say: You do have street cred with your history!

[Skoods]

21. Everyone knew that Obama was going to win those states...

[CoffeeCat]

24. Clinton was ahead in Wisconsin...

She touted Wisconsin (and so did the media) as being a perfect state
for her.

She was ahead a few days prior to the primary. The Wisconsin numbers were
a suprise to many.

[thoughtcrime1984]

35. Hell if they did!

Here in Wisconsin, it was expected Hillary until about a week before the primary, then Obama by 5. The closer to the polling date, the more he gains, this is true in most of the states.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

25. In Ohio she might win by a narrow margin

but it could either way - dpending on the weather?

[sniffa]

26. That's close to my prediction

I think Texas will be a huge blowout, probably close to your number, but he's going to pile up the delegates.

I would be against your Ohio projection, but based on the weather and the planned Matlock marathon, I think his single digit win could easily become double digits.

RI has a core HRC base, but Obama's been on the move there at pretty good pace. That's why he scheduled the rally there at last minute.

VT should be a blow out for him.

That being said... his 10 (leaving out abroad) straight wins weren't even close. What was the closest margin? 17?
Maybe it continues.

[Alhena]

20. Sounds about right to me

[cottonseed]

22. Obama wraps it up.

For all intents and purposes he's already won the nomination. He's taken the high road and won the battle of character. He's won the popular vote, the delegates, and the hearts of the electorate. All the Clinton campaign has going for it is the crumbling support of it's once mighty machine. Obama is gaining by double digits in all states he's campaigning in. This will not stop after tomorrow. Even Richardson has come out and told the Clintons it's over. I predict that by Wednesday morning, all of this will thankfully come to an end.

[democrattotheend]

23. Here are mine

Ohio:
Clinton 56, Obama 44

Texas:
Clinton 53, Obama 47 (not sure about the caucuses though)

Rhode Island:
Clinton 59, Obama 41

Vermont:
Clinton 42, Obama 58

I really hope my predictions are wrong though.

[jab105]

31. I gotta say, I think you are practically spot on with that prediction...

I think the non-stop negative Obama stuff lately will hurt him a lot...

Hillary will have another comeback kid moment - and most people wont realize that this (winning in this way) is going to do nothing but fracture the party before a election that we SHOULD win...

Ugh, this makes me more sick to my stomach then the marathon I ran yesterday (and that made me pretty sick to my stomach:))

[BlackmanX]

32. here's mine

Obama wins Texas by 3 or 4 percent and dominates Vermont while Hillary takes Ohio by between 4 and 6 percent and wins RI by 15- 20 percent.

[Exilednight]

37. Net Gain of +20 Delegates For Obama