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This got shot down the first time, but if there's a brokered convention I say they flip a coin

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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 12:58 AM
Original message
This got shot down the first time, but if there's a brokered convention I say they flip a coin
As we get closer to the prospect of a brokered convention with no solution I honestly think that there is no way to decide this thing without making the other candidate and his/her supporters bitter.

The superdelegates will ultimately have to make a decision one way or another and frankly even though I'm an Obama supporter, I think that both candidates have a very good case as to why they would be electable and why they should be the nominee. I think that if you support a candidate and don't realize that the other candidate would be a good nominee, you really haven't been paying attention. This is the first really competitive primary in a long time and both candidates have held their own.

I think that in the end the best way to preserve party unity is to tell both candidates that they have made an equally convincing case as to why they should be the nominee and that they have no choice but to make the decision based on arbitrary means.

Bring both candidates into a room and get them to agree that the winner of the coin toss will be the nominee and the loser will be the VP candidate. Have Howard Dean flip the coin and be done with it.

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antigop Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 12:59 AM
Response to Original message
1. oh, brother. n/t
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Birthmark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 12:59 AM
Response to Original message
2. I say that they should
...ask the leader at the time to call heads or tails...and then throw the coin out of the Convention and down the nearest storm drain.

Then they should nominate someone progressive.
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bilgewaterbill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 01:01 AM
Response to Original message
3. Ties go to Al Gore.
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saracat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 01:08 AM
Response to Original message
4. I wouldn't trust Howard anymore, hard as he has been working for Obama.
Find an Uncommitted SD to do the coin toss!
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 01:15 AM
Response to Reply #4
8. Fair enough, how about Al Gore?
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saracat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:07 AM
Response to Reply #8
15. Perhaps but maybe he should be a tie breaker or possible nominee?
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:10 AM
Response to Reply #15
19. I think that would just piss everyone off but Gore fans
Al Gore chose not to run and many will see it as unfair that he didn't enter a single primary contest and would get the nomination.

Democracy gave us basically a tie between Hillary and Obama and I think that an arbitrary tie breaker with someone like Al Gore doing the arbitration is fair.
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saracat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:41 AM
Response to Reply #19
31. Maybe they should toss them both out and bring back Edwards?
That would be my honest choice! Seeing as they forced him out in order to have this "historic election" and thought they could get the nasty business of democracy over with more quickly!

But as they aren't going to do that, I think Gore and the coin toss might work under the circumstances you outline!.But it is also probably against the rules and no one would go along with it.
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lligrd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 01:08 AM
Response to Original message
5. If It Is A Tie, It Should Go To
Kucinich. And that is final.
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RaleighNCDUer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 01:11 AM
Response to Original message
6. I think it got shut down for a very good reason.
And you know it.
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 01:18 AM
Response to Reply #6
9. Tell me why I'm wrong
Edited on Sun Mar-09-08 01:20 AM by Hippo_Tron
I honestly don't see a way to resolve this thing that won't seem unfair to the other side. We have two great candidates and they both have great cases as to why they should be the nominee. Any decision by the party elders no matter how much reason is involved will be seen as biased.

Coin tosses are a common means of breaking ties in a manner that doesn't involve conflict.

Maybe if one candidate makes a sweep of the remaining states including the ones that they aren't polling well in, it will be a different story. But that doesn't look like the case. Obama will probably win Mississippi by a walk, Hillary will probably win Pennsylvania by a decent margin and all of the other states will go as they are expected to go. This thing is going to be a virtual tie by the time it is done.
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RaleighNCDUer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:06 AM
Response to Reply #9
13. Because Hillary is a ticket killer in the GE, no matter what place she
has on the ticket.

If she is anywhere on the ticket, McCain will win.

Besides, Obama would never sit as her VP, and she sure as shit would NEVER sit as his VP. It just - won't - happen.
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:09 AM
Response to Reply #13
18. The second point is fair, the first one I don't think is
Hillary has a very good case that she will turn out white women and Hispanics in numbers that Kerry did not and that will put her over the top. I'm not saying it's a guarantee but it's a good argument and based on her primary performance thus far.

