Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Obama supporter Michigan and Florida delegate proposal, seating from existing votes

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
TheWebHead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 03:01 AM
Original message
Obama supporter Michigan and Florida delegate proposal, seating from existing votes
Okay, the problem the DNC has with this horrible situation they've found themselves in is that it would be ridiculously expensive to the party to revote in a primary, probably $25-30 million total for both states, and double that for advertising/ground game for each candidate. Clinton would have an unmistakable advantage because the party machines in both states favor her, and without time to establish that ground game in advance as Obama did everywhere else in the country, that tactical edge he had to counter her name ID would be mostly neutralized. Plus, we could spend millions in the next few weeks only to find Obama pull off a PA upset and essentially make continuing on for Hillary untenable.

So we have two votes, and this is how it would break down:

Florida's 185 delegates go 58-42 to Clinton, which come from the existing vote plus equally splitting Edwards, etc's voters. This would net a roughly 30 delegate advantage for Clinton.

Michigan's 128 delegates go 57-43 to Clinton, using Clinton's existing vote, giving all uncommited to Obama, plus equally splitting Kucinich. This would give a roughly 18 delegate advantage for Clinton.

So Hillary would get a total of about 48 delegates. In exchange, both would agree that the popular vote in those two states would not be recognized in national tallies.

Additionally, both would agree that whoever had the most pledged delegates at the end of the process, in the exception only of a tie, would be the nominee.

Finally, all superdelegates would agree that they, as a majority, would support whoever won the most pledged delegates, meaning they'd have some freedom of voting for whomever they want even if their districts voted in the opposite way (covering those who have already pledged), but would steer to some degree those still uncommitted.

This obviously would give Hillary a better chance of getting the most pledged delegates, though the odds are pretty slim, but would inhibit her efforts to try to overrule the will of the people and to stretch this out into an unwanted convention fight by using new rules of bigger states, momentum, etc. This also would placate FL and MI, thereby not severely hurting our hopes of winning those states in the general election.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
Horse with no Name Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 03:03 AM
Response to Original message
1. Why split the votes?
Give Obama his votes and give Hillary hers and leave Kucinich and Edwards votes alone? You cannot "split" votes. How politically naive are you?
Or is this "the new math" that works out in favor of obama?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
TheWebHead Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 03:41 AM
Response to Reply #1
5. a revote would remove edwards and kucinich's votes,
Edited on Sun Mar-09-08 03:42 AM by TheWebHead
they wouldn't even be on the ballot, so a compromise evenly reallocating their votes isn't that big of a deal. The proposal certainly isn't naive, there's big concessions that would be made by both remaining parties, and the superdelegates, but it ends the stalemate and officially avoids a convention battle. The most often discussed idea would just be to evenly split the delegates at the convention, so the idea of simply splitting votes isn't something new.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Horse with no Name Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 03:46 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. But that isn't fair either
Can we go back and re-do the first primaries in Iowa, etc where the other inconvenient candidates were on the ballot?
Sorry no go.
If the "compromise" is splitting the votes down the middle, then it is a wash and they STILL lose their votes.
You CANNOT take the votes away from the candidates that received them in order to make your "math" work.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
JackORoses Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 03:32 AM
Response to Original message
2. The elections that were held have damaged results
They will never be used to award any delegates.

The only way for that to happen is a valid revote.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
lligrd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 03:36 AM
Response to Original message
3. Might Work - Still Not Really Fair To Obama
but better than anything else I have heard proposed. Even a do-over now doesn't seem fair since it will look like they are only getting it due to Hillary deciding, when she is losing, that their votes suddenly matter.

Why did Hillary once agree they didn't matter? Do Hillbots have a good answer for that?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Gore1FL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 03:40 AM
Response to Original message
4. Doesn't that disenfranchise the people
who didn't vote because they knew the election didn't count?

If that card is gonna get played, then it stays on the table.

Hillary won't go for it anyways, though, because she'll need way more than 48 delegates to even make a dent at this point.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
fujiyama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 03:53 AM
Response to Original message
7. No. MI's vote was a sham
and has no legitimacy whatsoever. What the hell kind of option was "Uncommitted"? I know several that skipped it. It wasn't worth driving to the polling place in crappy sub freezing temperatures to vote in some election that didn't have the candidate of their choice on the ballot...

So either scrap MI, or hold a revote. I'm less passionate about FL, because both were on the ballot. But I'm sure many there skipped too because they didn't feel their vote would matter.


Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
John Q. Citizen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 05:14 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. Both were a sham, because in a democracy, candidates get to campaign.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
speedbird Donating Member (71 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-09-08 05:29 AM
Response to Original message
9. will Fla. and Mich. SuperD's be credentialed ...
with the current rules?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Thu Apr 25th 2024, 04:29 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC