Tropics_Dude83
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:09 PM
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Obama supporters: Don't despair. Hillary will win TX/OH tommorrow BUT |
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Well, looking like Hillary will win Ohio by around 7-11 and Texas by 6-7 points. Congratulations Hillary fans. You stuck by your candidate when she looked down and out and now she's headed towards a banner day tommorrow on Super Tuesday II. It's a great testament to how strong a campaigner she is. TX And OH are huge pick-ups for her. I congratulate her.
She'll probably get a 6-7 point national poll lead by this time next week but Obama has 7 weeks now to camp out in PA. He'll make PA Iowa II. There will be more debates, more rallies, PA voters will come to know Obama the way Iowans did. Obama is only 6 points down in PA NOW. Let's give him some time to meet thousands of Pennsylvanians. Hillary's free ride in the press won't last forever.
What's the harm in going to April 22nd. PA seems far less of a firewall for HRC than Ohio is/was. I think Obama can win there.
Plus, he'll win WY and MS big and erase Hillary's negligible delegate gain from March 4th. Plus Obama will still be 140-150 delegates ahead going into April 22nd.
Super Tuesday II belongs to HRC. A well earned victory. But just like the race wasn't over after Obama's WI win, it's not over after March 4.
On to Pennsylvania!
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NJSecularist
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:10 PM
Response to Original message |
1. Hillary will win by 7-11 points in Ohio? And 6-7 points in Texas? |
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Edited on Mon Mar-03-08 05:11 PM by NJSecularist
Don't count your chickens before they hatch.
Obama may still win Texas. I wouldn't rule out a surprise win in Ohio for Obama ala Missouri (although it will be close). Remember that SurveyUSA had Hillary up by 11 in Missouri and Obama won by 1% point. The demographics in those state are a bit similar.
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tekisui
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:12 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
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Obama has cut into her base.
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Tropics_Dude83
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:13 PM
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50-44 HRC in TX. 51-40 in OH I believe:(
That's what I base it on.
Plus, Hillary won't be able to make this insurgent just disappear. He has too many delegates. At the very least, he'll be VP if he wants it.
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SoFlaJet
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:13 PM
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8. the propagandists are thick and desperate today |
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Obama will win both Texas and Ohio don't despair Clintonites-next we're going to do everything we can to unseat her in New York by putting a true progressive in that seat in 2012-don't despair Hillbots
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tekisui
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:11 PM
Response to Original message |
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Hillary has not won a caucus ever. Obama will win TX with the "Texas Two Step" Delegate allocation.
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Lucinda
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:15 PM
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11. Nevada doesn't exist then? |
tekisui
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:20 PM
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17. She didn't take the delegate count. |
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But, I did forget about that. I should say Obama has not lost a caucus.
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woolldog
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:21 PM
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18. she cheated in Nevada |
Lucinda
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:29 PM
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woolldog
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:41 PM
Response to Reply #19 |
21. You support a liar and a cheat. |
thereismore
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:11 PM
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3. And that's assuming she wins in TX, OH. I don't think she wins TX on delegates. nt |
Rosa Luxemburg
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:12 PM
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4. Obama will win TX Clinton might scrape Ohio by 1 point or 2? |
jgraz
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:12 PM
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6. I don't know how these polls can be considered accurate, esp in Texas. |
thevoiceofreason
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:14 PM
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9. Your "hale and hearty fellows" meme is nonsense. |
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Texas will give Barack more delegates, guaranteed.
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Tropics_Dude83
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:15 PM
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12. Obama lost the NV caucus |
Recursion
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:43 PM
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22. And he still got more delegates from it |
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Odd rules we Democrats have set up for ourselves.
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thevoiceofreason
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:44 PM
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That doesn't make any sense |
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So what. What I am saying is that you are writing off the election and barack will win Texas.
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texastoast
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:15 PM
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10. My prediction is that Hillary will not win Texas |
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But, as most pundits, I could be wrong.
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Tropics_Dude83
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:17 PM
Response to Reply #10 |
15. If Obama does win TX, it;s all over |
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:)
All of this Rezco stuff and NAFTA BS will be gone and HRC will be delegated to the trashbin of history.
If he doesn't,
the fun is about to start:(
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quantass
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:16 PM
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13. Recall the Polls dont include Cell Phone users (just Landlines) -- Lot of Young people with Cells |
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It is too early to call who will win either state and when u factor in that most polls are done to people with landlines and tends to underpoll younger generation, and african-americans, etc this is why when votes come in for Obama they have been better than expected...look at the last 11 contest results and you will see that Obama always exceeds polls...so with OH and TX this close it is premature to assume a victory for either party...to me it looks like it will be very tight and hilary desperately needs a large margin victory for both.
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JackORoses
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:16 PM
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14. Are you sure you're an Obama supporter? |
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I've been watching your posts and you really seem to be on the fence.
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Tropics_Dude83
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:18 PM
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16. Die-hard Obama supporter |
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But also a pessimist at heart.
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JackORoses
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:39 PM
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20. Don't be manifesting Pessimism, good buddy. |
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I'm picking up Good Vibrations.
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writes3000
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:44 PM
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23. There you are, Tropics, basing everything on the latest poll of the moment. |
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As I said, you're going to make yourself sick.
I think your predictions are wrong. You're underestimating Obama but we'll know for sure tomorrow.
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texas_indy
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:46 PM
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24. Wrong, Don't know about Ohio, but Obama is going to win popular vote and delegates in Texas. |
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We shall see that proven tomorrow! Texas is Obama country! VIVA OBAMA!! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fd-MVU4vtU
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NDambi
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:46 PM
Original message |
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Edited on Mon Mar-03-08 05:46 PM by NDambi
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NDambi
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:46 PM
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25. Put down the crack pipe...not good for you.. |
LiberalAndProud
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Mon Mar-03-08 05:48 PM
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26. Should I take offense at your post? |
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Great post! May the best candidate win!!
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