Zogby Poll: Obama overtakes Clinton in Ohio

[Puzzler]

A new poll shows Barack Obama has taken a narrow lead over Hillary Clinton in Ohio for the first time in the campaign for the state that could decide which Democratic Senator will win their party's nomination for president. However, other polls still show Clinton in the lead, with the gap shrinking.

With a day to go before the primary election, a Zogby International poll for Reuters/C-SPAN/Houston Chronicle that was taken between Feb. 29 and March 2 shows Obama with 47 percent compared with Clinton's 45 percent. The previous poll from a few days earlier showed Clinton with a narrow 47 percent to 46 percent lead. The same poll showed the race in Texas, which also has its primary Tuesday along with Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont, narrowing. Obama had a four percentage-point lead several days ago, but that has shrunk slight to a three percentage-point lead at 47 percent to 44 percent.

"The Democratic race has been neck-and-neck in both states, but it has been interesting to watch the volatility under way among Democrats in eastern Texas, which is the swing area of that state," said pollster John Zogby.

http://www.bizjournals.com/dayton/stories/2008/03/03/daily3.html

[my3boyz]

1. If Zogby is wrong again

he should never work again! I can't imagine why anyone would hire him after the California fiasco. Horrible!

[high density]

9. I can't believe anybody hires him after the 2004 race

He's a horrible pollster. I don't know why people are always posting his garbage here.

[book_worm]

2. and in Texas according to Public Strategies poll Obama leads in early voting 56-44

http://www.beloblog.com/KVUE_Blogs/politicaljunkie/belopollday5.pdf

[Alhena]

6. Early voting seems to be tied looking overall ...

ARG has Hillary by 6 among early voters, SUSA has her by 2, Rasmussen has Obama by 6 and Belo has Obama by 12 among early voters.

Overall it seems pretty close.

[alcibiades_mystery]

3. That essentially seals a Clinton victory in Ohio

;-)

[Quixote1818]

4. kick. nt

[anonymous171]

5. STOP IT!

I can't take this anymore! TOO MANY POLLS! :crazy:

[4_Legs_Good]

7. It's going to take a lot to restore my faith in Zogby

I really like the guy, and sometimes he's dead on (Iowa), but 2004 and California this time have got me really down on him.

David

[DemVet]

8. The Ohio poll averages...

Poll Date Sample Clinton Obama Spread

Clinton Obama
RCP Average 02/26 - 03/02 - 49.3 42.9 Clinton +6.4
Rasmussen 03/02 - 03/02 858 LV 50 44 Clinton +6.0
Suffolk 03/01 - 03/02 400 LV 52 40 Clinton +12.0
PPP (D) 03/01 - 03/02 1112 LV 51 42 Clinton +9.0
SurveyUSA 03/01 - 03/02 873 LV 54 44 Clinton +10.0
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby 02/29 - 03/02 761 LV 45 47 Obama +2.0
Quinnipiac 02/27 - 03/02 799 LV 49 45 Clinton +4.0
M-D/Plain Dealer 02/27 - 02/29 625 LV 47 43 Clinton +4.0
FOX News 02/26 - 02/28 600 LV 46 38 Clinton +8.0


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/oh/ohio_democratic_primary-263.html

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. ROTFLMFAO At Relying On Zo(m)by,Ergo

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_of_pollsters_rating_the_i.php


Zo(m)by -falsus in uno, falus in omnibus

[Independent-Voter]

11. Wasn't HRC up by 20% about 3 weeks ago?

[skipos]

12. Is Zobgy the only one who has Obama winning? If so, I think it is safe to say he loses. nt

[democrat_nanny]

13. Aren't there enough other polls out there?

Does anyone else have concerns about a possible Zogby bias in this race? I mean, his brother James is both a senior analyst with Zogby International and a Democratic Super Delegate for Obama.

[4_Legs_Good]

16. I don't know that last minute polls like this help Obama

I remember on the eve of Super Tuesday everyone in the Obama camp immediately dismissing Zogby's predictions as they unrealisticly raise expectations. If anything they help Clinton (unless, of course, they're right, which they haven't been).

David

[NJmaverick]

14. That's good news

Nice to see polls like this.

[DS1]

15. If it's nasty and icy in Ohio, I suspect Obama will destroy Clinton

due to the younger voters.