I think Obama is more electable but a lot of people disagree with me and the bottom line is that we need the party to be unified if either one of them is going to beat McLame.
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RaleighNCDUer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:51 AM
Response to Reply #18
33. On the other hand, she would also turn out the opposition
in numbers that a ticket without her will not. Millions who would otherwise just not bother, not caring about Obama and not liking McCain, would turn out to keep her away from the White House, even as VP, and especially as Pres. The neo-con republicans, who still don't trust McCAin; the Huckabee fundies, who know her only as a baby-killer - she generates more loathing on the other side than you are giving her credit for. That would more than balance what she would bring to the ticket.

Hillary on the ticket means 4 years of McCain. Obama could do much better with someone - almost anyone - else.
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John Q. Citizen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 01:15 AM
Response to Original message
7. I think that's a horrible idea for a whole lot of reasons. I wouldn't vote for that.
I'd skip the presidential and vote down ticket. No matter who won the coin toss
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 01:22 AM
Response to Reply #7
10. Give me your reasons then
As far as I'm concerned, democracy is going to likely give us a virtual tie between two very good candidates. An arbitrary means is the best way to pick one of them without pissing off the other side.
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John Q. Citizen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 03:44 AM
Response to Reply #10
37. Vitual tie my eye. Obama is winning in any and every measure. Democracy
is speaking loud and clear.

If you want to toss it away on a coin toss, that shows how much respect you have for democracy.

There will be no 'unity ticket'

A unity ticket would resemble the Clinton marriage. Not a very good thing to shoot for, IMHO.
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 05:14 AM
Response to Reply #37
38. We'll see how it plays out
If Obama leads in delegates and popular vote by the time this thing is over then I think you've got a point. But I have a feeling that won't be the case.
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John Q. Citizen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 01:47 PM
Response to Reply #38
39. There is mathimatically no way Hill will lead in pledged delegates. An she has
close to a half million popular vote deficit. Where is she going to make that up?

After Mississippi she will be further in the hole.

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musicblind Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 01:54 AM
Response to Original message
11. It's a good idea. Don't let them bother you.
Sadly some people on here just aren't in favor of good ideas. I think they like the fighting.
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JackORoses Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:00 AM
Response to Original message
12. why? because Hillary has a better shot in a coin-flip than in the real Primaries?
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:06 AM
Response to Reply #12
14. There's a chance she could get the popular vote and he could get the delegates
And even if he does get the popular vote there's the question of Florida and Michigan and the argument that caucuses disenfranchise people. I'm not saying that her supporters are right when they bring these points up but I am saying that they have legitimate points and will likely think that any decision is unfair because of them.

I'm interested in party unity and I think that declaring it a tie and having an arbitrary tie breaker is the best way to do this.
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JackORoses Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:30 AM
Response to Reply #14
27. Caucuses have been used for decades.
Edited on Sun Mar-09-08 02:30 AM by JackORoses
Just because Hillary is unable to win them doesn't mean they are invalid.

She cannot catch up in delegates even if MI and FL hold revotes.

It is not a Tie. Obama has won.
You legitimize Hillarite arguments by even considering them.
They deserve no rewards for the campaign they have run. None.
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:33 AM
Response to Reply #27
29. Her supporters won't see it that way and like it or not we need them to win the election
Edited on Sun Mar-09-08 02:34 AM by Hippo_Tron
If Obama ends up with both a lead in delegates and popular vote after a Michigan and Florida re-vote then I think he should be the nominee. But I have a good feeling that won't happen.
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JackORoses Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:57 AM
Response to Reply #29
35. Hillary would have to win over 60% in MI and FL too to catch up
It ain't happening.

Her supporters will vote for the Dem in the fall. They may be upset now, but they will come around.
Especially once Hillary withdraws and endorses Obama like a good little Democrat.
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bhikkhu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:07 AM
Response to Original message
16. And you think a coin-flip can't be rigged? n/t
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:12 AM
Response to Reply #16
21. Sure it could, but I'm not suggesting we have David Copperfield flip the coin
A neutral person like Al Gore or Howard Dean wouldn't be interested in rigging it, they just want to settle this.
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bhikkhu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:26 AM
Response to Reply #21
24. Just saying, that wouldn't really settle anything.
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:28 AM
Response to Reply #24
25. If Al Gore or Howard Dean shows them a standard quarter and then flips it...
I don't think there are going to be accusations of fraud.
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RaleighNCDUer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:40 AM
Response to Reply #25
30. From the DLC?
There sure as hell will.

Two of the top three candidates the DLC has screwed in national contests in the last 7 years, to flip a coin that will decide if a DLCer will become president? The only thing that would piss them off more would be to include Kerry. They'll SCREAM fraud.

It's what they do.

That's yet another reason to never let her near the WH.
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bhikkhu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:48 AM
Response to Reply #25
32. And then everyone goes home happy?
I don't mean to be pointlessly negative here, but I think the result is the same regardless of the winner of the toss - the other side doesn't accept it. Not that either would consider the idea to begin with.

Where two candidates have worked their asses off and accepted untold millions of donations toward the promise of winning the primary and then the GE, they are simply not going to settle for a random coin toss to decide things. And even if they did, think a moment of the hell-to-pay that would come from their supporters.

I really do appreciate the idea that things could be so easy-come-easy-go, but they are certainly not. I hope the contest resolves in some manner soon, but if it doesn't I am confident that we have two of the best candidates I have seen in my lifetime, and two of the toughest campaign organizations, and when things are settled we will have one strong and tested candidate left standing, and not a party of smoking rubble.
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:54 AM
Response to Reply #32
34. It would require the two candidates to accep the outcome as fair
And that of course will be the challenge.

I should add that I think this should be done in secret. The party elders agree on this, bring the two candidates into the room, sit them down and get them to agree to this.

BTW, I am just throwing this out as a hypothetical to get us on what I think is the right track of thinking. As you said, we have two great candidates. We need to find a way to resolve this and unite the party at the same time.
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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:08 AM
Response to Original message
17. I agree. I have great respect for the random.
I dislike the pretense of exactitude where it doesn't exist.

Randomness is one of the few truly fair things in life.

(I have found that people seldom really want fairness... we tend to prefer "justice" which is a much slipperier concept.)
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:15 AM
Response to Reply #17
23. I'd like justice as well, but I'll settle for fairness in order to beat McCain
Fairness is the only way to create party unity. Most of the sensible supporters of the losing candidate will accept the results and the die-hards will come around soon enough.
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Political Heretic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:11 AM
Response to Original message
20. I think a rousing game of paper rock scissors should do the trick


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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:13 AM
Response to Reply #20
22. Funny thing is that they now have Rock Paper Scissors tournaments
But I don't think there's any strategy that can be used in the short term.
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Tresalisa Donating Member (537 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:29 AM
Response to Original message
26. I think rock, paper, scissors would be more fair - best 2 out of 3.
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bridgit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 02:32 AM
Response to Original message
28. There'll likely be a brokered conv, it's just hard for some to get their heads around; I therefore
suggest throwing the I Ching coins instead :thumbsup:
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fujiyama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 03:06 AM
Response to Original message
36. The winner should be the candidate with the plurality of pledges/elected delegates
Edited on Sun Mar-09-08 03:08 AM by fujiyama
It would piss a LOT of people off if Super Delegates overturned the results of the plurality of pledged delegates.

At the minimum they should back the winner of the popular vote or MAYBE the vote winner of their respective state, not counting tainted MI/FL results. For a SD to back one candidate or the other because they THINK he/she will be more electable is an awful justification for doing so.

It is not Obama's fault Hillary did not target states all over the country to win delegates. I don't remember Bill making the same mistake in '92 which is why by this time that year he was on his way of taking the nomination.
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