Would a Kerry Landslide lead to Dem. Control of House and Senate?

[JCMach1]

I have argues since last year that the only way the Dems. pull out a win is with 'at least' an electoral landslide.

Would that be enough to retake the House and Senate?

Beacause of the odds, I think a 50/50 split might be a real possibility for the Senate...

What about the House?

[togiak]

1. Probably not

Unfortunately, with the way that the districts have been setup there isn't much of a chance that the Dems could get much of a control of either one. In fact, with the latest redistrictings the Republicans are very likely to strenghten their control of the congress.

[w4rma]

15. A landslide would, imho.

A mere win, will leave Congress in GOP hands.

[soccerchica]

2. I think it would

it would show that America is not REALLY on the right (the lies that Rush Limbaugh spreads) and people would wake up and start voting liberal

[newyawker99]

7. Hi soccerchica!!

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

[murielm99]

3. I think a Kerry landslide could lead to control of the Senate, but not

the house.

[WhereIsMyFreedom]

17. I agree

We're too far behind in the House. The Senate is close enough to take though.

[Florida_Geek]

4. No thanks to Delay and his games

in Texas.

[xchrom]

5. i don't think so

democrats have a lot of work to do to reestablish themselves in the minds of the voters as the party on their side.
there is a lot of rehabilitation to be done -- and there is that war going on with the dlc.
dean, personality aside, was talking pragmatically about ways to rewire issues in the minds of the middle class.

[liberalmike27]

6. Nader

The Nader candidacy will help bring in a bunch of folks who don't care for either one of the duopoly candidates, so it could help win both houses. We all hope so.

[citizen snips]

8. We might eek out a few wins in the Senate.

But it is going to be an uphill battle to reclaim the majority.

[dae]

9. I think we have a shot at the Senate, the House in 2006. n/t

:dem:

[rasputin1952]

10. The Senate looks ripe for a Dem majority...

The House, that's a whole different ball of wax. The possibility exists, but mostly because bush is so despised by all factions. Only the base remains in his camp, and that is tenuous at best.

Never underestimate the population.....:)

[Hippo_Tron]

18. Well Georgia and SC seats will probably go Republican...

NC could go either way and Louisiana will probably go dem and I think Florida is leaning a little more Republican. However, Illinois and Alaska look like pretty good chances for dem victories and Colorado is looking good Oklahoma could also be a possible gain. A senate majority is possible but not likely, not this time around. As far as the house goes, I think that some of those "safe" districts wouldn't be so safe if more than half of Americans actually got out to vote.

[Cocoa]

11. I hope it follows the Illinois model

in 2002, the IL GOP collapsed around the corrupt governor, and the dems took over the legislature and governorship, probably for a long time into the future.

[AntiCoup2K4]

12. If Kerry would actually run on a truly Progressive platform

(and I do NOT mean "progressive" internationalPNACism)...with a progressive running mate, he could not only negate the Nader factor, but also bring in many others from the left who may not have voted at all in the last election, or possibly the last several.

As we have seen in the last 3 Presidential elections, it's possible to win the White House with less than 50% of the vote, but not as common to do so in congressional races. More liberal/progressive/Democrats at the polls = more candidates with our values elected.

But those votes will not be there if Kerry continues endorsing the neocon platform.

[genius]

13. AN antiRepublican felling can.

We need to get across the message that it wasn't just Bush but the Republicans who created the mess we are in.

[yellowdawgdem]

14. It would put us back on track

and it would be a very good sign, but we won't get control of house or senate immediately.

[dolstein]

16. There won't be a landslide

The best scenario I can foresee would be Kerry winning by a slim margin. In any event, the outcomes of the House races will be largely independent of the presidential election. At least 90% of the House districts tilt heavily in favor of one party. No more than 25 House races are likely to be competitive this year, and I suspect the results will turn primary on local factors.

[NewJerseyDem]

19. I doubt there will be a landslide

But, even without one we have a very good shot at picking up the Senate because in every race except Georgia we have stronger candidates that the republicans.

However, the House is a different story. Due to gerrymandering there are very few swing districts. Also, Texas redistricting guarentees at least a couple republican pickups and maybe even 6 losses for us. So, it seems like democrats would have to win about every competitive race and a Kerry landslike could cause the democrats to win most of those seats. Still, I doubt we could win all because some candidates just run horrible campaigns or have ethical problems.