elixir
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:46 AM
Original message |
In the GE Obama will not be carry the big states thatHillary's won in the primaries |
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Even if Obama gets the nomination his 34 - 45% turnout in the primaries may not translate into a win in those states in November. He'll have a hard time picking up enough to carry them, even if Hillary's supporters swing over.
Tom Daschle is soooo ineffectual. He keeps repeating on MTP how many states BO has won even though some of the states won't matter in November, they're blue states.
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stray cat
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:47 AM
Response to Original message |
1. New York and Ca will vote for McCain! Not likely |
SoFlaJet
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:48 AM
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democratic excitement and turnout are unprecedented in this cycle and DEMOCRATS will win the states NOT HIllarycrats.
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Window
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:37 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
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Agree wholeheartedly SoFlaJet.
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BobRossi
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:48 AM
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3. So if he wins the nomination he should concede to McClone ASAP! |
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Got it. More fear based logic from the Hillarious camp.
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Carolina
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:49 AM
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4. another delusional, willfully blind |
NDambi
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:49 AM
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5. Yeah we know all those states will definitely vote for McSame..McLame.. |
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Please prove that Obama won't win those states.
Whatcha got?
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pocoloco
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:51 AM
Response to Reply #5 |
9. Hillary told them to!! |
MonkeyFunk
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:53 AM
Response to Reply #5 |
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McCain beating Obama in New Jersey.
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NDambi
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:00 AM
Original message |
current polling..is that all you got...lol |
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I have no proof that he will and neither do you..
Now what else ya got to prove that McLame will beat Obama in NJ,Cali, NY, etc..
Polling isn't proof.
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MonkeyFunk
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:06 AM
Response to Original message |
23. What the fuck do you want? |
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Nobody else has anything better to go on, either. That's a pretty fucking weak response.
How can you prove Obama won't lose all 50 states? You can't.
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NDambi
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:17 AM
Response to Reply #23 |
25. I never said I could prove it...but you my dearheart |
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offered polling as proof...lol
Just admit you got no fucking proof...period.
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Window
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:39 AM
Response to Reply #11 |
30. I'm in NJ. There is no way McCain can/will win NJ. No way. |
Kber
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Sun Mar-09-08 11:02 AM
Response to Reply #11 |
33. NJ had been considered a "battleground" in since 2000 |
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and it's always gone blue in the end - by substatial margins.
I wouldn't get too worked up about NJ.
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BumRushDaShow
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:50 AM
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6. And why do you make this nonsensical assumption? |
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This meme of Obama not getting the votes of those who normally pull the straight Dem ticket in a GE because it's not Hillary is laughable.
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Kittycat
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:50 AM
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7. Good luck with that theory. Even though you know it's BS |
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:) Again, another out of touch HillFan trying to say that the base won't vote for the Dem on the ticket. I guess you'll be voting for McCain then? By your theory, none of Obama's supporters will vote for HRC either, which is actually more likely if she tries to steal their voice at the convention :)
Yeah, good luck with that.
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GodlessBiker
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:51 AM
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8. Blue states are Dem states. Why wouldn't Obama win them? |
Vinca
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:51 AM
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10. Yep, out of the blue all those "big state" Democrats are going to |
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say to themselves, "Golly, there's really nothing wrong with 100 years of war and the Republican rule over the past 7 years hasn't been all that bad. I really don't mind the house has gone into foreclosure and my last job is now in India, I kind of like McCain." Stupid and idiotic.
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pinkpops
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:53 AM
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12. You cant use the primaries as a template for the GE. There will |
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be some sore losers from the primaries who will stay home and even a few who will vote for McCain. But like it or not the primary is more about personality than policy. That's why any conversations between Obama and Clinton about policy sound like nit-picking.
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catgirl
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:54 AM
Response to Original message |
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Obama will take those states, plus swing states and some red states. He will be the best nominee for us and the Clintons know that. Their egos are really getting in the way.
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HooptieWagon
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:54 AM
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14. Opinions are like assholes - everyone has one. n/t |
TheZug
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:55 AM
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15. I think Yes he carry the bigstate's, yes he can? |
Exilednight
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:56 AM
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16. Yet polls conducted show that Obama wins more electorals than Hillary does..... |
zulchzulu
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:56 AM
Response to Original message |
17. This "theory" is based on what? |
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Obama beats McCain in national polls by a lot more than the Clinton/McCain matchup.
There will be huge numbers of voters voting for Obama that will make those Hillary supporters unwilling to vote for a Democrat be pretty meaningless.
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ElsewheresDaughter
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Sun Mar-09-08 09:59 AM
Response to Original message |
18. almost every DUer here hated Dashcle when he was Majority leader &worked hard to get rid of him.. |
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Edited on Sun Mar-09-08 10:01 AM by ElsewheresDaughter
now the Obamanites love him WTF?!?!?
some of you really need go outside and get some oxygen
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galaxy21
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:01 AM
Response to Reply #18 |
20. the Hillary supporters saying they won't vote Obama will change their mind when faced with Bush III |
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Edited on Sun Mar-09-08 10:02 AM by galaxy21
Believe me.
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tridim
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:28 AM
Response to Reply #18 |
26. I'm willing to bet nobody here "hated" Daschle, and IMO it's disingenuous of you to claim otherwise. |
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He sucked as Majority Leader because he was soft spoken, but that doesn't mean he was hated as a Senator and a person.
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Donkeykick
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:00 AM
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19. I voted for Hillary in Ohio. |
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But I feel if Obama does win the GE, than we still have a very good chance--matter of fact, more than ever--of winning this thing in November. :shrug:
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Dawgs
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:03 AM
Response to Original message |
21. So you're saying that even if Obama wins states, pledged dels, and pop vote... |
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Edited on Sun Mar-09-08 10:20 AM by Dawgs
...we should pick Hillary because she won 5 blue states in the primary?
Are you fucking nuts?
Does that also mean that Hillary will lose Illinois; and every other blue state that Obama won?
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C_U_L8R
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:06 AM
Response to Reply #21 |
22. Logic is not on the Clinton's side |
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There is no sense or proof to their "big state " argument. It's amazing what her supporters believe and run with. Silly season indeed.
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swag
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:08 AM
Response to Original message |
24. Mapped out from the latest SUSA match-ups |
jalynn
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:29 AM
Response to Reply #24 |
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a chance here in Tennessee
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swag
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:36 AM
Response to Reply #27 |
28. Here is the latest SUSA match-up map for Clinton-McCain |
skipos
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:41 AM
Response to Reply #28 |
31. Those maps are great. |
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Please post them in every thread with the "Obama won't win big blue states" argument. That is the argument Hillary Inc is throwing out there, and the media eats it up. What a joke.
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swag
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Sun Mar-09-08 10:53 AM
Response to Reply #31 |
32. It's a bizarre argument. Weird, and contrary to current evidence. |
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Nothing against the original poster, but I couldn't believe this thread got recs.
Feel free to post the maps wherever you like.
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