If Obama Really Has 50 Supers In The Wings, Won't He Hit 2025 Before Puerto Rico?

[malik flavors]

I was reading the update on Hillary's math problem: http://www.newsweek.com/id/119010/page/1

And it occured to me that if things play out as they're expected to, Obama would need about 50 super delegates to hit 2025 by the time this thing is over. But, if he truly has 50 S.D.s in his back pocket, doesn't he basically have the nomination wrapped up? Unless Hillary can get his supers to cross over, but I don't think many supers will leave the presumed eventual nominee very easily.

I'm not too great at math, but if someone wanted to actually figure out exactly what Obama would need to do to ensure he hits 2025 by Puerto Rico when adding in the 50 supers, that would be pretty awesome.

Here's the slate Delegate counter: http://www.slate.com/features/delegatecounter/

[malik flavors]

1. bump

[featherman]

2. No... he'll need about 360 total and has about 210 now

Something like that

[HooptieWagon]

3. Okay, I'll help what I can

To reach 2024 (the new number-2 SDs were disqualified several days ago) , if Obama were to split the remaining pledged delegates 50/50 then he would need about 150 of the 350 or so remaining SDs. Yes, a 50 delegate bomb would count toward that 150. And no doubt he'll pick up a few more. Getting 150 might be a little tough, though. Howard Dean controls 75 as Party Chairman, and he may not allow them to commit until Denver in order to be neutral. Some SDs are going to remain uncommitted until Denver either to prolong the "mystery" or in an attempt to cut a deal. I dunno, I just have a feeling that this burst of SDs committing will end shortly, and the remainder will wait until the convention. Eventually though, I think most of the SDs will fall in behind the candidate with the most pledged delegates.

[featherman]

4. True that many of the SD's will remain uncommitted

There is a quote today from the Democratic governor of Wyoming, for example, that he will stay neutral and, in fact, doesn't like either candidate since they don't address western issues to his satisfaction.